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Saturday MLB Evening Betting Preview

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

The Mets look to breakthrough with their first Subway Series victory at Citi Field against the Bronx Bombers

New York Yankees at New York Mets

The New York Yankees picked up a 2-1 road victory over their Subway Series rivals on Friday night.  In winning five straight over the Mets (+500), the Yankees have outscored them by a 35-4 margin.  The starting rotation has led the charge during the current streak, posting a 5-0 record and 0.84 ERA.  One key trend that ended with the opening series victory was the Yankees’ streak of winning games by more than a single run.  They won each of their first 25 games by two runs or more.  New York has compiled a 7-3 record in its last 10 road games in interleague play (+240).

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Saturday MLB Handicapper Report

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

Saturday MLB Handicapper Report – (Complete)

Baltimore Orioles

  • Baltimore would capture its first road series victory of the year with a win today or tomorrow.  The Orioles are 0-9-1 in road series since September 11-13, 2009.
  • The Orioles are now 13-12 in the all-time series against Washington.  They won the season series in 2009, 4-2, taking two of three in D.C.
  • OF Adam Jones has hit safely in 13 of his last 14 games, going 18-for-53 and raising his average from .218 to .254.
  • Baltimore is 10-20 this year against right-handed starters (-710).  The team has compiled a .257 batting average against righties while scoring 3.7 runs per game.
  • Pitching staff has allowed at least one run in the eighth inning or later in 24 of their 43 games this season.  The Orioles have allowed the tying or go-ahead run to score in the eighth inning or later 10 times.
  • SP Brad Bergesen has allowed just 22 runners in 19.1 innings in his last three starts, compared to 27 runners in 10.1 innings of work in his first three starts of the season.
  • Bergesen is just 1-5 with a 4.45 ERA in his career away from Camden Yards.

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Saturday MLB Daytime Betting Preview

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

The Angels and Cardinals prepare for Game 2 of an interleague clash, with both scheduled starters looking to turn around their season.

Los Angeles Angels at St. Louis Cardinals

Los Angeles struggled to shut down St. Louis’ offense in the first three innings on Friday night, ultimately falling, 9-5, in the first game of the series.  The Angels started the year 4-2 on the road, but are now 4-11 in their last 15 road games (-320 overall).  One of the main problems for the team offensively is producing extra-base hits, as the team has just 123 compared to 168 by their opponents this season.  The starting rotation has been the team’s main barometer in the first 44 games this season, posting a 1.70 ERA in 20 wins and a 7.65 ERA in 24 losses.  The Angels are in the middle of a stretch of playing 21 of 27 games on the road, as they will fly the most air miles of any team in 2010 (50,509).

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Friday MLB Handicapper Report

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

Friday MLB Handicapper Report – FINAL

Interleague Facts of Note

  • In 2009, AL clubs compiled a .263 batting average with 315 home runs, 1,206 runs scored and a 3.89 ERA. NL clubs batted .257 with 249 home runs, 1,061 runs scored and a 4.45 ERA.
  • The New York Yankees hold the MLB’s best all-time Interleague record at 133-95 (.583), followed by Minnesota at 132-96 (.548). The Florida Marlins own the NL’s best all-time Interleague mark at 120-99.
  • Seattle OF Ichiro Suzuki led all batters with 33 hits during interleague play last season.
  • St. Louis 1B Albert Pujols smashed an MLB-high nine home runs against the AL last year. He also leads all active players (400 AB min) with a .355 average during interleague play.
  • Seven pitchers total posted a perfect 3-0 record, including Seattle ace Felix Hernandez, who also managed a 0.84 ERA.
  • Two of Friday’s starting pitchers check in with the lowest ERA during interleague play with a minimum of 150 innings. Boston SP John Lackey at 2.63 and Los Angeles Angels SP Joel Pineiro at 3.25.

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2010 Boston Celtics Renaissance

Posted on by Andrew Stevens in Headlines,NBA

Either you are at least a little bit surprised by what the Boston Celtics have accomplished so far in the playoffs or you weren’t paying attention during the regular season. They won 50 games to finish fourth in the Eastern Conference, but they didn’t earn a lot of style points doing it. Their older players looked really old, the team wasn’t playing with cohesion, and only Rajon Rondo seemed to have taken a step forward from the previous year. Yet here they are. They beat a pretty good Miami team easily, dominated what was widely seen as the best team in the league, and are now in very good shape against the Magic after two games. They’ve faced the toughest path of any team in the playoffs, and come out of it looking brilliant. They have been like a whole new team for bettors as well – they burned bettors’ money by going 33-47-2 ATS during the regular season, but have been a fantastic 10-3 ATS in the playoffs.

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Friday MLB Betting Preview

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

On Friday, some may argue that the Subway Series deserves all the headlines.  Don’t mention that to the die-hard fans of these two clubs.

