Golden State Warriors at Indiana Pacers
Tip off: 7:05 PM EST
Spread: IND -6
M/L: IND -240, GSW +200
Betting Odds from Bookmaker
Right now, the 13-17 Warriors are on the outside looking in on the Western Conference playoff race. After drafting Klay Thompson this summer, Warriors head coach Mark Jackson raved that the Warriors would make the playoffs. Thompson has been solid, as have the rest of the Warriors, but the West is the tougher conference, and if the Warriors were in the East, they would be battling it out for the 7th seed, not the 10th.
Still, they have reason to believe that Monta Ellis can get them to the promised land of the playoffs. They have reason to suspect that Stephen Curry may have plantar faciitis, though, and are going to have to be cautious to avoid permanently damaging the youngster. David Lee has been solid, which is good, considering the Warriors have him under contract for four more seasons following this one.
The biggest disappointment so far for the Warriors, though, has been Dorrell Wright, who has become quite mediocre this season after having a break out campaign last year. Wright is shooting just 35% from three and 41% from the field, and is now only seeing 28 minutes a game. If Wright could step back up, it would make the Warriors a much more likely bet to make the playoffs.
Warriors Betting Trends:
Golden State is 5-17 SU in their last 22 on the road and the total has gone OVER In 9 of of their last 11 games on the road. The Warriors are 7-14 SU in their last 21 games against the Indiana Pacers and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against Indiana. The total has gone OVER In 14 of the last 20 against Indiana and it has also gone OVER In 7 of the last 10 games on the road at Indy. Golden State is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road against Indiana and they are 1-9 ATS In their last 10 games against Indy on the road.
The Pacers have been much improved, but not that many people are all that surprised. They sit at 21-12, which seems appropriate for a team that made some nice moves in the off season, adding one time All-Star David West, defensively minded combo guard George Hill, and the not yet used much Louis Amundson.
It seems odd that the player most responsible for the Pacers success is given the least credit. Once again Danny Granger is putting up very solid numbers, and yet everyone seems to talk more about Roy Hibbert and dunk contest participant Paul George. Granger’s numbers are not what they were in years past, but he is still putting up 18 points per game and getting 1.3 steals per night. He also rarely turns the ball over for a player who has such a high usage rate, with only 1.8 turnovers per night.
The Pacers have great depth, too, with seven players averaging 9.0 points or more per game, and the team puts up 95.5 per game. Darren Collison is still adjusting to life as an NBA point guard, after a great breakout campaign as a rookie, but seems to be the long term answer for the Pacers in the backcourt, along with the developing defensive stopper Paul George.
Pacers Betting Trends:
Indiana is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6. The Pacers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 at home. The total has gone UNDER In 12 of their last 17 home games and they are 11-4 SU in their last 15 at home. The total has gone OVER n 14 of the Pacers’ last 20 games against the Warriors and the Pacers are 14-7 SU in their last 21 against Golden State. The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Pacers’ last 10 games against Golden State, and the Pacers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 at home against Golden State.