College Football Handicapping: Week 5 Totals Analysis

Oregon Ducks Running Back LaMichael James

Bookmakers see Stanford and Oregon being a shootout with a posted total of 65.5

The total for the Stanford-Oregon game is a whopping 65.5 points. But that high total is warranted.  Their last five meetings have gone over the total. In those games, they failed to top 60 points only once. Stanford is averaging 48 points a game, while giving up 13.7. This season, the over for Oregon is 3-0 and the Ducks are averaging 57.7 points a game.  Both defenses have posted some good numbers, with the Ducks giving up 11 points and Stanford gives up 13.7 points. But this game is not have the feel of a defensive struggle, but which offense will exert its will.  At home, Oregon is averaging 695 yards on 89 plays. Stanford is averaging 467 yards and 69 plays. Nearly all indicators are pointing to an over for this game.

Here is a look at some other totals for college games this weekend:  Remember that you can compare all the lines and totals for every game on the betting board from multiple sportsbooks on our college football odds page.

Texas at Oklahoma (45): The over for Texas is 1-3 as the Longhorns have had their scoring problems lately, scoring 24 against Texas Tech and only 12 in a 34-12 loss to UCLA. The over for Oklahoma is 2-2, and it has scored less than 30 points only once, a 27-24 win over Air Force. Oklahoma is averaging 432 yards and 83 plays a game. If this game goes under, it’s because Texas dragged this into a defensive battle and slowed down the tempo.

Wisconsin at Michigan State (54): The Badgers are averaging 39.5 points a game and 484 yards total offense, while giving up only 14 points and 265 yards. Their defense will be put to the test this week as the Spartans are equally impressive on offense, scoring 36.7 points a game and gaining 465 yards.

Virginia Tech at N.C. State (54):Their last three meetings have gone under the total with 48 being the most points scored. The Hokies are averaging 28.5 points and giving up 20 points a game, while N.C. State is scoring 37.7 points a game and gaining 434 total yards, but only giving up 21.9 points and 311 total yards.

Texas Christian at Colorado State (53 ½): Their last three meetings have gone under the total. TCU averages 44.5 points a game and 459 total yards on 72 plays. They average 10.3 yards per play. Defensively, they give up only 15.5 points. The Rams only score 13.7 points a game and give up 35 points.

Notre Dame at Boston College (45):Boston College unders are 2-0, while unders for Notre Dame is 3-1. Their last three meetings have gone under. Defensively, Notre Dame has had its troubles, giving up 27.7 points and 434 total yards on 77 plays. The Irish score 23 points and gain 426 yards on 72 plays a game. Boston College mainly runs the ball as it gains 115 yards a game on the ground on 34 attempts. It also scores 21 points, while giving up 22 points. Opponents average 67 plays a game.

Tennessee at LSU (42 ½): LSU’s defense can dominate the game, as it allows only 12 points 254 total yards a game. Offensviely, the Tigers only average 300 yards a game, but score an average of 26.5 points. Tennessee scores an average of 28 points a game on 361 total yards, while giving up 27 points a game. The last four meetings, the total is even at 2-2.

Ohio State at Illinois (50 ½): The over for Ohio State is 4-0 as the Buckeyes are enjoying an offensive explosion. They have not scored less than 36 points yet this season. The total for Illinois is 1-1. Illinois scores an average of 25.3 points a game, while giving up 16 points. Two of their last three meetings have gone over the total.

Arizona State at Oregon State (56 ½): Arizona State has scored and average of 36.2 points a game, while giving up 22.7 points. The Sun Devils have gained an average of 495 yards on 77 plays a game, while their defense on the road gives up 440 yards on 67 plays. The over for Oregon State is 4-0 this season. The Beavers are scoring an average of 26.7 points, while giving up 31.7. Their defense gives up 458 yards on 74 plays a game.

Florida at Alabama (48): Three of their last five meetings have gone under the total. The battle here will be between the Alabama defense, which allows 9.7 points a game and Florida’s offense, which scores 37.7 points a game. Florida gives up 14.2 points, while Alabama scores 39.5 points a game. Only once in the last five meetings have they scored more than 48 points.

Nevada at UNLV (61): This game has the earmarks for a blowout. The question is how many points Nevada scores. Nevada scores 44.7 points a game, but scored 63 last season against the Rebels. Until they played lowly New Mexico, UNLV has given up at least 30 points a game. Nevada has topped 50 points twice and 49 another game. Look for Nevada to post similar numbers.

Maddux Sports is currently on a 71% football pick run, we have picks lined up for Friday and Saturday including a 20 unit game of the year play.  It should be another wallet stuffing weekend so dont miss one point spread winner from the college football handicapping experts at Maddux Sports.

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Posted by on Oct 1 2010. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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