NFL Betting Picks Week Eight: Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Sunday, November 1, 2015, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Opening Line: Seattle -5
Current Total: Seattle -4
Opening Total: 40
Current Total: 42
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -265 / Cowboys +215
Current Money Line: Seahawks -200 / Cowboys +170

Dez Bryant looks to return for the Cowboys as they host the Seahawks in a must win game for both teams.

Dez Bryant looks to return for the Cowboys as they host the Seahawks in a must win game for both teams.

At the beginning of the season, many thought both the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks were Super Bowl contenders. Well, as the two teams meet in week eight both are under .500 and desperate for a win. The 2-4 Cowboys host the 3-4 Seahawks Sunday afternoon. Dallas is in last place in the NFC East but only a game and a half out of first behind the 4-3 New York Giants. Seattle is in third in the NFC West behind the 5-2 Arizona Cardinals.

Dallas leads the series 10-6 against Seattle. The Cowboys have won 4 of the last 5 against the Seahawks including 30-23 last year in Seattle. It was the only home loss for the Seahawks last year.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have home wins over the Chicago Bears 26-0 and Detroit Lions 13-10, plus a road win over the San Francisco 49ers 20-3 last Thursday. Seattle has road losses at the Rams 34-31 in overtime, Green Bay Packers 27-17 and Cincinnati Bengals 27-24 in overtime, along with a home loss to the Carolina Panthers 27-23. The Packers, Bengals and Panthers are all among the league’s five undefeated teams.

Seattle was a 6.5 point favorite against San Francisco and the total was 42. The Seahawks took a 17-0 lead at halftime and cruised to an easy win. The 49ers had only 142 total yards and 8 first downs. Seattle is 2-4-1 ATS and the total is 3-4 this season.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys have a home win over the New York Giants 27-26 and a road win at the Philadelphia Eagles 20-10. Dallas has lost four straight games. The Cowboys have home losses to the Atlanta Falcons 39-28 and New England Patriots 30-6, plus road losses at the New Orleans Saints 26-20 in overtime and Giants 27-20 last week.

Dallas was a 3 point underdog against New York and the total was 45. The Cowboys took a 13-10 lead into halftime. However, New York scored 10 points in the third quarter to take a 20-13 lead. Dallas tied it up with just over 7 minutes left in the fourth. However, former Cowboy Dwayne Harris returned the ensuing kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown. Dallas could only get to the New York 30 on their next possession. While the Cowboys had 460 total yards to 289 for the Giants. Dallas was unable to overcome four turnovers. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS and the total is 3-3 this season.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 22-18 this season. The Seahawks are #5 in points allowed. Seattle is averaging 357 yards per game on offense including 214 passing yards and 143 rushing. The Seahawks are #28 in passing and #2 in rushing. On defense, Seattle is allowing 294 total yards including 200 passing and 94 rushing yards. The Seahawks are #6 or better in all three categories. Seattle is 40/102 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 27/86. The Seahawks have forced 19 sacks and allowed 31 this season. Seattle has two special teams touchdowns and 2 defensive touchdowns, and have allowed one of each as well. The Seahawks are even in turnovers.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 69.6% of his passes for 1,668 yards with 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, along with 52 carries for 271 rushing yards.

Running back Marshawn Lynch has 84 carries for 304 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 10 catches for 61 yards. He missed three games with a hamstring injury.  Thomas Rawls has 65 carries for 366 yards and a touchdown. Both Lynch and Rawls are listed as questionable. Fred Jackson will also get some carries. He has 54 rushing yards, but does have 16 catches for 143 yards and a touchdown. Fullback Derrick Coleman is probable for personal reasons.

Tight end Jimmy Graham has 31 catches for 375 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Doug Baldwin has 28 catches for 310 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jermaine Kearse has 21 catches for 338 yards and a touchdown.  Rookie receiver Tyler Lockett has 17 catches for 217 yards and a touchdown. However, he has a kick return and a punt return both for touchdowns. Receiver Paul Richardson is questionable with a knee injury and hasn’t played yet this season. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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Dallas is being outscored 26-20 this season. The Cowboys are #24 in points allowed and #27 in scoring. Dallas averages 367 total yards per game on offense including 240 passing and 127 rushing. The Cowboys are in the top 10 in both total and rushing offense On defense, the Cowboys are allowing 339 yards per game including 238 passing and 101 rushing yards. Dallas is also in the top 10 in total and rush defense.  Dallas is 26/71 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 31/76. Dallas has forced 12 sacks and has allowed 13 this season. The Cowboys are -9 in turnovers. Dallas has a defensive touchdown and has allowed 3 defensive/special teams touchdowns.

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is out indefinitely with a broken collarbone suffered in week two against the Eagles. He could return later this month against the Miami Dolphins. Brandon Weeden started three games but was benched in favor of Matt Cassel last week. Cassel will continue to start until Romo returns.

Weeden threw for 738 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions plus 30 rushing yards. Cassell threw for 227 yards with a touchdown and 3 interceptions against the Giants.  Romo threw for 551 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions before the injury, and also rushed for 11 yards.

Running back Joseph Randle has 76 carries for 315 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 10 catches for 86 yards. He is out with an oblique injury, but was demoted from the starting running back. Randle had a meltdown when informed of this and left the Cowboy’s practice facility. Darren McFadden has 66 carries for 281 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 14 catches for 112 yards. Lance Dunbar had 67 rushing yards, but did have 21 catches for 215 yards before tearing his ACL. Christine Michael, acquired in a trade from the Seahawks, could get more carries without Randle.

Tight end Jason Witten has 36 catches for 344 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Terrance Williams has 18 catches for 293 yards and 2 touchdowns. Cole Beasley has 22 catches for 214 yards. Brice Butler is probable with a hamstring injury. Receiver Dez Bryant is expected to return after suffering a broken foot in week one. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Seattle is 6-1-1 ATS after allowing less than 250 total yards, 5-1 against teams with losing records, 5-1-2 after allowing less than 15 points, 5-1-1 after allowing less than 150 passing yards, 5-2-1 after gaining more than 350 total yards, 5-2 in November, 34-15-2 on fieldturf, 39-19-1 against NFC teams, 1-3-1 against teams with losing home records, 2-6-1 overall, 0-4-1 after a straight up win, 0-6 in week eight, and 0-4 after rushing for more than 150 total yards. The under is 5-2 in this series recently.

Dallas is 3-7 ATS after a straight up loss, 4-12 against teams with losing records, 1-4 in week eight, after rushing for more than 150 yards, and against NFC teams, 2-8 in November, 1-10 on fieldturf, 0-4 at home, after gaining more than 350 total yards and overall. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in this series recently. The Cowboys have covered 6 of the last 8 games against the Seahawks.

If Cassel can cut down on the mistakes from last week, I think the Cowboys offense will be fine. They get their star receiver back in Bryant. Seattle has been inconsistent and needs to protect Wilson better or he will get hurt. I might regret this but I like the Cowboys to win at home in a close low scoring game.

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Posted by on Nov 1 2015. Filed under Headlines, NFL. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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