SEC Football Weekly Picks: Texas A&M Aggies at (4) Georgia Bulldogs

Texas A&M at #4 Georgia

Time: 2 PM CST, Saturday

Spread: UGA -13

Total: 44

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Georgia Bulldogs defeated Auburn 21-14 last week to improve to 9-1 on the season. The Bulldogs are ranked No. 4 as it hosts Texas A&M this week as 13-point favorites. The over/under is set at 44 total points according to NCAA Football oddsmakers at 5dimes, and the game will air at 2:30 CST on CBS and CBS affiliates.

UGA

Georgia has been outright dominant since losing to South Carolina five weeks ago. It knocked off Kentucky 21-0, Florida 24-17, Missouri 27-0, and it defeated Auburn by a touchdown last week. The Bulldogs are limiting its opponents to just 10.5 points per game while scoring 32.4 itself, good for a win differential of nearly +22. The Bulldogs possess the nation’s No. 25 rush attack while ranking No. 80 in passing offense.

Georgia starting quarterback Jake Fromm has been rock solid. He has thrown for nearly 2k yards this season at a 64.8 percent clip with 16 touchdowns and just three picks. He has also only been sacked six times the entire season. Fromm has not done much as a rusher, but UGA’s top rusher D’Andre Swift has been sensational. He has 1,027 yards with a 6.3 yard-per-carry average and a team-leading seven touchdowns. No. 2 back Brian Herrien has seen just 77 attempts but he has 390 yards and a No. 2 five touchdowns. Three others have rushed for 100 yards or more, and Georgia averages 5.4 yards-per-carry this season.

The wide receivers have all been good, with Lawrence Cager and George Pickens each topping 400 yards on the season with 30 and 33 receptions, respectively. Four others have 140 yards or more, including Swift and tight end Eli Wolf. Georgia has scored 18 passing touchdowns and 18 rushing touchdowns this season. Kicker Rodrigo Blankenship has been solid. He is 35 of 35 on PATs and 19 of 22 on field goals, with both misses coming from beyond the 40. He has hit 3 of 4 from beyond 50-yards.

A&M

Texas A&M is 7-3 this season and 4-2 in SEC play. The Aggies come in riding a four-game win streak, as it has defeated Mississippi, Mississippi State, Utah State, and South Carolina over the past month.

The Aggies have been strong defensively in holding teams to just 20.3 per game while scoring 34 itself. The pass and rush attack both ranks top-50 nationally, and the balance has served A&M well.

Quarterback Kellen Mond has thrown for 2,435 yards at a 64 percent clip with 18 TDs and just six INTs. He has suffered 22 sacks (2.2 per game) for a total loss of 124 yards, but his passer rating is strong at 140.8. Mind also ranks No. 2 in rush attempts (93), rushing yardage (400) and touchdowns (7). Lead rusher Isaiah Spiller has 796 yards and eight touchdowns while averaging better than six yards-per-attempt. The Aggies average 5.1 yards-per-carry as a team, and it has 21 rushing touchdowns on the season.

Mond’s top targets have been Jhamon Austin and Quartney Davis, with 54 and 41 catches, respectively, for 744 yards and 489. Tight end Jalen Wydermyer ranks No. 3 in yardage with 366 yards on 24 catches, and he leads the team in TD receptions with six. The Aggies have 20 receiving touchdowns on the year, and it averages 11.6 yards-per-catch. There are six targets with 20 or more receptions on the season, including Spiller’s 22 catches for 153 yards. Spiller is a short route runner, though, averaging a team-low 7.0 yards-per-catch.

ATS TRENDS (C/O Covers):

Texas A&M
  • Aggies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Aggies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
  • Aggies are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Aggies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games on grass.
  • Aggies are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Aggies are 24-50-1 ATS in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Aggies are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games in November.
Georgia
  • Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.
  • Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Bulldogs are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bulldogs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 conference games.
  • Bulldogs are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
  • Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
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