Atlanta at Green Bay
Time: NOON CT, FOX
Spread: GB -4
Odds c/o 5dimes
The Green Bay Packers have lost three straight but will try to get back on track at home against the Atlanta Falcons where it is 4-point favorites at Noon on FOX. The over/under for the game is set at 50.5 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.
The Green Bay Packers have lost the last three to the Seattle Seahawks, Minnesota Vikings, and Arizona Cardinals. It trails the first place Chicago Bears by an insurmountable 3.5 games, and this is looking like a rare season the Packers will miss out on the postseason.
Aaron Rodgers has had something of a down season, but he still has 3,504 yards and 21 touchdowns to his one interception. Problematic has been his 35 sacks for a total loss of 239 yards. He has rushed 32 times for 168 yards, but he has not scored any rushing TDs this season. Aaron Jones leads the backfield with 642 yards and seven rushing TDs, but Green Bay has just two other rushing TDs outside of Jones. Jamaal Williams has struggled with just 3.6 yards-per-carry as the No. 2 back.
Rodgers has aired it out mostly to Davante Adams, who has 1,115 yards on the season and 11 reception TDs. Jimmy Graham has added another 536 yards and two TDs, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling has added 432 yards and a pair of TDs. The Packers have 21 receiving TDs, but its lack of rush production has hurt and made the offense a little stale. Green Bay manages just 105.7 rushing yards per game and its offense generates just 23.4 point per game while it surrenders 23.9 on the defensive end. Overall, it is just a mediocre Packers team from what we have come to expect from Rodgers and company in the past.
The Atlanta Falcons are 4-8 this season but just 1-4 on the road. The team has dropped its past four, with losses to the Cleveland Browns, Dallas Cowboys, New Orleans Saints, and Baltimore Ravens. It is in last place in the NFC South.
Matt Ryan has had another good season at QB for the Falcons, but much like its opponent this week, it has struggled with the rush game. Ryan has thrown for 3,814 yards with 25 touchdowns and just five interceptions, while the rush averages just 3.8 yards-per-carry. Tevin Coleman is the No. 1 back with just four yards per attempt, and 514 yards and two touchdowns on the season. Ito Smith has struggled too as the No. 2 option with just 3.2 yards per carry, but he leads the team with four rushing touchdowns. Ryan’s top receiving target veteran Julio Jones has been sensational, with 1,323 yards and three touchdowns on the season. He has also accounted for 62 of the team’s 181 passing first-downs.
While Atlanta averages nearly 300 passing yards per game, it generates just 78 via the rush and averages 24.7 points per game. That has hardly been good enough with the defensive deficiencies that has allowed opponents to rack up 27.8 points per game on Atlanta. The team is really struggling on the road, and even with Green Bay having a down season, the Packers should be able to prevail on its home turf.