College Football Handicapping: Week 6 Totals Analysis

Week 5 college football totals betting

Super Freshmen Marcus Lattimore leads the Gamecocks running game in which could lead to an under this weekend

When looking at the totals, you have to take a lot of things into account. Not only offense, but defense, special teams, but also account for style of play and history of the series.  When Alabama travels to face South Carolina, it may be hard for them to get to the over for 48. Two of their last three meetings have gone under the total.  The over is 1-4 for Alabama, mainly because of their suffocating defense. The Tide scores 37.8 points a game, but gives up only 9 points game and 292 total yards.  The Gamecocks average 30.7 points, but rely on the ground game. They average 39 rushes and 168 rushing yards. For them to have success against Alabama, they will rush the ball and shorten the game. That points to an under.

Here is a look at some other totals for this week’s games:  You can look at the lines for all of the college football games this weekend on our college football odds page of the website.

Minnesota at Wisconsin (58): This is a large number and for good reason. Their last 10 meetings have gone over the total. The Gophers score 26.8 points a game and gain 407 yards on 72 plays. They give up 30.6 points. The Badgers score 36.4 points a game and gain 446 total yards. Wisconsin’s defense only gives up 18.2 points and 301 total yards.

Indiana at Ohio State (57 ½): Both of these teams can score some points. Indiana averages 39.7 points a game and 455 total yards on 72 plays a game. They give up 25 points and 397 yards. The over for Ohio State is 4-1. They average 44.2 points a game and gain 463 yards on 71 plays. The one thing that might slow it down is the Buckeyes defense, which allows 14.5 points and only 242 total yards. The last three meetings, the over is 1-1-1.

Michigan State at Michigan (64): Two of their last three meeting have gone under the total. Both of these teams can post some points. The Spartans average 36.2 points and gain 461 total yards, 220 of which are rushing yards. The Spartans give up 18.6 points. The Wolverines have the offense to push the total as they score 41.4 points on 565 total yards a game. Their defense is also good for the over as they give up 25.2 points and 434 total yards.

Boston College at N.C. State (46 ½): The over for Boston College is 0-3 as it is having trouble scoring, averaging 19.2 points a game on 309 total yards. Defensively, they are only giving up 20.7 points on 311 total yards. N.C. State is a bit better, but not enough to push the total for the over. It averages 36.2 points and 449 yards on 77 plays. On defense, it allows 23.2 points on 337 total yards.

Colorado State at Air Force (47 ½): Their last three meetings have gone over the total. But that might stop this year. Colorado State is struggling and the over is only 1-4 this season. The Rams are averaging only 11 points game on 296 total yards. They are allowing 33.4 points. The Falcons are a bit better, scoring 31.6 points on 474 total yards. They average 62 rushes a game for 374 rushing yards. That tends to shorten the game. The Falcons defense allows only 16.4 points.

Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (50): Three of their last four meetings have gone over the total. But neither team has been great offensively. The Panthers average 27.2 points, but most of that came on two games against weak competition. They allow 27 points a game. The over is 1-4 for Notre Dame as it scores 24.6 points on 404 total yards on 73 plays. They allow 24.8 points.

Oregon State at Arizona (50): The over for Oregon State is 4-0. It’s combination of good offense and poor defense that drives the total. The Beavers score 27.7 points a game and allow 30.7. They give up 435 total yards on 75 plays. Arizona is all too willing to exploit that defense as it averages 34.2 points on 421 total yards. The sticking point here is the Wildcats’ defense, which allows only 11 points a game 231 total yards. If Oregon State can move the ball, that will lead to an over. Otherwise, it will be difficult to get there.

LSU at Florida (42): The over for LSU is 1-4 as the Tigers are another team that relies on defense. They score 24.4 points a game, while giving up 12.4. The Gators score 31.4 points, but allow only 17.6. This is a low number for a college football game, but if the LSU defense dominates the action, it may be hard to get there. Last season, they combined for 16 total points. The previous two meetings went over the total. The Gators may not have the offensive firepower this year to push the total.

UCLA at California (48): UCLA scores 25.8 points a game and gains 353 total yards a game, while giving up 23.8 points. Cal is a bit better on offense, scoring 36 points on 409 total yards. The Golden Bears only give up 18 points game on 282 total yards. Their last two meetings have gone over the total.

Southern Cal at Stanford (59): Their last two meetings have gone over the total. Southern Cal averages 35.8 points, gaining 471.6 total yards. The Trojans are giving up 23.8 points a game and 418 total yards. Stanford has been impressive, scoring 44.6 points a game and gaining 470 total yards. Their defense has given up 21.4 points and 332 total yards. USC has the offensive firepower to stay with Stanford or at least make this close as both teams get near or top 30 points to get to the over.

Maddux Sports has exploded out of the gates this college football season hitting almost 70% of our predictions against the spread.  You can get on board for this weeks picks which includes our 20 unit Big Ten Game of the year along with 6 other winning selections.  Check out our college football predictions page to get signed up for these easy winners.

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Posted by on Oct 8 2010. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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