Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: College Football Week 10 Picks

Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Saturday, 11/3/12, 3:30 PM EST, TV:  ABC
Opening Point Spread:  Texas Tech -5
Current Betting Line:  Texas Tech -6.5
Opening Total:  71
Current Total:  67.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Texas Tech QB Seth Doege leads the nation with 30 touchdown passes

Texas has won two games in a row after suffering through a two-game losing streak, as it comes off a 21-17 victory over the Kansas Jayhawks as 18-point road favorites, while going UNDER the total for the first time in six weeks.  The Longhorns have won 11 of the last 13 matchups against the Red Raiders, while they own a 46-15 lead in the all-time series.  Head coach Mack Brown has compiled an 11-3 mark in this Big 12 Conference rivalry, but all three losses have come in Lubbock.  Texas is 2-8 ATS as an underdog the last two-plus years.

The Longhorns have won their last four road games, including all three this season.  Texas has lost nine consecutive games against ranked opponents, dropping those contests by an average of 17.2 points per game.  Defensively, the team has done little to stop opponents from running the football, allowing a league-worst 218.0 rushing yards per game.  It’s still important to note that four of its last six games have come against offenses that rank among the top 10 nationally in either scoring or total defense.

Texas Tech is focused on trying to avoid its fourth straight loss in this series, as the winner walks away with the Chancellor’s Spurs.  “It will be a huge game for us,” commented Red Raiders quarterback Seth Doege.  Saturday will mark the first time since 2008 that both teams enter the contest ranked in the Top 25.  The Red Raiders will be meeting a ranked opponent for the fifth consecutive week.  Texas Tech is 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points, with the OVER going 6-4 in that situation.

The Red Raiders are one of just two teams nationally that rank in the top 15 in both total offense and total defense.  Doege enters this game ranked fifth on the school’s all-time list with 6,971 passing yards, while sits first nationally with 30 touchdown passes this season.  Wide receivers Darrin Moore and Eric Stephens are his main targets, combining for 94 receptions.

Sports bettors will likely back the Red Raiders due to their 6-2 ATS mark in their last eight games, while the Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in conference action.

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