NCAA Tournament Round of 32 Odds: (11) Ohio St. Buckeyes vs (3) Houston Cougars

College Football Sportsbook

(11) Ohio State vs (3) Houston

Time: 7:40 PM CST (TNT)

Spread: HOU -6

Total: 132.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

OHIO ST

#11 seeded Ohio State won its opening round matchup over #6 Iowa State by a score of 62-59. The Buckeyes led by two at the half and closed the game strong to emerge as one of three 12 over 5 upsets this year. Kaleb Wesson and Keyshawn Woods combined to core 40 points on 15 of 31 shooting and the Buckeyes shot 39.7 percent from the field as a team in a tough, defensive affair. Ohio State held Iowa State to 43 percent shooting, and neither team was hitting its threes: OSU was just 5 of 20 and Iowa State was 6 of 22. The Buckeyes won the game on small things: a +7 rebound advantage, +1 turnover differential, and Ohio State did a better job of moving the basketball with fewer turnovers and more assists.

But Iowa State did not go quietly: It got 26 points from its two key reserves and kept the game close before Ohio State closed the game strong to emerge as the upset winner. The Buckeyes were just 20-14 this season and had a losing conference record of 8-12. The Buckeyes also lost four of its final five games entering this tournament, including three straight losses to AP-ranked opponents. Ohio State is a good defensive team though, allowing just 66 points per game (no. 42), though it is not an overly potent club itself averaging just under 70 points per game. The Buckeyes will hope Kaleb Wesson can continue his hot shooting, as he averaged 50.2 percent shooting on the year and led the team in scoring at 14.6 points per game. OSU may need 20-plus from him again this round.

HOU

The Houston Cougars possess the No. 8 most-stingy defense in the nation, limiting its opponents to just 61.0 points per game while scoring 76.2 itself, good for a win differential of +15.2. The Cougars held two of its final opponents under 60, winning both games over UConn and Memphis. Its defense could be the difference maker in this tournament, and the Cougars are not short on scoring options itself. Houston is led by Corey Davis Jr. who averaged 16.7 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.7 assists per game while playing a team-high 32.8 minutes per game.

Armoni Brooks starts alongside him in the backcourt and averages 13.6 points and 6.5 rebounds, a team best. Davis shot 38 percent on his threes, while Brooks and all three of Houston’s top-5 scorers shot 35 percent or better. The Cougars attempted 838 threes this season at a 36.4 percent clip, and it also limited its turnovers to just 11.5 per game. Houston shoots 70.4 percent from the line as a team.

The Cougars are hoping Davis continues to be so consistently good. He had just 12 points in the loss to Cincinnati, but in the four games prior had scored 20.2 points per game while shooting 42 percent or better in all four games. The Cougars need him to be clicking because against the Bearcats he shot just 23 percent from the field while also battling foul trouble.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Ohio St.
  • Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
  • Buckeyes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Buckeyes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.
Houston
  • Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games.
  • Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
  • Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
  • Cougars are 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up win.
  • Cougars are 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Cougars are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.

OU TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Ohio St.
  • Over is 6-1 in Buckeyes last 7 neutral site games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Over is 6-2 in Buckeyes last 8 overall.
  • Over is 20-8 in Buckeyes last 28 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Over is 7-3 in Buckeyes last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 7-3 in Buckeyes last 10 games following a ATS win.
Houston
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Cougars last 4 overall.
  • Under is 6-0-1 in Cougars last 7 neutral site games.
  • Under is 7-1 in Cougars last 8 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Under is 7-2-1 in Cougars last 10 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 9-3 in Cougars last 12 non-conference games.
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