NFL Sunday Betting Picks: Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles

Denver at Philadelphia
Spread: PHI -7.5
Total: 41.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Philadelphia Eagles won its sixth-straight game last week to improve to 7-1 with a 33-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers. Philadelphia now hosts the Denver Broncos at Noon (CT) on CBS, as 7.5-point favorites in a game with an over/under set at 41.5 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

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The Eagles have run up some impressive benchmarks. The team ranks No. 11 in passing yardage (242.5) per game, while maintaining a top-5 rushing attack with 129.3 yards per contest. In addition to its 29.0 points per game, the Eagles also sport a top-10 defense that allows just 19.5 points per game, good for a differential of +9.5.

The Eagles have won its past two games by an average of 16.5 points per game, and other than close calls to the New York Giants and San Diego Chargers, it has won all of its games by 5 points or more. This week, the Broncos post significant challenges to the rush defense, as Denver ranks No. 9 in rushing yardage with 123.4 yards per game.

The Broncos are not an overwhelming offensive team in tallying 18.1 points per contest, but its defense is strong and ranks No. 13 in allowing just 21 points per game. With two defenses that are ranked No. 10 and No. 13, respectively, it is easy to understand the lower over/under of 41.5 points set by NFL oddsmakers. The Broncos have lost three-straight games, and it has averaged just 9.3 points per game over that span. Last week Denver fell 29-19 to the Kansas City Chiefs, but it was blanked 21-0 by the San Diego Chargers the week before.

Demariyus Thomas has not scored a Touchdown in 13-games and counting, and the offense for Denver is certainly having its enormous struggles all the way around. Trevor Siemian has thrown for 1,669 yards but is averaging just 6.8 yards per attempt and he has more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (9). His passer rating is just 76.8, and he has been sacked 25 times through seven games. With an INT% of 4.0, the Broncos have trouble trusting Siemian, but he is good enough the team has not considered using Brock Osweiler, the 6’7” bust that once resided in a Houston Texans uniform.

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Thomas has 455 yards on the season, but not a single TD to his name, despite Emmanuel Sanders, Bennie Fowler III and A.J. Derby all having two touchdowns and half the yardage or less than Thomas. The Broncos have nine receiving TDs on the season, and it has another four via the rush. Leading back C.J. Anderson is averaging just 4.4 yards per carry and has only one TD on the year, in addition to only having four rushes for 20-yards or longer. Jamaal Charles has rushed for 235 yards on 50 carries, with one TD.

Siemian has had some success rushing from the QB position with 89 yards on 23 carries and a touchdown. The Broncos are just such a disaster of late offensively, that the team is wondering if it can manage to get into the end zone at all. Denver has not scored over 24 points except the season’s first two games when it defeated the Chargers and Cowboys while looking far more competent offensively. In the win over Dallas, Siemian had a career-high four TD passes and the Broncos held Ezekiel Elliot to just eight yards. Since then, the team has had trouble rediscovering its early-season magic and there really seems to be no end to Denver’s misery this season.

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