Week 2 NFL Picks, Trends: Buffalo Bills at New York Giants

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Buffalo at New York Giants

Time: NOON (CT), CBS

Spread: BUF -2

Total: 44.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Buffalo Bills opened as 2.5-point underdogs in its Week 2 matchup against the New York Giants, but the Bills are now 2-point favorites according to NFL Oddsmakers at 5dimes. Buffalo began its season with a Week 1 victory as it defeated the New York Jets 17-16 on the road. The over/under is set at 44.5 points for this Bills’ home opener, which will kickoff at Noon (CT) Sunday on CBS.


Buffalo trailed 0-16 to the Jets last week, but it overcame that deficit and Josh Allen threw a 36-yard go-ahead TD pass to John Brown with three minutes remaining. Allen was 24 of 37 on the day for 254 yards, but he threw two costly interceptions to his one touchdown and his passer rating was just 71.6. The Bills did gain 128 yards on 25 rushing attempts (5.1 yards per) with Devin Singletary leading the team in yardage (70) on just four carries.

Allen was successful on the ground, attempting 10 rushes for 38 total yards and scoring Buffalo’s lone rushing TD. Frank Gore rushed 11 times for just 20 yards, and Gore was not involved in any successful passing plays. John Brown caught seven passes for123 yards, including a 38-yard play and a TD. Cole Beasley caught five for 40 yards, Tommy Sweeney caught two for 35 yards, and Singletary caught five out of the backfield for 28 yards, including a 12-yard play. He was targeted just six times.

The Bills forced two fumbles from the Jets, recovering one of those. The Jets had just one sack and 5.5 tackles-for-loss, while CJ Mosley and Neville Hewitt were responsible for the pair of interceptions. Mosley scored on his while picking up 17-yards after the turnover. Lachlan Edwards had a solid portfolio of punting: seven attempts for an average of 43.4 yards with five pinned in the 20. He had a long-punt of 54-yards. The Bills defense did a great job in the final quarter, and it finished with Trumaine Johnson, Darryl Roberts, and Neville Hewitt all recording eight tackles to their name.


The New York Giants were week 1 losers as it fell 17-35 to the Dallas Cowboys on the road. The Giants return home in Week 2 to host the Bills.

Eli Manning threw 30 of 44 for completion to pick up 306 passing yards, but he averaged just 7.0 yards-per-completion with just one touchdown. Manning threw no interceptions, and he incurred just one sack, but the performance was lackluster at best. Saquon Barkley rushed 11 times for 120 yards, including a 59-yard play, but he had no TD rushes and Wayne Gallman (two carries for 17 yards) had the only score via the rush. New York did average 8.9 yards-per-rush, but it attempted just 17 rushing plays in the game while Dallas picked up less yards (89) on far more attempts (30).

Evan Engram and Cody Latimer had big receiving performances with Engram catching 11 for 116 yards and a TD and Latimer adding another 74 on three catches (though he was targeted eight times). Das Prescott had a huge game for the Cowboys with 405 yards and four touchdowns, and the Cowboys also picked up three yards-per-rush, with Ezekiel Elliot managing 53 yards on 13 attempts with a TD and a long run of 10 yards.

The Giants had no sacks in the game and just two tackles-for-loss, with Jabrill Peppers leading the defense with his seven tackles (6 solos). The Giants will have to increase its blitz pressure or Allen could have a big week against its helpless secondary.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

  • Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
  • Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Bills are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
N.Y. Giants
  • Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Giants are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Giants are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
  • Giants are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Giants are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Giants are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Giants are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
  • Giants are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September.
  • Giants are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 2.


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