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies

Boston picked up a quick two-game home sweep against the Minnesota Twins and now head off for a three-game series against Philadelphia.  The Red Sox finished with a losing 2-3 record on their last road trip against the Tigers and Yankees.  The team pushed its record against left-handed starters to 10-5 (+420) on the year with Thursday night’s victory and will get ready to face another tonight.  Playing the two-time defending NL Champions is certainly no picnic, but the Red Sox have destroyed the NL East in their last 51 matchups, going 38-13.  Phillies’ fans will be holding their breath during Interleague play, as the team is just 30-51 against the AL since Charlie Manuel took over the controls in 2005. 

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Pitchers Going Consistently Over or Under This Season

Posted on by Kenny Gilbertson in Headlines

There are some pitchers out there who are consistently good at going under the posted total, and others who have never met a total that they can’t go over. Some of that is related to their ERA and the way they are pitching – bad pitcher are going to allow a lot of runs and make t easier to go over, while great pitchers are stingy with runs and go deep in games, and it is hard to go over. There is more to it than just that, though. The pitchers have a big impact on the total that the oddsmakers set, so it only makes sense that both the performance and the public perception of those pitchers factors heavily into the line as it is set. A pitcher that performs at a higher level than the public perceives him to, then, could be a useful pitcher to play on the over/under. Here’s a look at 10 guys who have been particularly useful against the total so far this year:

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Thursday MLB Handicapper Report

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

Thursday MLB Handicapper Report – (Final)

Atlanta Braves

  • Since snapping a season-high nine-game losing streak on 4/30, the Braves have gone 12-6 and have evened their record at 20-20.  Atlanta is .500 for the first time since 4/23 (8-8).
  • Tied with the Brewers and Rockies for the fewest home games (18) in the National League so far this season.  Atlanta is 12-6 at home.
  • Tonight the Braves will depart on a six-game, seven-day road trip, opening a stretch in which they will play 17 of 23 games on the road.
  • INF/OF Eric Hinske is batting .464 with two home runs and 10 RBI in his last eight starts, spurring the Braves to pick up victories in six of those eight games.
  • Atlanta batters have collected a major-league-best 181 walks this season (NYY – 175), but rank just eighth in the majors with a .342 on-base percentage.
  • SP Tommy Hanson has just one career start against the Reds, picking up a victory while allowing just three hits.
  • The right-hander is 8-4 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 career starts at home, striking out 101 batters and walking just 28 over 94 innings.

Continue reading “Thursday MLB Handicapper Report” →

Thursday MLB Betting Preview

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

Today we spotlight a great matchup in each league before the focus turns to interleague baseball this weekend.

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox

Minnesota is 2-4 on its current road trip, after dropping Wednesday night’s game, 3-2, to the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park.  The Twins now have a 6-7 record against the American League East, their only losing record against a division this season (15-8 vs. Central, 3-1 vs. West).  Ending the current road trip in winning fashion may prove difficult, with the team now having lost six straight games at Fenway Park to the Red Sox.   However, they do find themselves in a favorable position on Thursday, facing a left-handed starter.  The Twins are 9-3 (+620) versus southpaws during the 2010 season and the opposing starter has yet to pick up a career win against them in his career.  Minnesota is batting .295 overall against left-handers – good for second in the majors to only the New York Yankees.  C Joe Mauer (.390) and Justin Morneau (.382) lead the way in that category.

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Wednesday MLB Handicapper Report

Posted on by Jeff Mattinger in Headlines

Wednesday MLB Handicapper Report

Baltimore Orioles
  • The Orioles are coming off a 4-4 homestand against Seattle (2-1), Cleveland (1-2) and Kansas City (1-1).  Baltimore is 11-11 in its last 22 games, after starting the year 2-16.
  • IF Ty Wigginton has set a team-high by hitting in nine straight games, going 14-for-36 (.389) with two homers and six RBI.
  • Team has posted a 3-9 record versus left-handed starters this season and 10-18 against righties.
  • In their last 15 games, the Orioles have been held to one run five times and were held scoreless once.  Overall, the team has had 12 games this year where they scored one run or fewer.
  • Defense has made just one error in the last 62.2 innings of play.  The Orioles are fifth in the AL in fielding percentage (.984).
  • After going 1-6 in their first seven one-run games, the O’s have won six of their last seven one-run games.
  • Three Orioles starters rank in the Top 26 in the AL in strikeout-to-walk ratio.  Kevin Milwood is 10th (3.20), Jeremy Guthrie is 11th (3.00) and Brian Matusz is 26th (2.17)
  • In five career starts against Texas, SP Jeremy Guthrie is 3-0 with a 3.16 ERA.  He has not started a game in Arlington since 7/6/07.
  • The right-hander snapped his career-high eight game losing streak on May 8 at Minnesota, outdueling Minnesota LHP Francisco Liriano.  He has won his last two starts since the skid.

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