NFL Week 12 Betting Picks: Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Seattle Seahawks at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Saturday, November 27, 2016, 4:05 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Raymond James Stadium – Tampa Bay, Florida
Opening Line: Seattle -4 1/2
Current Line: Seattle -5 1/2
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 45 1/2
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -245 / Buccaneers +205
Current Money Line: Seahawks -230 / Buccaneers +190

The Seahawks travel to the Buccaneers in a key NFC contest

The Seahawks travel to the Buccaneers in a key NFC contest

The 7-2-1 Seattle Seaahwks have the second best record in the NFC behind the 10-1 Dallas Cowboys. Seattle leads the NFC West by three games over the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks travel across the country to take on the 5-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday. The Buccaneers are a game behind the 6-4 Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South.

Seattle leads the series 8-4 against Tampa Bay. The Seahawks won the last meeting 27-24 in overtime in 2013 in Seattle to snap a three game losing streak to the Buccaneers. Both of these franchises were expansion teams in 1976.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. Seattle has road losses at the Los Angeles Rams 9-3 and New Orleans Saints 25-20 last week. The Seahawks have home wins over the Miami Dolphins 12-10, San Francisco 49ers 37-18, Atlanta Falcons 26-24, Buffalo Bills 31-25 and Philadelphia Eagles 26-15 last week, plus road wins at the New York Jets 27-17 and New England Patriots 31-24. Seattle also has a 6-6 tie at the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks were 6.5 point favorites against the Eagles and the total was 42.5. Seattle is 6-4 ATS and the total is 5-5 this season.

Tampa Bay is coached by Dirk Koetter. The Buccaneers have road wins over the Atlanta Falcons 31-24, Carolina Panthers 17-14, San Francisco 49ers 34-17 and Kansas City Chiefs 19-17 last week, plus a home win over the Chicago Bears 36-10. Tampa Bay has a road loss at the Arizona Cardinals 40-7, and home losses to the Los Angeles Rams 37-32, Denver Broncos 27-7, Oakland Raiders 30-24 in overtime and Falcons 43-28. The Buccaneers were 7 point underdogs against the Chiefs and the total was 45. Tampa Bay is 5-5 ATS and the total is 6-4 this season.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 22-17 this season. The Seahawks are #1 in points allowed. Seattle averages 352 yards per game on offense including 267 passing and 85 rushing yards. The Seahawks are, #7 in passing, but #28 in rushing.  On defense, the Seahawks are allowing 335 total yards per game including 237 passing and 98 rushing yards. Seattle is in the top eleven in all categories. The Seahawks are 49/130 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 67/157. Seattle has forced 20 sacks and allowed 31 this season. The Seahawks are +6 in turnovers.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 66% of his passes for 2,714 yards with 11 touchdowns and two interceptions, plus 39 carries for 79 yards and a touchdown. Rookie Trevone Boykin has thrown for 65 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

Running back Christine Michael has 117 carries for 469 yards and 6 touchdowns, plus 20 catches for 96 yards and a touchdown. He was surprisingly released last week and signed with the Packers. C.J. Prosise has 30 carries for 172 yards and a touchdown, along with 17 catches for 208. He is out for the season with a shoulder injury. Thomas Rawls has 33 carries for 82 yards, along with 9 catches for 72 yards. He returned from a broken leg last week. C.J. Spiller will get some carries too.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 54 catches for 733 yards and 5 touchdowns. Tight end Jimmy Graham has 45 catches for 639 yards and 4 touchdowns. He is probable with a knee injury.  Tyler Lockett has 23 catches for 325 yards. Jermaine Kearse has 28 catches for 336 yards. Twelve defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report. Cornerback Richard Sherman is probable with an ankle injury. Safety Earl Thomas (hamstring) and defensive end Michael Bennett (knee) are both out Sunday.

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Tampa Bay is being outscored 26-24 this season. The Buccaneers are #24 in points allowed. Tampa Bay averages 366 yards per game on offense including 260 passing and 106 rushing yards. Tampa Bay allows 382 total yards per game including 267 passing and 115 rushing. The Buccaneers are #23 or worse in all three categories.  Tampa Bay is 67/148 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 48/128. The Buccs have forced 21 sacks and allowed 23 this season. Tampa Bay is +1 in turnovers. The Buccaneers have allowed two defensive touchdowns and scored two as well this season.

Quarterback Jameis Winston has completed 60.3% of his passes for 2,680 yards with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, along with 32 carries for 98 rushing yards and a touchdown. Mike Glennon has thrown for 75 yards and a touchdown.

Running back Jacquizz Rogers has 88 carries for 393 yards and a touchdown, plus 9 catches for 58 yards. He is questionable with a foot injury after missing the last three games.  Peyton Barber has 43 carries for 182 yards and a touchdown, plus 4 catches. Running back Doug Martin has 65 carries for 181 yards and a touchdown, plus 9 catches for 89 yards. Charles Sims has 41 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown, along with 14 catches for 112 yards and a touchdown. He is out with a knee injury.

Receiver Mike Evans has 65 catches for 916 yards and 8 touchdowns. Adam Humphries has 39 catches for 430 yards and a touchdown. Vincent Jackson has 15 catches for 173 yards. He is out for the season with a knee injury. Cameron Brate has 37 catches for 393 yards and 5 touchdowns. Russell Shepard has 13 catches for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Louis Murphy is out for the season with a knee injury. Seven defensive players and four offensive linemen are on the injury report as well.

Seattle is 5-0 ATS in November, 21-3-2 after passing for 250 yards or more, 4-1 after a win and overall, 5-2 after gaining more than 350 yards and 2-6 after rushing for more than 150 yards. The road team is 7-2 ATS in this series recently. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in Tampa Bay recently.

Tampa Bay is 21-8-1 ATS in November, 19-44-1 at home, 5-12 after a cover, 1-3-1 in week 12, 1-4 against teams with winning records, and 0-4 against teams with winning road records. The under is 7-2 in this series recently, including 4-1 in Tampa Bay.

Seattle has won three games in a row and is a Super Bowl contender. However, they should not take this game lightly. The Buccaneers can be dangerous at times, and Winston is improving as a passer with every game. Also traveling across country is never easy no matter who you are playing. I think Seattle escapes with a hard fought victory on the road though.

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Posted by on Nov 27 2016. Filed under Headlines, NFL. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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