College Football Saturday Picks ATS: (13) Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers

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#13 Michigan at Indiana

Time: 2 PM CST, Sat

Spread: MICH -10

Total: 54.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The No. 13 ranked Michigan Wolverines is 8-2 as it travels to face Indiana this week as 10-point favorites. The game will air at 2:30 CST on ESPN, and the point total is set at 54.5 according to NCAA football oddsmaker at 5dimes.


The Michigan Wolverines have won three straight since losing to Penn State four weeks ago. It has knocked off a then-No. 8 Notre Dame team, Maryland, and it defeated Michigan State 44-10 last week. The Wolverines will close its season next week against the second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes.

Michigan is 5-2 in Big Ten play, and both of its losses came to ranked opponents in Wisconsin and the Irish. The Wolverines have been outstanding defensively, as expected. The team is limiting opponents to just 16.4 points per game, while Michigan averages 33.2 itself, boasting a win differential of +16.8 points. Michigan is middle-of-the-pack in both rushing and passing, but the result is still a rather high scoring offense considering it is outside the top-60 in both rush and pass offense.

The Wolverines have got a great season out of starting quarterback Shea Patterson. He has thrown for 2,157 yards at a 59.1 percent clip with 16 TDs and just four INTs. Patterson has not been a great rusher with just 1.2 yards-per-attempt, but he does rank No. 2 on the team in rushing touchdowns with five. Lead running backs Zach Charbonnet and Hassan Haskins have been strong. Charbonnet averages 4.8 yards-per-carry and leads the team with 11 rushing touchdowns, while Haskins leads in yards-per-carry at 5.6 with three TDs to his credit.

Ronnie Bell has been the lead receiver and leads the team in catches (36), yardage (610), but has not scored a receiving touchdown. Nico Collins has 25 catches for 484 yards and a team-best four touchdowns. Tight ends Nick Eubanks and Sean McKeon has combined for 46 catches and over 450 yards and seven touchdowns between them, in Michigan’s tight end-heavy offenses.

Michigan is 40 of 40 on PATs, but it is just 10 of 16 on field goals, with Jake Moody having hit 6 of 9 and Quinn Nordin having connected on 4 of 7. The Wolverines are 0 of 3 from behind mid-field on field goals this season.


The Indiana Hoosiers is a much-improved 7-3 football team this season. It has fared 4-3 in Big Ten play, and it is no longer the doormat it had been for the past decade-plus, but how good are the Hoosiers really?

Indiana has the stats to support its improvement. The Hoosiers have held teams to just 21.4 points per game this season while averaging 33.3 itself, good for a +11.9 point differential. Its pass offense is its bread and butter, as the Hoosiers rank No. 13 nationally in passing with 314.3 yards per game. Its rush is outside the top-100, but the 133.7 yards it generates are enough to mix things up and keep the ball moving via the pass.

Indiana has used two quarterbacks this season with Peyton Ramsey and Michael Penix Jr. both having great success. The duo has combined to complete 70.3 percent of its passes with 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Donovan Hale added another touchdown on his single (trick) play. Ramsey and Penix both have been good rusher, too, with each amassing over 100 yards and Penix Jr. averaging 5.4 yards-per-carry. Lead-rusher Stevie Scott III has 791 yards and a team-leading nine touchdowns.

The Hoosiers have seven players with 100 or more receiving yards on the year, led by Whop Philyor whose 863 yards lead the team as well as his 61 receptions. Indiana has five receivers with three or more touchdowns on the season and it has scored 21 TDs via the pass and 18 via the rush.

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