SEC Football Week 4 Odds: Mississippi State Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats

Week 10 NFL Odds & Lines

Miss. State at Kentucky
Time: 6 PM CT
Spread: MISS -9.5
Total: 56

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Kentucky Wildcats are off to a 3-0 start after defeating in-state rival Murray State last week. Week 2 saw Kentucky knock off a ranked Florida Gators team. This week, the Wildcats host No. 14 ranked Mississippi State in its toughest matchup yet. The Wildcats are 9.5-point underdogs in the affair, which will kickoff at 6 PM (CT) on ESPN 2. The over/under is set at 56 points according to college football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

UK

Kentucky has been paced again by the power of running back Benny Snell Jr. He has rushed for 375 yards already (125 per game) on 6.0 yards-per-carry with three touchdown runs. Quarterback Terry Wilson has also been sensational with 41 of 59 passing on the year (69.5 percent) for 392 yards, but his three interceptions are a black mark on his otherwise trusty passing.

Wide receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. has caught 17 passes for 185 yards and a TD and David Bouvier has caught five passes for 91 yards and two Touchdowns. Kicker Miles Butler has been perfect thus far in hitting 2 of 2 field goals and all 14 of his PATs. Lastly, Terry Wilson has aided Snell plenty in the rush attack with 223 yards on 32 carries and two touchdown. Asim Rose has added a team-tying-high three TDs on his 146 yards rushing. Kentucky now has a great balance between its rush and pass offense, but it will need Wilson to cut down on the picks.

MISS ST

No. 14 Mississippi State is also 3-0 on the season after knocking off SF Austin In week 1, Kansas State in Week 2, and Louisiana in Week 3. Last week Miss. State defeated the Ragin’ Cajuns 56-10 in a game that was never close. The Bulldogs led 35-3 at the half. Nick Fitzgerald threw 14 of 21 for 234 yards and two TDs (no INTs), and he rushed for another 107 yards on 15 carries, with four rushing TDs.

Fitzgerald has been great on the season, now in his senior year. He has thrown for 2,423 yards in 2016, and this year has the potential to be just as great. Last year, he struggled with 11 interceptions to his 15 TDs, but he has thrown just one this year and been sacked only two times through three weeks. He struggled in the 31-10 win over Kansas State throwing just 11 of 27, but he rushed for 159 yards in that contest, offsetting the inaccuracy. Fitzgerald should be enough to carry the Bulldogs to a victory, even against a much-improved Kentucky team.

ATS TRENDS:

Mississippi State
  • Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Kentucky
  • Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
  • Wildcats are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
  • Wildcats are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games.
  • Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Wildcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
  • Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

 

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