NFL on CBS Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

Baltimore at Kansas City
Time: NOON CT, CBS
Spread: KC -7
Total: 51

Odds c/o 5dimes

The 10-2 Kansas City Chiefs lead the AFC West and will play host to visiting Baltimore Sunday at Noon as 7-point favorites. The over/under is set at 51 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

KC

The Kansas City Chiefs have been dominant offensively, and it may be even more so with the acquisition of Wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin, who practiced with the team for the first time this week. The key to the Chiefs great success, after all, has been its rookie quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is drawing comparisons to the all-time greats. In his rookie season, he has thrown for 3,923 yards thus far with 41 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. His passer rating is an outstanding 118.1 and he has been sacked only 20 times, or just 1.3 times per game.

Mahomes top-two receivers Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce both have over 1,000 yards and 20 TDs between them. Kelce has accounted for 52 first-downs while Hill has been good for another 45. The Chiefs really move the football, aided by star running back Kareem Hunt who has 824 yards on the year. But the No. 2 rusher has been Mahomes, who has functioned well coming out of the pocket for 238 yards on 51 attempts. Kansas City averages 316.5 passing yards per game and gets 120.7 via the rush, while averaging 37.0 points per game. Its defense has been solid enough to nearly give it a plus-10 differential in holding opponents to just 27.3 points per game. Kansas City will close the season with three games against the Chargers, Seahawks and Raiders, giving it a strong chance to finish 13-2 and with the best record in the NFL.

BAL

The Baltimore Ravens are 7-5 but trail first place Pittsburgh by just one-half game in the AFC North standings. It is undetermined if Joe Flacco will start at quarterback or whether Lamar Jackson will get the call this week. Flacco practiced for the first time since Nov. 4 when he injured his hip, but if he is medically cleared he should get the start.

The Ravens have won three-straight games though, with wins over the Bengals, Raiders, and Falcons. It won by an average of 10 points per game with Jackson at quarterback. Last week, he threw 12 of 21 for 125 yards, but did not throw any TD passes and was sacked twice. Jackson did rush 12 times for 75 yards and a rushing TD, but the Ravens were strong defensively and held Falcons QB Matt Ryan to just 131 yards, less than half his season average.

Should Flacco manage to play, it should be a big boon to the passing game. Jackson averaged just 59 percent passing, while Flacco bests that this season at 61.2 percent with 265.1 yards per game and 12 TDs to his six interceptions. The Ravens have been poor rushing the ball with just 4.1 yards-per-carry as a team this season, and its leading rusher Alex Collins averages just 3.6 per. Top receivers John Brown and Michael Crabtree have combined for over 1,000 yards and seven TDs between them, but the Ravens average just 24.8 points per game. In typical Baltimore fashion, its defense has kept it competitive, holding opponents to just 17.8 points per game.

ATS TRENDS:

Baltimore
  • Ravens are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Ravens are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
  • Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Ravens are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
  • Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 14.
  • Ravens are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Ravens are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Kansas City
  • Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
  • Chiefs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
  • Chiefs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
  • Chiefs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Chiefs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
  • Chiefs are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
  • Chiefs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
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