#16 Stanford Cardinal at Washington Huskies
Husky Stadium – Seattle, Washington
Saturday, September 27, 2014, 4:00 pm Eastern, TV: Fox
Opening Line: Stanford -4 1/2
Current Line: Stanford -7 1/2
Opening Total: 49
Current Total: 48
Opening Money Line: Stanford -244 / Washington +216
Current Money Line: Stanford -280 / Washington +240
The 2-1 Stanford Cardinal travel to the 4-0 Washington Huskies in a key Pac 12 North battle Saturday. Stanford is 0-1 in conference play and can’t afford to go 0-2. Washington hasn’t played a conference game yet.
Washington leads the series 41-39-4 against Stanford. The Cardinal have won 5 of the last 6 games in the series, including 31-28 at Stanford last year.
Stanford is coached by David Shaw. The Cardinal have home shutouts over UC-Davis 45-0 and two weeks ago against Army 35-0. The only loss came at home to USC 13-10. Stanford was off last week. The Cardinal are 3-1 ATS and the total is 0-2 this season. Stanford was a 28.5 point favorite against Army and the total was 53.
Washington is coached by Chris Petersen. The Huskies have a win at Hawaii 17-16, along with home wins over Eastern Michigan 59-52, Illinois 44-19 and Georgia State 45-14 last week. Washington is 1-3 ATS and the total is 1-3 as well. The Huskies were 34.5 point favorites against Georgia State and the total was 71.
Stanford is outscoring teams 30-4 this season. The Cardinal are #1 in points allowed nationally. The Cardinal are averaging 430 yards per game on offense including 271 passing and 159 rushing yards. On defense, Stanford is allowing 204 total yards per game, including 66 passing yards and 138 rushing yards. The Cardinal are #1 in pass defense and #1 in total defense. Stanford is +1 in turnovers with 6 takeaways. Stanford is 16/35 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 14/45. Stanford averages 46 penalty yards per game and opponents average 50. The Cardinal have forced 7 sacks and allowed 6 this season. Stanford is 8/14 scoring in the red zone with 6 touchdowns and opponents are 2/3 with 1 touchdown. The Cardinal have an interception return for a touchdown.
Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan has completed 73% of his passes for 705 yards with 7 touchdowns and an interception, plus a rushing touchdown. Running back Barry Sanders, Jr. has 18 carries for 142 yards. Kelsey Young has 21 carries for 122 yards. Receiver Ty Montgomery has 22 catches for 246 yards and 2 touchdowns. Austin Hooper has 12 catches for 120 yards and a touchdown. Devon Cajuste has 7 catches but 3 of them went for touchdowns.
Washington is outscoring teams 41-25 this season, The Huskies are averaging 418 yards per game including 179 passing and 239 rushing yards. On defense, the Huskies are allowing 405 yards per game including 292 passing and 114 rushing yards. The Huskies are +8 in turnovers with 9 takeaways. Washington is averaging 65 penalty yards per game and opponents are averaging 56. The Huskies are 31/65 on third and fourth down conversions, and opponents are 30/72. Washington has forced 19 sacks and allowed 5. The Huskies are 19/19 scoring in the red zone with 14 touchdowns, and opponents are 11/13 with 6 touchdowns. Washington has 3 defensive touchdowns this season.
Washington quarterback Cyler Miles was suspended for the opener at Hawaii and replaced by Jeff Lindquist. Miles returned against Eastern Washington, and has started every game since. Miles has completed 67.6% of his passes for 525 yards with 5 touchdowns, along with 28 carries for 114 yards and 3 touchdowns. Lindquist threw for 162 yards and a touchdown against Hawaii. He also has 2 rushing touchdowns. Running back Lavon Coleman has 65 carries for 286 yards and a touchdown. Dwayne Washington has 45 carries for 187 yards and 3 touchdowns. John Ross has 6 catches for 224 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with an ankle injury. Jaydon Mickens has 20 catches for 200 yards and a touchdown.
Stanford is 14-4 ATS after allowing less than 170 yards, 20-6-1 in road games, 13-4 after allowing less than 275 total yards, 11-4-1 against teams with winning home records, 11-4 in September, 5-2 in conference games, 7-3 on fieldturf, 36-16-1 after a straight up win, 34-16-1 overall, 3-7 after allowing less than 20 points, 0-4 after a cover, and 0-5 after a straight up win of 20 points or more. The Cardinal have covered in 4 of their last 5 trips to Seattle.
Washington is 4-1 ATS after failing to cover, and after allowing less than 100 rushing yards, 16-7 at home, 9-4-1 after passing for less than 170 yards, 9-19 after allowing less than 275 total yards, 2-5 in Pac 12 games, 3-8 after a straight up win of more than 20 points, 1-4 on fieldturf and after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 7-3 in this series recently including 4-1 in Seattle.
Stanford has allowed points to only USC this season. The defense is dominant and should be able to slow down Washington’s high powered rushing attack. I think the Cardinal win a close game.