College Football Betting Preview: Washington Huskies at #17 USC Trojans

Washington Huskies at #17 Southern California Trojans
Thursday, October 8, 2015, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Los Angeles Coliseum – Los Angeles, California
Opening Line: USC -16 1/2
Current Line: USC -17
Opening Total: 56
Current Total: 56
Opening Money Line: USC -900 / Washington +600
Current Money Line: USC -850 / Washington +575

USC is a heavy favorite against Washington Thursday night.
USC is a heavy favorite against Washington Thursday night.

The 2-2 Washington Huskies travel to the 3-1 Southern California Trojans Thursday night. The Huskies are 0-1 in Pac 12 play and the Trojans are 1-1 this season.

USC leads the series 50-28-4 against including 31-11 in the Coliseum. USC won the last match-up 24-14 in 2012 in Seattle. Washington’s coach at that time was current USC coach Steve Sarkisian. He left the Huskies in 2014 after 5 seasons in Seattle to become the head coach at USC where he had previously been the offensive coordinator.

Washington is coached by Chris Petersen. The Huskies have a road loss at Boise State 16-13 and two weeks ago at home to California 30-24. Washington has home wins over Sacramento State 49-0 and Utah State 31-17. Against California, Washington was a one point underdog and the total was 59.5. Despite gaining only 259 total yards and turning the ball over 5 times, Washington had chances to win against Cal. The Huskies lead 7-3 at the end of the first, but Cal would take a 20-7 lead into halftime. The Huskies would trail 27-21 going into the fourth. The teams exchanged field goals in the fourth. After a Cal punt, Washington had one last chance but an interception ended those hopes. The Golden Bears ran out the clock. Washington is 3-1 ATS and the total is 1-3 this season.

USC has a road loss at Stanford 41-31. The Trojans have home wins over Arkansas State 55-6 and Idaho State 59-9, along with a road win over Arizona State 42-14 two weeks ago. USC rebounded from the Stanford loss against Arizona State in a big way. The Trojans took a 35-0 lead into halftime on the strength of four Cody Kessler touchdown passes and a defensive touchdown. The Sun Devils would score two touchdowns in the second half and Kessler would add another touchdown pass. ASU had 4 turnovers and USC had 2 turnovers.  USC was a 4 point favorite and the total was 62. The Trojans are 3-1 ATS and the total is 2-2 this season.

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Washington is outscoring teams 29-16 this season. The Huskies are #17 nationally in points allowed. Washington averages 356 yards per game on offense including 249 passing and 107 rushing yards. The Huskies are #100 in total offense and #119 in rushing out of 128 teams. Washington allows 321 yards per game on defense including 217 passing and 105 rushing yards. The Huskies are in the top 30 in total and rush defense. Washington has forced 7 turnovers but has 10 of their own. The Huskies average 38 penalty yards per game and opponents average 50. Washington is 18/53 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 32/80. The Huskies have forced 8 sacks and allowed 11 this season. Washington is 10/12 scoring in the red zone with 8 touchdowns and opponents are 10/14 with 5 touchdowns. Washington has a punt return for a touchdown along with a defensive touchdown, and has allowed a defensive touchdown.

Quarterback Jake Browning has completed 65% of his passes for 996 yards with 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Running back Myles Gaskin has 39 carries for 209 yards and 3 touchdowns. Dwayne Washington has 27 carries for 138 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 17 catches for 223 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Receiver Joshua Perkins has 13 catches for 167 yards. Jaydon Mickens has 13 catches for 121 yards. Brayden Lenius has 8 catches for 107 yards. Darrell Daniels has 7 catches for 105 yards. Dante Pettis has 8 catches for 95 yards. John Ross is out for the season with a knee injury.

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USC is outscoring teams 47-18 this season. The Trojans are #5 in scoring and #22 in points allowed nationally. USC averages 532 total yards including 357 passing and 175 rushing yards. The Trojans are #11 or better in both passing and total offense. On defense, Southern Cal is allowing 410 total yards including 246 passing and 164 rushing yards. USC is #91 in total defense and #90 in pass defense.  The Trojans have forced 8 turnovers and have 2 of their own. USC averages 68 penalty yards per game and opponents average 44. The Trojans are 20/46 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 25/68. Southern Cal has forced 8 sacks and allowed 8 this season. The Trojans are 17/20 scoring in the red zone with 15 touchdowns and opponents are 11/14 with 9 touchdowns. USC has two defensive touchdowns this season.

Quarterback Cody Kessler has completed 73% of his passes for 1,297 yards with 15 touchdowns and 1 interception. Max Browne has thrown for 113 yards

Running back Tre Madden has 37 carries for 213 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 7 catches for  yards and a touchdown. Ronald Jones II has 30 carries for 242 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 2 catches. Justin Davis has 20 carries for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 5 catches for 58 yards.

Receiver Juju Smith-Schuster has 27 catches for 537 yards and 6 touchdowns. He is probable for personal reasons. Adoree’ Jackson has 7 catches for 193 yards and a touchdown. Steven Mitchell, Jr. has 13 catches for 126 yards and 4 touchdowns.  Issac Whitney has 7 catches for 108 yards and 2 touchdowns. Darreus Rogers has 7 catches for 80 yards. He is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Jalen Greene will also get some targets.

Washington is 4-0 ATS after a straight up loss, 8-1 after a bye week, 4-1 after failing to cover, and in road games, 8-2-1 after gaining 275 yards or less, 6-2 overall, 15-5-1 after passing for 175 yards or less, 5-2 after allowing more than 450 total yards, 16-41-2 in October, and 4-11 against teams with winning home records. The Huskies are 6-2 ATS in this series recently and were underdogs in each of those contests. The under is 5-1-1 in this series including 3-1-1 in LA.

USC is 5-0 ATS after gaining more than 450 total yards, 15-7 after a bye week, 2-5 after passing for 280 yards or more, 7-19 after a straight up win, 1-4 after a cover, and after allowing 450 total yards or more, 1-5 after a straight up win by 20 points or more, and after allowing less than 20 points. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series recently. The Trojans are 5-2 ATS at home in this series recently.

USC stumbled against Stanford mainly because the defense struggled. That shouldn’t be an issue against a Washington team that struggles to score and move the ball sometimes. The Husky defense might be able to keep it close for a while but the Trojans simply have too much fire power in the end.

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