NFL Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks

Detroit Lions at Seattle Seahawks
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, Washington
Monday, October 5, 2015, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Seattle -9
Current Line: Seattle -10
Opening Total: 43
Current Total: 43 1/2
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -450 / Lions +360
Current Money Line: Seahawks -470 / Lions +375

Seattle is a 10 point favorite against Detroit Monday night.
Seattle is a 10 point favorite against Detroit Monday night.

All three of the other 0-3 teams in the NFL won this week including the Baltimore Ravens, Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints. The Detroit Lions are now the only winless team in the NFL as they travel to the 1-2 Seattle Seahawks for Monday Night Football. When the schedule came out, few thought this battle of playoff teams from last year would involves teams that have combined for one win so far in 2015 season.

This is only the 13th meeting between the Lions and Seahawks. Seattle leads the series 7-5. Detroit won the last meeting 28-24 at home in 2012. Seattle had won three straight games in the series prior to that game. The teams haven’t played in Seattle since 2009.

Detroit is coached by Jim Caldwell. The Lions have road losses at the San Diego Chargers 33-28 and Minnesota Vikings 26-16, and a home loss to the Denver Broncos 24-12 last week. The Broncos took a 14-6 lead into halftime. Detroit did score a touchdown, but the extra point was blocked. The Lions scored another touchdown in the third but failed on a two point conversion attempt. The Broncos would add 10 points in the fourth quarter to seal the win. The teams combined for five turnovers, three by the Lions. Detroit was a three point underdog and the total was 45. The Lions are 0-3 ATS and the total is 1-2 this season.

Seattle is coached Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have losses at the St. Louis Rams 34-31 in overtime and Green Bay Packers 27-17. Last week, Seattle got their first win 26-0 against the Chicago Bears in Seattle. The Seahawks got off to a sluggish start and only led 6-0 at halftime with a pair of field goals. The Seahawks ran back the opening kickoff in the second half for a touchdown and added another touchdown later in the third to Jimmy Graham from Russell Wilson. Seattle added another two field goals in the fourth to complete the shutout. Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler missed the game with a hamstring injury and back-up Jimmy Clausen could do virtually nothing on offense. The Bears had ten possessions and punted on each one, the first time that happened in an NFL game since at least 1980. Chicago had 146 total yards and 7 first downs.  Seattle had 371 total yards. The Seahawks were 16.5 point favorites and the total was 43.5. Seattle is 1-2 ATS and the total is 1-2 as well.

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Detroit is being outscored 28-19 this season. The Lions are #25 in scoring and #29 in points allowed. Detroit is averaging 305 yards per game on offense including 260 passing and 45 rushing yards. The Lions are #27 in total offense and last in rushing. On defense, Detroit is allowing 396 yards per game including 284 passing and 112 rushing. The Lions are #28 in total defense and #27 against the pass. Detroit is 15/38 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 19/39. The Lions have forced 4 sacks and allowed 6 this season. Detroit is -2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Matthew Stafford has completed 64.1% of his passes for 814 yards with 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, along with 18 rushing yards. Dan Orlovsky is the back-up.

Running back Ameer Abdullah has 21 carries for 82 yards and a touchdown, along with 7 catches for 72 yards and a touchdown. Joique Bell will also get some carries. He is questionable with an ankle injury. Receiver Calvin Johnson has 20 catches for 199 yards and a touchdown. Golden Tate has 15 catches for 161 yards. Tight end Eric Ebron has 13 catches for 152 yards and 2 touchdowns. Theo Riddick has 15 catches for 144 yards and a touchdown.  Three defensive players and three offensive linemen  are listed on the injury report.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 25-20 this season. The Seahawks are #11 in scoring and #10 in points allowed. Seattle is averaging 346 yards per game on offense including 212 passing yards and 134 rushing. The Seahawks are #27 in passing and #4 in rushing. On defense Seattle is allowing 286 total yards including 186 passing and 100 rushing yards. The Seahawks are #3 in total offense and #4 in pass defense. Seattle is 19/48 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 13/35. The Seahawks have forced 12 sacks and allowed 6 this season. Seattle has two special teams touchdowns and a defensive touchdown. The Seahawks are +1 in turnovers.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 70.3% of his passes for 692 yards with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, along with 24 carries for 137 yards. Running back Marshawn Lynch is out with a hamstring injury. He has 38 carries for 128 yards, along with 9 catches for 61 yards. Thomas Rawls has 18 carries for 109 yards. Fred Jackson will also get some carries. He has 26 rushing yards, but does have 5 catches and a touchdown.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 17 catches for 162 yards and a touchdown. Jermaine Kearse has 14 catches for 152 yards. Tight end Jimmy Graham has 14 catches for 145 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rookie receiver Tyler Lockett has 6 catches for 51 yards. However, he has a kick return and a punt return both for touchdowns. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Detroit is 7-1 ATS after a double digit home loss, 5-1 after scoring less than 15 points at home, 4-1 in week four, 2-5 against teams with losing records, 1-4 after failing to cover, after allowing 350 total yards or more, after passing for more than 250 yards, and against NFC teams, 1-5 in October, 1-6 overall, 1-7 in road games, 0-4 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards and after rushing for less than 90 rushing yards. The over is 4-1 in this series recently.

Seattle is 4-0 ATS against teams with losing records, 5-0-1 after allowing 15 points or less, 7-1-1 in Monday games, 12-3-1 after allowing less than 250 total yards and 150 passing yards, 17-7 against teams with losing road records, 35-15-1 on fieldturf, 9-4 after a straight up win of more than 14 points, 38-17-1 against NFC teams, 34-16-1 at home, 18-38-1 in October, and 1-4 overall. The home team has covered the last 4 games in this series.

Seattle has struggled on offense, and will likely struggle even more without Lynch. Still, they are scoring more points than the toothless Lions. CenturyLink is a tough place to play and I like the Seahawks to get back to .500 and drop the Lions to 0-4.

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