Week 3 NFL Picks, Odds, Trends: Indianapolis Colts at Philadelphia Eagles

Indianapolis at Philadelphia
Time: NOON (CT), FOX
Spread: PHI -7.5
Total: 46.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The defending champion Philadelphia Eagles fell to 1-1 last week after a 27-21 loss to Tampa Bay on the road. This week, Philly hosts the Indianapolis Colts at noon (CT) on FOX as 7.5-point favorites. The point total is set at 46.5 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

PHI

Philadelphia (1-1) was defeated last week as Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Buccaneers put on another outstanding performance in throwing for 400-plus yards and four touchdowns. Fitzpatrick has been on fire in this young season, but can Philly turn it around this week hosting the Colts?

It will hope so, with quarterback Nick Foles coming off a pretty stellar week of his own in Week 2. Despite the loss, Foles threw 35 of 48 for 334 yards and a TD. He got little to no help from his backfield, however, with it rushing for just 83 yards outside of his own 8-yards gained.

Corey Clement had 30 yards on six attempts with a TD, but half his yardage came on one 15-yard run, and no other player averaged more than four yards-per-carry. Zach Ertz did a strong job catching the football with 94 yards on 11 catches, and Nelson Agholor added a TD and 88 receiving yards. It just was not enough with Fitzpatrick’s display—even outside of the fact that the Eagles’ secondary came up with an interception and sacked him twice in the game.

Moreover, the rush defense was on-point in holding Tampa Bay to just 1.9 yards-per-carry and 43 total rushing yards, but Fitzpatrick varied his pass attacks in hitting four different receiving options for his TDs, including DeSean Jackson for his four catches and 129 yards, as he reeled in all four targeted to him in the game.

The Buccaneers could be much better this year, but it was still a blow to the Eagles to lose its first game already in Week 2 following a Super Bowl championship. This week, it will look to repeat its offensive performance for the most part while hoping for a less-than-extra-worldly performance from its opponent. Seems simple enough, no?

IND

The Indianapolis Colts improved to 1-1 following a road win against the Washington Redskins in Week 2. Andrew Luck was not without his miscues, but the Colts’ defense more than did its job in holding Washington to a mere three field goals in the contest, entirely keeping Indianapolis out of the red zone for the most part, and causing costly miscues when it did arrive there.

Luck threw 21 of 31 for 179 yards but had two interceptions to match his two touchdowns and averaged just 5.8 yards per pass attempt, while posting a humble 77.2 passer rating. T.Y. Hilton had 83 yards and a TD and Eric Ebron caught the other touchdown pass.

Runningback Jordan Wilkins rushed for 61 yards on 10 attempts and No. 2 back Marlon Mack added another 34 yards on his 10 carries. The Colts will need Andrew Luck to tone down on the inaccurate passes and perhaps mix in a few more long routes this week to overcome the Eagles. Although, Philadelphia’s secondary will no doubt be expecting just that.

ATS TRENDS:

Indianapolis
  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
  • Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Colts are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Philadelphia
  • Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Eagles are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
  • Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3.
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