Week 3 NFL Picks and Trends: Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins

Eagles Packers NFL Preview

Green Bay at Washington
Time: NOON (CT)
Spread: GB -2.5
Total: 45

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Green Bay Packers are 1-0-1 after tying the Minnesota Vikings in Week 2. Green Bay now travels to face the Washington Redskins as 2.5-point favorites in a Noontime game on FOX. The over/under is set at 45 points according to NFL oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

G.B.

Aaron Rodgers has begun the season in typical form, with his 69.4 percent completion rate and four TDs (with no interceptions), but to say Green Bay’s offensive line has protected him well would be a bit of a stretch. Rodgers has already suffered six sacks this season for a massive total loss of 47 yards. Moreover, his own rushing attempts have been largely thwarted outside of his one attempt which garnered him 15-yards.

Rodgers has gained just eight the other three attempts. Jamal Williams has done his best with spotty protection from the Packers’ OL, gaining just 3.4 yards-per-carry on his 31 rush attempts this season. Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, Geronimo Allison, and Jimmy Graham all have caught for 100-yards or better this season, though, and the quartet has four TDs between them, all of The Packers’ receiving TDs, to be clear. The onus simply relies upon the OL to provide better pass protection and create more holes for Williams, Ty Montgomery—and Rodgers, too, of course.

WASH.

The Washington Redskins are 1-1 after losing 9-21 to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 2. Thus far, Adrian Peterson has been good, but he is getting frustrated with the OL and is averaging just 3.1 yards-per-carry on his 37 attempts. Peterson has had more success in his pass routes, catching five of six targeted passes for 100 yards. He has just one rushing TD, though, and no receiving TDs.

Alex Smith is throwing accurately, and he has completed 71.1 percent of his passes. The routes, however, have been a lot of short pass plays and options to the running backs, and accordingly, Smith is averaging just 7.1 yards per-pas. He has thrown two TDs and no interceptions, but Smith has been sacked six times already just like Rodgers, his counterpart this week.

Expect this game to be a bit of a defensive struggle, as both defenses seem up to the challenge of slowing the ground games of their opponents. The Redskins are averaging just 3.9 yards per-rush-attempt, at any rate, although No. 2 back Chris Thompson has been superb on his limited attempts (nine, for 66 yards).

ATS TRENDS:

Green Bay
  • Packers are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Packers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
  • Packers are 40-19 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Washington
  • Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

OU TRENDS:

Green Bay
  • Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 14-3 in Packers last 17 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-2 in Packers last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games in Week 3.
  • Over is 11-3 in Packers last 14 games following a ATS win.
  • Over is 24-7 in Packers last 31 games overall.
  • Over is 18-6 in Packers last 24 games on grass.
  • Over is 19-7 in Packers last 26 games in September.
  • Over is 19-7 in Packers last 26 vs. NFC.
  • Over is 36-17 in Packers last 53 road games.
Washington
  • Under is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 home games.
  • Under is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 games on grass.
  • Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games in September.
  • Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 19-7 in Redskins last 26 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD:

  • Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
  • Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
  • Favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Share This Post

The information contained at this site is for entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of any state, federal, or local laws is prohibited.
Copyright © MadduxSports.com - Contact The Experts - Privacy Policy - Advertising Rates - Staff Bios - About Maddux Sports