NFL Week Nine Betting Picks: Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks

Washington Redskins at Seattle Seahawks
Sunday, November 5, 2017, 4:05 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, Washington
Opening Line: Seattle -8 (+115)
Current Line: Seattle -7 (-120)
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 45
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -310 / Redskins +255
Current Money Line: Seahawks -340 / Redskins +280

The Seahawks look to continue a four game winning streak as they host the Redskins Sunday.

The Seattle Seahawks are 5-2 and tied for first place in the NFC West with the Los Angeles Rams. Seattle has won four straight games as the host the 3-4 Washington Redskins Sunday. Washington is in third place in the NFC East three and a half games behind the 7-1 Philadelphia Eagles. Washington leads the series 11-8 against Seattle. The Seahawks have won two straight meetings against the Redskins including 27-17 in Washington in 2014. The teams have met in the playoffs three times since 2006 with the Seahawks winning all three of those contests.

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins have home losses to the Philadelphia Eagles 30-17 and Dallas Cowboys 33-19 last week, plus road loss to the Kansas City Chiefs 29-20 and Eagles 34-24. Washington has a road win over the Los Angeles Rams 27-20 and home wins  over the Oakland Raiders 27-10 and San Francisco 49ers 26-24. The Redskins were 3 point underdogs against the Cowboys and the total was 46.5. Washington is 2-5 ATS and the total is 5-2 this season.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have road losses at the Green Bay Packers 17-9 and at the Tennessee Titans 33-27. Seattle has home wins over the San Francisco 49ers 12-9, Indianapolis Colts 46-18 and Houston Texans 41-38 last week, plus road wins at the Los Angeles Rams 16-10 and New York Giants 24-7. Against Houston, the Seahawks were 6 point favorites and the total was 45. It was a surprising shootout between two teams known more for their defense than offense.  Seattle is 3-4 ATS and the total is 3-4 this season.

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Washington is being outscored 26-23 this season. The Redskins are #28 in points allowed. The Redskins average 357 yards per game on offense including 252 passing and 105 rushing yards per game. Washington is #8 in passing. On defense, Washington allows 323 yards per game including 217 passing and 105 rushing yards. Washington is #13 or better in all three categories.  The Redskins are 36/93 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 42/99. Washington has forced 20 sacks and allowed 16 this season. The Redskins are -3 in turnovers and has allowed three defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 67.9% of his passes for 1,900 yards with 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, plus he has 121 rushing yards on 23 carries with a touchdown. He has been sacked 16 times.

Running back Chris Thompson has 47 carries for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 31 catches for 442 yards and 3 touchdowns. He leads the Redskins in rushing and receiving. Samaje Perine has 55 carries for 166 yards, plus he has 5 catches for 30 yards and a touchdown.  Robert Kelley has 44 carries for 166 yards and a touchdown, plus 2 catches for 14 yards. He is probable with an ankle injury.

Tight end Vernon Davis has 17 catches for 312 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Jamison Crowder has 28 catches for 272 yards. He is out with a hamstring injury.  Terelle Pryor, Sr. has 18 catches for 223 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a foot injury. Ryan Grant has 21 catches for 215 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tight end Jordan Reed has 27 catches for 211 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is out with a hamstring injury. Josh Doctson has 8 catches for 130 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Niles Paul is out with a concussion.  Twelve defensive players and seven offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 25-19 this season. Seattle is #10 in scoring and #7 in points allowed. The Seahawks average 370 yards per game on offense including 273 passing and 98 rushing yards. Seattle is #7 in total offense and #3 in passing.  On defense, the Seahawks are allowing 334 total yards per game including 216 passing and 118 rushing yards. Seattle is  47/107 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 34/96. Seattle has forced 16 sacks and allowed 17 this season. The Seahawks are +6 in turnovers and has three defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 63.6% of his passes for 2,008 yards with 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, plus 36 carries for 194 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 16 times.

Running back Chris Carson had 49 carries for 208 yards, plus 7 catches for 59 yards and a touchdown. He is out for the season after suffering a broken leg. Eddie Lacy has 42 carries for 108 yards. C.J. Prosise, Thomas Rawls and J.D. McKissic will also get some carries. Prosise has 6 catches for 87 yards, but is questionable with an ankle injury.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 42 catches for 430 yards and 2 touchdowns. Paul Richardson has 22 catches for 374 yards and 5 touchdowns. Tyler Lockett has 26 catches for 345 yards. Tight end Jimmy Graham has 28 catches for 269 yards and 4 touchdowns. He is probable with an ankle injury. Tight end Luke Wilson has 8 catches for 97 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Fifteen defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

Washington is 4-0 ATS in November, 4-1 on fieldturf, 10-4 in road games, 7-3 against teams with winning records, 7-18-1 after allowing more than 150 rushing yards, 1-4 after allowing more than 30 points, 1-5 against NFC teams, 1-6 after allowing less than 150 passing yards, 1-7 in week nine, and 0-4 overall. The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in this series recently.

Seattle is 5-1 ATS in November, 24-7-2 after passing for more than 250 yards, 8-3 after scoring more than 30 points, 5-2 after rushing for more than 90 yards, 7-3 after failing to cover, 37-18 against teams with losing road records, 3-7 after a straight up win, and 1-4 after gaining more than 350 total yards. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in this series recently. The Seahawks are 4-1-1 ATS against the Redskins recently.

Washington’s offensive line is decimated by injuries. In the last two games, they have given up eight sacks, which is how many they had given up in the fist five games of the season. The Seattle offensive line isn’t much better, and since the Carson injury several weeks ago they have no semblance of a running game besides Wilson. Still, I like the Seahawks at home in a high scoring game.

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