Weather or not, Will the Saints Brees by the Bears?

That’s the question burning in my brain after having considered the offensive stats of both teams, comparing Brees to Grossman and looking at both defenses. After careful consideration the lines have changed a bit with Chicago no only a 2 to 2.5-point favorite (the home field advantage is 3 points).Here’s something to consider– the forecast for the Windy City and it’s, well, windy.

Sunday’s Weather: “Overcast lowers/thickens. Blustery SSE winds gust to 20-25 m.p.h. at times. Snow develops mid/late a.m.; Accumulation possible. Bears/Saints game wind chills: 10s.�

The high is supposed to be 32 degrees and the low 25.

The gusty wind could be a real problem. The fact is that Soldier Field is one of the worst places to try to kick a field goal, while the Louisiana Superdome, home of the Saints, is one of the best.

Here’s a stat for you. Bears’ kicker Robbie Gould has hit about 92% of his kicks at home in the past 2 years, while visitors have connected only about 68% of the time.

Bears’ punter Brad Maynard has a low drop, which means there is less chance for the ball to change direction as it goes down and his foot meets the ball.

Finally, the Bears are used to playing outside, along the waterfront, in the wind, cold and snow. All of those conditions will be present on Sunday.

So, will Drew Brees feel the sting of the breeze on Sunday? How will Saints’ place kicker John Carney do? He’s hit 100% this year at home but only 86.7 on the road and when the temperature is under 40 degrees, he’s been good only 50% of the time. Outdoors he’s at 85.7%; indoors he has hit 100%.

It came down to two field goals last week when the Bears played the Seahawks. Cold that be the deciding factor in this game?

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Posted by on Jan 19 2007. Filed under NFL. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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