NFL on CBS Sunday Odds: N.Y. Jets at Buffalo Bills

Week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report

N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Time: NOON CT, CBS
Spread: NYJ -16.5
Total: 37.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The New York Jets are just 3-9 on the season but will travel to face Buffalo as 16.5-point favorites on the road. The game will air at Noon (CT) on CBS and has an over/under of 37.5 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

NYJ

The New York Jets have lost six-straight, but facing Buffalo could be just the thing needed to turn that losing streak around.

Darron Lee will be serving a four-game suspension for substance abuse, for violating the NFL’s drug policy.

Sam Darnold has struggled in his rookie season at quarterback for the Jets. He has thrown for nearly 2,000 yards, but he is averaging just 6.7 yards per attempt while having thrown 3.8 percent for interceptions. He has more picks (14) than touchdowns (11), and he averages just 200.6 yards per game. Still, there has been promise.

Darnold has five receivers with 200 yards or better on the season, paced by Quincy Enunwa’s 427 yards on 35 catches.

The Jets have not received tremendous production from its backfield, either. Isaiah Crowell leads the team with 680 yards but averages just 4.8 yards-per-attempt, and he has six touchdowns on the season. Bilal Powell has added another 343 yards but has not rushed for a single touchdown.

Darnold has also struggled rushing the ball with just 61 yards on his 30 attempts, with a single touchdown on the season. The Jets average just 20.3 points per game this season while surrendering 25.6 to opponents. Collectively, the Jets manage just 301 yards per game, with 192.4 coming from the pass and 108.6 via the rush. It has been a futile struggle the last six weeks in which the Jets have averaged just 12.3 points per game over the losing streak. With a low over/under, we are hardly expecting a Jets explosion, but against Buffalo, it should be able to better its output of the past six weeks. Last week, New York scored 22 against the Tennessee Titans, but its defense failed it in giving up 26 points to Marcus Mariota and the Titans.

BUF

The Buffalo Bills are 4-8 and just 2-3 at home where it hosts the Jets this week. Buffalo is in second-to-last place in the AFC East, with only the Jets trailing it. Prior to its 17-21 loss to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Bills had won two-straight with victories over the Jets (on the road) and the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Josh Allen has struggled to adapt to the NFL. He has thrown for 1,223 yards but averages just 6.4 yards per attempt and has thrown more interceptions (7) than touchdowns (5). He also averages just 130.3 yards per game with a passer rating of 66.3. Last week was one of his better. Despite throwing two interceptions, he did throw two touchdowns as well and amassed 231 yards on 18 of 33 passing against the Dolphins. He also rushed just nine times for 135 yards including a long-rush of 28-yards.

The rush game has been harsh to the Bills, though. LeSean McCoy looks pretty washed up, with his 3.3 yards-per-attempt average on 143 carries. He has scored two touchdowns and has 478 yards on the season, but it has been largely an ineffective short rush attack. Josh Allen is a much better rusher from the QB position. Allen has 389 rushing yards on just 57 attempts, with his 6.8 yard-per-carry average, and he leads the team with four rushing TDs. Chris Ivory is more like McCoy with just 3.3 yards per carry and Buffalo averages just 4.2 yards-per-attempt as a team with nine rushing TDs on the season as a team. It has scored just eight TDs via the pass, and despite Zay Jones having caught 41 of 69 targeted passes with four TDs, the rest of the roster has been far less effective. Kelvin Benjamin has 354 yards and Robert Foster adds another 256, but Buffalo’s offense has been pretty pitiful despite these few standouts. This game may take on the appearance of a defensive struggle, but do not be so deceived: These are two teams with really poor offensive schemes and systems, just trying to find their footing against one another.

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