College Basketball Picks: Louisville Cardinals vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

No. 11 Louisville Cardinals at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Wednesday, 2/6/13, 7:30 PM EST, TV:  ESPN3
Opening Point Spread:  Louisville -10.5
Current Betting Line:  Louisville -11.5
Opening Total:  N/A
Current Total:  N/A
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have covered the spread in their last two games as home underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights have covered the spread in their last two games as home underdogs of 9.5 to 12 points

Louisville has gotten back on track in winning back-to-back games, including a 70-51 victory over the Marquette Golden Eagles as 10.5-point home favorites last time out, while going UNDER the total for a third consecutive contest.  “I’m really, really happy with our effort,” commented Cardinals coach Rick Pitino.  The Cardinals rank second nationally with a plus-6.6 turnover margin, as they’ve scored 32 percent of their points off turnovers.  Louisville is 2-1 ATS as road favorites of 9.5 to 12 points this season, with the UNDER going 2-0-1 in that situation.

The Cardinals have compiled a solid 31-8 record during the month of February over the last six years, which is important to consider when making your college basketball picks against the spread.  Louisville is tied for the most Big East Conference victories over the last six years during the regular season, as it has gone 81-33 during that period of time.  Offensively, the team has knocked down on just 42.8 percent of its shots over the last eight games, which is off from its 46.2 in the first 14 contests.

Rutgers has lost four games in a row, including a 62-54 setback to the Cincinnati Bearcats as 12-point road underdogs last time out, while going UNDER the total in each of those affairs.  “When they turned their intensity and defensive pressure up, we didn’t have a response,” commented Scarlet Knights coach Mike Rice.  The Scarlet Knights are 1-10 all-time against the Cardinals, including a 1-6 mark when playing as a conference rival.  Rutgers is 2-0 ATS as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Scarlet Knights are 11-0 this season when outshooting their opponent, while going 5-0 when managing to hit the 80-point mark offensively.  Rutgers is led by Eli Carter, who is averaging 15.2 points per game, while scoring 24 in a 78-66 loss to the Cardinals  as 11-point road underdogs last year.

Sports bettors will likely back the Scarlet Knights due to their 5-1 ATS mark at home versus teams with a winning road record, while the Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.

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