NBA Expert Picks: Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs
Sunday, 3/31/13, 7:00 PM EST, TV:  NBATV
Opening Point Spread:  San Antonio -1.5
Current Betting Line:  San Antonio -1.5
Opening Total:  197.5
Current Total:  198
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Nuggets Spurs NBA Game Preview
The San Antonio Spurs are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of three points or less

Miami has won 28 of its last 29 games overall, including a 108-89 victory over the New Orleans Hornets as 7.5-point road favorites last Friday night, while going OVER the total for a third consecutive contest.  The Heat own a two-game advantage over the Spurs for the best overall record in the NBA entering this particular matchup, but they know it will be hard to pick up a victory at the AT&T Center Sunday.  “It’s always good to play the best, to play against the best,” commented Heat forward LeBron James.  Miami is 3-0 SUATS as underdogs this season, with the UNDER going 2-1 in those contests.

The Heat are 25-12 overall on the road this season, including a 10-4 mark versus Western Conference opponents, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks against the spread.  Miami has won three consecutive games against San Antonio, but happen to be 2-22 in games played in the Lone Star State in this series during the regular season.  The franchise is an NBA-best 21-1 since the All-Star break, which is important to consider when looking over the pro basketball odds page.

San Antonio has won six of its last seven games, including a 104-102 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers as four-point home favorites last Friday, while going OVER the total of 198.  The Spurs were led by the play of veteran forward Tim Duncan, who finished with 34 points and 11 rebounds, while he’s tallied a team-high 31 double-doubles on the season.  San Antonio is 7-3-1 ATS as a home favorite of three points or less the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 8-3 in that situation.

The Spurs rank fourth in the league in scoring 104.3 points per game, while they sit second in shooting 48.6 percent from the floor.  San Antonio has used 13 different starters this season, as the group helped to extend the squad’s NBA record of 50-or-more wins to 14 consecutive seasons.

Sports bettors will likely back the Spurs due to their 34-16-2 ATS mark versus Eastern Conference foes, while the Heat are 13-13 ATS on the road when the total is between 195 and 199.5 the last two-plus seasons.

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