Week 3 College Saturday: Vanderbilt Commodores at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Justin Thomas has a 118.9 passer rating but has only attempted 25 passes this season through Week 2.
Justin Thomas has a 118.9 passer rating but has only attempted 25 passes this season through Week 2.

Vandy-Ga Tech
Time: 12:30 PM ET
Spread: GAT -7
M/L: GAT -245, VAN +205
Total: 43.5

Betting odds c/o 5dimes

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets improved to 2-0 after a 35-10 Week 2 victory over Mercer. Week 1 saw the Yellow Jackets squeak by Boston College. Now attention turns to the Vanderbilt Commodores with Tech favored by 7-points at oddsmaker 5dimes.

Georgia Tech passed just 10 times last week, with Justin Thomas completing five of those for a total of 80 passing yards. But the Yellow Jackets went to work on the ground, rushing 52 times in the game for 364 yards. Qua Searcy led the way with 91 yards on seven carries, and seven Tech players rushed at least three times in the game. Georgia Tech averaged seven yards per carry and had five TDs in the game.

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Thomas has thrown just 25 passes on the season for 199 yards, but he has not thrown a pick and has a passer rating of 118.9. Thomas has rushed for 85 yards on 17 carries with a TD and a long run of 31 yards. Searcy leads the team in yardage (87) but has just nine attempts on the season, while there are four other Tech players with 13 or more carries, including Marcus Marshall’s 19 rushes for 82 yards and a TD. Georgia Tech has scored seven rushing TDs on the season, but has yet to throw for a TD. Kicker Harrison Butker is perfect on the season but has attempted just one field goal, a 40-yarder.

Vanderbilt rebounded with a Week 2 win over Middle Tennessee State University, winning 47-24. Week 1 saw Vandy fall 13-10 to South Carolina. Kyle Shurmur threw 15 of 28 for 113 yards and a TD last week, but it was Ralph Webb who really carried the Commodores. He rushed for 211 yards on 29 carries, averaging 7.3 yards per attempt and scoring two TDs.

Khari Blasingame rushed six times for 19 yards but had a pair of TDs. Shurmur was not effective on the ground, rushing twice but losing 13 yards on those two attempts. Vandy managed 113 passing yards on 15 attempts, but it is Webb that really accounted for the team’s dominance over MTSU. Darrius Sims did a great job on kick returns with three for 95 total yards including a long of 47-yards.

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Webb is a 5’10” 202 pound junior who had 97 yards on 20 attempts in the Week 1 loss. He caught three passes against South Carolina for 28 yards, but he was negative-5 yards receiving in Week 2. Last season he rushed for 1,152 yards on 277 carries, getting 4.2 yards per attempt and scoring five TDs on the season. He looks to be in for a much bigger year in 2016-17, and the Commodores have groomed him for this. He rushed for 907 yards in 2014 as a freshman, but this is his first season that he may easily exceed five yards per attempt after being good for 4.25 the previous two seasons combined.

Shurmur is not the most effective QB with just a 46 percent completion ratio on 50 passes this season. His 3.72 yards per attempt are downright troubling, and Webb could be an effective pass option like he was in Week 1 with improvement from Shurmur. His passer rating is just 83.8, and no receiver has more than four catches on the season.

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ATS TRENDS

Vanderbilt
  • Commodores are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Commodores are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Commodores are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in September.
  • Commodores are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Commodores are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games.
  • Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Commodores are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Commodores are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Georgia Tech
  • Yellow Jackets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Yellow Jackets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Yellow Jackets are 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games in September.
  • Yellow Jackets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. SEC.
  • Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Yellow Jackets are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Yellow Jackets are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Yellow Jackets are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
  • Yellow Jackets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Vanderbilt
  • Under is 5-0 in Commodores last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Commodores last 4 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-0-1 in Commodores last 7 games following a ATS win.
  • Under is 7-1 in Commodores last 8 road games.
  • Over is 5-1 in Commodores last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Commodores last 7 games in September.
  • Under is 5-1 in Commodores last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Under is 7-2 in Commodores last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in Commodores last 21 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Commodores last 5 non-conference games.
  • Over is 11-4 in Commodores last 15 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 18-7-1 in Commodores last 26 games overall.
  • Under is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Commodores last 7 games on grass.
  • Over is 7-3 in Commodores last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Georgia Tech
  • Under is 5-1 in Yellow Jackets last 6 games overall.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yellow Jackets last 6 games on grass.
  • Under is 5-1 in Yellow Jackets last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Yellow Jackets last 11 games following a straight up win.
  • Over is 10-4 in Yellow Jackets last 14 non-conference games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Yellow Jackets last 7 vs. SEC.
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