If you’re using the same information to handicap NFL football games as everyone else then you’re going to come to a lot of the same conclusions and fall int a lot of the same traps as everyone else as well. The nice thing about NFL handicapping is that there is so much information out there and so may people doing some really serious thinking about the game that with a little desire and research you can access some really phenomenal stats that will help you understand the game better, identify strengths and weaknesses quicker, and generally become a better bettor. Trying to figure out new stats can be very intimidating, though, because they can seem complicated and hard to understand. To ease you into your search for new stats here’s a look at four that are pretty easy to figure out, yet are very powerful:

Continue reading “NFL Handicapping: Stats You Need To Know”

NFL LinesWe are a little under 2 months away before the NFL regular season kicks off with the Minnesota Vikings traveling to the superdome in New Orleans to take on the super bowl champion Saints.  With the NFL season approaching we thought it would be a good time to revisit the Week 1 NFL lines and see if there have been any major changes in the NFL odds since our last post.  Here are the current NFL point spreads for week 1 as well as some notes on the moves thus far.
  Continue reading “Week 1 NFL Lines: Movers & Shakers Thus Far”

NFL weekly recap July 5th-July 11th.  As usual this weekly edition of NFL news will include Michael Vick once again.  There were also a few contract signings as well as more news on superstar corner Darrelle Revis prepared to sit out training camp until he gets a new contract.  Onto the weekly news.

Continue reading “NFL Weekly Recap Jul 5th – July 11th”

The NFL football season is getting closer. It’s still too far away for most, but it’s a lot closer than it was a month ago. Instead of just sitting around impatiently waiting for things to get started smart NFL bettors are using this time to get more prepared for the season so that they are ready to identify and exploit any edge that they possibly can. To do that yourself here are five different things you could think about doing to improve your NFL handicapping. You don’t have to do all of them – anything you do is more than most of the public is doing, so it certainly won’t hurt:

Continue reading “NFL Handicapping: Offseason Prep Work To Better Your Game”

Last week we looked at three NFL coordinators who are new to their jobs and hold a lot of promise. We’re going to look at the other side of things this week – five guys who are on hot seats. All of them are in desperate need of a big year this year, and some of them probably shouldn’t have been given the chance they have been given this year. What they definitely all have in common is that we should keep a close eye on them and their units, because there is a pretty good chance that they are going to have problems:

Continue reading “5 NFL Coordinators On The Hot Seat”

The head coaches get all of the attention in the NFL, but who they hire as coordinators has at least as much bearing on the on-field success of the team as their own performance. Coaches all have different styles, but for many teams the head coach acts as the CEO who oversees operations, and it’s the coordinators who actually work with the players, implement the strategy, call the plays, and have the direct impact on the outcome of games. The media tends to spend most of their time dwelling on head coaches, though, spending the limited coordinator time they do have on the high profile stars. By looking beyond those big names and getting a sense of some of the significant under the radar coordinator moves that have been made in the offseason bettors can have an edge over those who aren’t paying attention. Here are three significant coordinator changes that you’ll want to consider as you prepare for this upcoming NFL season:

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As is always the case when we enter July there are a bunch of NFL free agents who haven’t landed on a new team yet, but who still have some rubber left on their tires. Most of them will likely end up somewhere by the time the season starts, but where or when isn’t always clear. Here are 10 guys that seem like potentially useful players in the right spot:

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The weekly NFL recap for this week saw 4 major stories, all of which could have an impact on handicapping this years NFL season.  With week 1 NFL games a little over 2 months away it is important to keep up to date with this news and at it to your betting arsenal.

Continue reading “NFL Weekly Recap Jun 21st – 27th”

We talked about turnover differential in our last article in handicapping season win totals.  The premise is that luck tends to inflate and deflate a teams win over a course of a season.  Normally teams that had positive turnover differential one season tend to not be so lucky the next time around and vice versa.  We are looking to buck that trend again this season.  Once again here is that turnover table from last year.

Continue reading “NFL Betting: Regular Season Win Total Picks”

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