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NBA Handicapping Articles

Accessing the Value Of NBA Rookies Coming Into the League

The preseason in the NBA isn’t particularly useful in my eyes. Basketball teams don’t really care about the games, so coaches are often more interested in just getting their team to the regular season as healthy and ready as they can. Winning the games is secondary (or worse). There are a few things that you can learn a lot about in the preseason, though – things that can help you be more prepared for the preseason. One of those things […]

Factoring General Manager Changes In Your NBA Handicapping

In the NBA we spend a lot of time focusing on coaching changes and the impact they are going to have on the team and therefore on how we bet the team. That makes sense – especially because coaching changes are so frequent in the league. When a General Manager is changed, though, not nearly as much thought is typically put into what it means for the team and for sports bettors. A GM can have a huge impact on […]

What Sharp Handicappers Do In the Summer To Be Ready for the Season

If you are a person who likes to bet on the NBA then you have some time to kill before the action gets rolling again. Most of you will likely use the time to do the obvious – bet on football. While that’s always a good idea, this is also a good time to prepare for the NBA season so that you are ready to kill it right out of the gate. The more prepared you are to handicap games […]

How To Handicap Bad NBA Teams Down the Stretch

By the time the All-Star break rolls around in the NBA there are at least eight or ten teams most years that clearly and obviously have no chance of making the playoffs – or even coming close. Their seasons might essentially be over, but that doesn’t mean that we can or should quit betting on them. You do need to look at these basketball teams differently than you would one that is contending. A team that is eliminated from the […]

Watching NBA Preseason Games To Get An Early Advantage

The NBA preseason is underway. There are ways to bet on the preseason if you are determined to do so, but I have never seen much value in betting on any preseason – too many variables that you have to guess about. That doesn’t mean that the preseason isn’t useful, though. There is a lot to be learned from watching preseason basketball games, viewing highlights, and perusing the boxscores that can help you prepare for strong handicapping during the season. […]

Pros & Cons of Betting NBA Preseason Games

We are in the midst of the NBA preseason. It’s not a particularly exciting time – for fans or for most players. There is one very good reason to be interested in the preseason, though – you can bet on it. Nothing you can bet on can be too bad, can it? There are some good reasons to wager on the NBA preseason, but there are some real problems with it as well. Here’s a look at some of the […]

Handicapping NBA Teams In The Short Term After A Major Trade

I am writing this the day after Carmelo Anthony was traded to the Knicks in a deal that involved half the roster of both teams and the Nuggets – and some of the Timberwolves as well – so the evaluation of the immediate impact of a NBA trade is obviously very much on my mind. The first games a team plays right after a trade can be a great opportunity for smart bettors to find some value if they react […]

How 2nd Half NBA Betting Works And How To Win More Of Your Bets

NBA second half betting offers you a great tool to invest your money. There are several benefits to betting on the second half of an NBA game. Here, we will explain what the benefits are and how you might be able to come out with a chance to middle with your bet on the second half of an NBA game. Such a win-win situation is desirable for any sports bettor, as all you will be losing is the vig. Much […]

The Sides Vs Totals Debate Which Should You Be Betting?

A couple of times in the last two weeks I have had people ask me if you are better off betting NBA sides or totals. It’s an interesting question, so let’s take a look at it. The reason why this question gets asked more in the NBA than in any question is because NBA betting is difficult – or at least making a profit is. As a result, you’ll often hear the advice that it is much easier to win […]

NBA 1st Half Betting Explained With Tips To Win

While most sports bettors concentrate on the full game lines in NBA betting, first half lines might offer exceptional value for the smart handicapper. Your basic lines and totals are set for just the first half of the game and the outcome of the wagers will be decided after 24 minutes of play instead of 48 (or more in case of overtime). Betting on the first half of an NBA game offers you a way to win money by using […]

Common Mistakes To Avoid That Handicappers Make Betting the NBA

If you’re just a casual sports bettor looking to have some fun then there is likely no better way to lose your money quickly than by betting on the NBA. That’s partly because the league is just generally hard to bet on, and partly because casual bettors are inclined to make some predictable but ill-advised decisions when it comes to betting on the league. Here are six of the biggest mistakes that casual sports bettors make when wagering on the […]

Some Insight Into Spotting An NBA Upset Before It Happens

The gap between the really good teams and the really bad ones is probably bigger in the NBA than in any other professional league. The haves are so far from the have nots right now, it’s like they are playing different sports. When teams like that meet on the court the result is typically predictable and far from surprising. Every so often, though, one of the lesser teams in the NBA will shock one of the good ones. Because those […]

Some ATS Tips For Picking Games With Streaking NBA Teams

Winning and losing streaks happen to teams in all sports. It seems, though, that these streaks are more common and longer lasting in the NBA than in other major North American sports. Here’s a look at why that is and how to deal with it: Streaks are real in the NBA – It is incredibly uncommon to see a double digit win streak in the NFL. It’s not as uncommon in the NHL, but it’s close. Even baseball doesn’t see […]

Handicapping Teams on Long Losing Streaks

In the 2010-11 NBA season the Cleveland Cavaliers lost 26 games in a row. The longest losing streak in the history of the NBA – a streak that looked like it may never end. While we had never seen a streak this long we often see extended periods of futility from teams in the league. One great way to find massive value when betting on the NBA is to correctly identify when these streaks will end and bet accordingly. The […]

Tips For Handicapping Title Contending Teams Down the Stretch

When there are about 10 games left in the NBA season things change for the serious contenders for the NBA Championship. I’m not talking about teams that are going to make the playoffs and maybe win a round or two. I mean the teams that stand a very solid chance of going all the way and know it. There are typically no more than five or six NBA teams that really belong in this category. As the season ends these […]

Finding Out Which Teams Are Mailing It In And Which Will Cash Tickets

There are two types of teams that have been eliminated from NBA playoff contention before the season ends – those that are still playing hard and being competitive, and those that are just mailing it in and waiting for the end of the season to put them out of their misery. Being able to tell which basketball teams fit into which categories is an important skill for NBA sports bettors down the stretch. It can allow them to get some […]

Impact Of Long Road Trips And How Sharp Bettors Manage Them

You would think that professional sports teams in major leagues like the NBA wouldn’t mind traveling at all. After all, when they are away from home they travel on very comfortable charter planes, at great food, stay in nice hotels, and have little to focus on but getting ready for their games and playing them. The reality, though, is that teams in all sports, including professional basketball, just don’t play as well in other cities as they do at home. […]

Handicapping NBA Teams With Injured Star Players

While NBA handicapping is a very broad and detailed subject, today we will take a slice out of our playbook and give you some insight from a professional sports betting on how to handicap NBA games involving injured players. Injuries are part of sports and they will happen to everyone at some point in their careers, whether a small injury or a season-ending injury, the risks are taken by all athletes in their respective sports. However, it can be argued […]

Picking Games Involving 2 Teams Eliminated From Playoff Contention

As the regular season draws close to the end in any sport there are inevitably teams that have to play several games after knowing that they have no chance of making the playoffs. When two of these no-hope teams meet each other we have on of the tougher situations in sports handicapping. Neither of the teams has obvious motivation, and neither one is particularly good, so trying to determine a winner in these games can be a real challenge. Here […]

Evaluating NBA Teams Using Advanced Metrics

We are early in the NBA season, but we have seen enough games play that teams are starting to separate themselves in terms of their records. The challenge for sports handicappers is to determine whether teams with bad records right now are just struggling and having some bad luck, or if they are just bad. Similarly, we have to figure out if teams that have started strong are going to stay that way, or if they are going to come […]

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