Pac 12 Betting Picks: Oregon State Beavers at #24 Oregon Ducks
Oregon State Beavers at #24 Oregon Ducks
Thursday, February 28, 2013, 11:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPNU
Matthew Knight Arena – Eugene, Oregon
Opening Line: Oregon -9 1/2
Current Line: Oregon -10
Opening Total: 140
Current Total: 142 1/2
Opening Money Line: Oregon -550 / Oregon St +450
Current Money Line: Oregon -550 / Oregon St +450
The Oregon Ducks are 22-6 this season. The Ducks are 11-4 in the Pac 12 and tied with UCLA for the conference lead with only a few games left in the regular season. However, Arizona, California, Colorado and maybe Arizona St all have at least outside shots of winning the conference title. They are all within 2.5 games of first.
Oregon hosts arch rival Oregon St Thursday night. The Beavers are 13-15 this season and 3-12 in the Pac 12, ahead of only 2 win Washington St in the standings. Oregon St leads the series 184-154, but the Ducks are 86-71 in Eugene. Oregon St has won in Eugene two of the last 3 seasons. Oregon won in Corvallis in early Janaury 79-66. The Ducks were down 34-28 but scored 51 second half points to get the win.
Oregon St is coached by Craig Robinson. The Beavers have losses to Alabama in New York City, to Kansas in Kansas City, and at home to Towson in overtime, Oregon Arizona St, Arizona, at USC, at UCLA, Washington St, at washington, Cal twice, Stanford twice, and Colorado. The Beavers have lost 3 straight games including 60-59 at home Saturday to Cal. Oregon St has key wins over New Mexico St, Purdue in New York, and San Diego in Las Vegas, Washington, Utah, and at Washington St. Oregon St is 13-11 ATS and the total is 5-14 this season.
Oregon St is outscoring teams 73-70 this season. Oregon St is shooting 44.8% from the field and 36.1% from 3 point range. Oregon St makes 66.7% of their free throws. The Beavers are #49 in rebounding with 37.7 per game, and OSU allows 31.9 to opponents. Oregon St opponents are shooting 43.2% from the field and 34.1% from 3 point range. The Beavers are averaging 15 assists, 6 steals, 5 blocks, and 13 steals per game.
Guard Roberto Nelson averages 17.3 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.5 assists, and 1 steal per game. Forward Devon Collier averages 12.9 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. Joe Burton averages 11.7 points, 6.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Ahmad Starks averages 11.2 points, 2.2 rebounds, 2.3 assists, and 1.1 steals a game. Center Angus Brandt is out for the season with a knee injury. He averaged 11.3 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.3 blocks, and 1 steal a game. Eric Moreland averages 9.3 points, 10.6 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 2.4 blocks per game. Olaf Schaftenaar, Jarmal Reid, and Challe Barton make up the rest of the rotation. Forward Daniel Gomis is also out for the season with a leg injury. He has not played in a game this season.
Oregon is coached by Dana Altman. The Ducks have losses Cincinnati in a tournament in Las Vegas and at UTEP in triple overtime, Stanford, Cal twice, and a home loss to Colorado. Oregon has key wins over Vanderbilt, at UNLV, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon St, Arizona, and Arizona St at UCLA and USC, and at home against Washington St twice, Washington twice, Utah and Stanford 77-66 Saturday. The Ducks have won 4 of their alst 5 games after a 3 game losing streak. Oregon is 11-15 ATS and the total is 7-13 this season.
Oregon is outscoring teams 72-63 this season. The Ducks are shooting 44.9% from the field and 31.3% from 3 point range. Oregon makes 71.8% of their free throws. The Ducks are #38 in rebounding with 38.2 per game. Oregon is 40th in rebounds allowed, with 27.7 per game. Duck opponents are shooting 40.4% from the field and 32.8% from 3 point range. Oregon averages 13 assists, 9 steals, 4 blocks and 13 turnovers.
Forward E.J. Singler averages 11.6 points, 5 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 1 steal a game. Oregon guard Damyean Dotson averages 11.3 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 1 assist. Forward Carlos Emory averages 10.8 points and 4.4 rebounds. Guard Dominic Artis averages 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. Artis is probable with a foot injury after missing the last 9 games. Center Tony Woods averages 9.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 1 block per game. Forward Arsalan Kazemi averages 9.2 points, 9.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists, and 2.3 steals per game. Waverly Austin, Ben Carter and and Johnathan Loyd make up the rest of the rotation.
Oregon St is 9-1 ATS after a straight up loss, 5-1 in road games, 4-1 in road games against teams with winning home records. 9-4 overall, and in Pac 12 games, and 3-7 in Thursday games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The under is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 in this series, and 7-2 in Eugene.
Oregon is 15-6 after a cover, 2-8 overall, and in Pac 12 games, 1-4 at home against teams with losing road records, 1-5 in Thursday games, and after a straight up win, 1-6 at home, and 0-4 against teams with losing records. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in this series.
Oregon St is struggling and beat up right now. Oregon has played the last 9 games without talented guard Dominic Artis. the Ducks went 5-4 in those games, after a 17-2 start. The Ducks could be a potential Final Four team is healthy. I think they beat Oregon St at home, but a rivalry game like this is never easy.
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