NCAA Football Week 4 Picks ATS: Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys

College Football Betting

Texas Tech at Oklahoma St.
Time: 6 PM CT
Spread: OKST -14
Total: 76

Odds c/o 5dimes

The No. 15 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys have fared 3-0 thus far after knocking off Missouri State, South Alabama and Boise State. The Cowboys now host Texas Tech in Week 4 as 14-point favorites at 6 PM (CT) on FS1. The game has a high over/under of 76 points according to college football oddsmakers at 5dimes, so this game should feature plenty of scoring and offense, as Oklahoma State hopes to improve to 4-0 before a Week 5 matchup against Kansas next week.

OK St.

The Cowboys rank No. 7 in the nation in scoring at 52.3 points per game, while possessing a top-30 defense that holds opponents to just 17.0 points per game. The Cowboys have been dominant with both the pass and the rush, ranking No. 12 and No. 20 respectively, with 333.3 passing yards per game and another 257.0 per game via the rush.

Quarterback Taylor Cornelius has been great with 65 of 101 passing (64.4 percent) for 971 yards on the year with seven TDs and three interceptions. His top passing target has been Tylan Wallace, who leads the team in receptions (19), yardage (319 yards) and is tied with Jalen McClesky for the team-lead in receiving TDs (2). Tyron Johnson, Dillon Stoner, and McClesky have all caught for 100-plus yards on the season, while Oklahoma State is hardly short of powerful rushers, at that. In the backfield, Justice Hill has rushed for 227 yards on 34 carries (8.1 yards-per-attempt) and LD Brown and JD King have both rushed for 100-plus yards already. The Cowboys average 5.7 yards-per-attempt as a team, and average 3.3 rushing TDs per game. The team can just hurt defenses in so many ways with its depth at all the skill positions.

Texas Tech

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 2-1 after consecutive wins over Lamar and Houston. Week 1 saw the Red Raiders fall 47-27 to Ole Miss. This week marks the first of three matchups against AP-ranked opponents, however, so Texas Tech may be tumbling down to reality quickly in the Big 12.

Alan Bowman has already thrown for 1,160 yards on the season at a 70.7 percent completion clip with eight TDs and no interceptions. He has been strictly a pass-launching quarterback, with only five rush attempts for a loss of 18 yards total. The entire rush attack has lingered behind the potent pass game, with the team averaging just 4.0 yards-per-attempt via the rush. Ta’Zhawn Henry leads the way with 166 yards on 35 carries and his six TDs.

The Red Raiders have 13 rushing TDs already on the season, despite mostly relying on the passing game to move it down the field. Texas Tech’s top receivers Antoine Wesley, Ja’Deion High, and TJ Vasher all have 200-yards or more on the season, and Wesley leads them all with 413 yards on 23 catches including four TDs and a 66-yard TD catch. Expect this game to feature plenty of long passes and plenty of scoring, but Texas Tech will find itself outmatched by the versatility of Mississippi State and likely lose as college football oddsmakers project.

ATS TRENDS:

Texas Tech
  • Red Raiders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Red Raiders are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games in September.
  • Red Raiders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Red Raiders are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Red Raiders are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
  • Red Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
  • Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Red Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Oklahoma State
  • Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
  • Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
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