NFL Christmas Day Betting Preview: Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles

Oakland Raiders at Philadelphia Eagles
Monday, December 25, 2017, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Opening Line: Philadelphia -9 (+105)
Current Line: Philadelphia -9
Opening Total: 48 1/2
Current Total: 46 1/2
Opening Money Line: Eagles -425 / Raiders +340
Current Money Line: Eagles -400 / Raiders +330

The Raiders travel to the Eagles on Christmas Night,

The 12-2 Philadlephia Eagles have the best record in the NFL. The Eagles have already clinched the NFC East, but can clinch home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a win Monday night against the 6-8 Oakland Raiders. Oakland is in third place in the AFC West, and is eliminated from playoff contention.

The series is tied 6-6 between the Raiders and Eagles. The Eagles won the last meeting 49-20 in Oakland in 2013. The Raiders beat the Eagles in Super Bowl XV in 1981.

Oakland is coached by Jack Del Rio. The Raiders have road wins over the Tennessee Titans 26-16 and Miami Dolphins 27-24, and home wins over the New York Jets 45-20, Kansas City Chiefs 31-30 Denver Broncos 21-14 and New York Giants 24-17. Oakland has road losses to the Washington Redskins 27-10, Buffalo Bills 34-14 and Kansas City Chiefs 26-15. The Raiders have home losses to the Baltimore Ravens 30-17, Los Angeles Chargers 17-16 and Dallas Cowboys 20-17 last week, plus a neutral site loss to the New England Patriots 33-8 in Mexico City.  Oakland was a 3 point underdog against Dallas  and the total was 46. The Raiders are 4-8-2 ATS and the total is 5-9 this season.

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson. The Eagles have road losses at the Kansas City Chiefs 27-20 and Seattle Seahawks 24-10. The Eagles have  road wins at the Washington Redskins 30-17, Los Angeles Chargers 26-24, Carolina Panthers 28-23, Dallas Cowboys 37-9, Los Angeles Rams 43-35 and New York Giants 34-29, plus home wins over the Giants 27-24, Arizona Cardinals 34-7, Redskins 34-24, San Francisco 49ers 33-10, Denver Broncos 51-23 and Chicago Bears 31-3.  Against the Giants, Philadelphia was a  7.5 point favorite and the total was 40.5. Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS and the total is 8-6 this season.

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Oakland is being outscored 23-20 this season. The Raiders  average 327 yards per game on offense including 233 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. The Raiders are #25 in rushing. On defense, the Raiders allow 349 yards per game including 239 passing and 110 rushing yards per game. Oakland is #22 or worse in total and pass defense. The Raiders are 83/199 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 85/195. Oakland has forced 28 sacks and has allowed 21 this season. Oakland is -9 in turnovers and has allowed two defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Derek Carr has completed 63.1% of his passes for 3,113 yards with 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, plus 18 carries for 62 yards. He has been sacked 17 times. E.J. Manuel played in a couple of games when Carr was out with a back injury. He threw for 265 yards with a touchdown and an interception, and rushed for 15 yards.

Running back Marshawn Lynch has 163 carries for 695 yards and 7 touchdowns, plus 16 catches for 136 yards.  Jalen Richard has 52 carries for 233 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 catches for 215 yards and a touchdown. DeAndre Washington has 54 carries for 153 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 31 catches for 195 yards and a touchdown.

Tight end Jared Cook has 50 catches for 638 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is questionable with a wrist injury. Receiver Michael Crabtree has 56 catches for 601 yards and eight touchdowns. He is questionable with concussion.  Amari Cooper has 42 catches for 499 yards and 5 touchdowns. He is probable with an ankle injury. Seth Roberts has 35 catches for 384 yards and a touchdown.  Cordarelle Patterson has 29 catches for 298 yards but has 13 carries for 121 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. He is questionable with a hip injury. Johnny Horton has 9 catches for 218 yards and 3 touchdowns. Ten defensive players and three offensive linemen are on the injury report. Kicker Sebastian Janikowski is out with a back injury and hasn’t played this season. Giorgio Tevecchio has done well as Janikowski’s replacement.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 31-20 this season. The Eagles are #2 in scoring and #8 in points allowed. Philadelphia averages 387 total yards per game including 246 passing and 141 rushing yards. The Eagles are in the top three in total and rushing offense. The Eagles allow 309 yards per game on defense including 238 passing and 72 rushing yards. Philadelphia is #1 in rush defense, and #6 in total defense. Philadelphia is 108/227 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 62/192. The Eagles have forced 36 sacks and allowed 31 this season. Philadelphia is +9 in turnovers and has scored 5 defensive touchdowns. The have also allowed 3 defensive touchdowns

Quarterback Carson Wentz has completed 60.2% of his passes for 3,296 yards with 33 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and has 299 rushing yards on 64 carries. He has been sacked 28 times. Wentz was a contender for the MVP but tore his ACL a couple of weeks ago. Nick Foles is now the quarterback. He has completed 65.4% of his passes for 335 yards with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. He has been sacked three times.

Running back LaGarrette Blount has 159 carries for 717 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus a touchdown catch.The Eagles acquired Jay Ajayi from the Dolphins just before the trade deadline. He has 56 carries for 356 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 catches for 70 yards.  Corey Clement has 71 carries for 307 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 9 catches for 117 yards and two touchdowns.  Wendell Smallwood has 43 carries for 168 yards and a touchdown, plus 10 catches for 79 yards.  Darren Sproles has 15 carries for 61 yards, plus 7 catches for 61 yards. He is out for the season with a torn ACL. Donnel Pumphrey is also out for the season with a hamstring injury

Receiver  Alshon Jeffrey has 56 catches for 781 yards and 9 touchdowns. Nelson Agholor has 55 catches for 722 yards and 8 touchdowns.  Tight end Zach Ertz has 63 catches for 719 yards and 8 touchdowns.  Torrey Smith has 35 catches for 425 yards and 2 touchdowns. Trey Burton has 22 catches for 239 yards and 5 touchdowns.  Mack Hollins has 13 catches for 201 yards and a touchdown. Nine defensive players are listed on the injury report. Kicker Caleb Sturgis is out indefinitely with a quad injury.

The Raiders have covered four of the last five games against the Eagles.

Even without Wentz, Philadelphia is a Super Bowl contender. The Raiders entered the season with Super Bowl hopes of their own. However, it has been a disappointing season. I think this will be a high scoring game and I like the Eagles to win going away.

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