New England Patriots Vs New Orleans Saints Preseason GameThe New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints got a sneak preview of each other earlier in the week when they practiced together, meeting for the first time since the defending Super Bowl champions made a big statement in a 38-17 rout on Monday Night Football last November.  The Saints still need a couple more championships to equal the Patriots, who find themselves as small favorites at -1.5 in Thursday’s preseason opener for both teams.  Line is current of the time of publish, but preseason betting odds do move quickly so check out the NFL betting lines page of the website for up to date point spreads.

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Oakland Raiders Vs Dallas Cowboys NFL Pick
Maddux's Free NFL Pick likes tonights 1st half to go over the total
The Dallas Cowboys will be playing for the second time in five days and look to build off an impressive 19-7 win over Cincinnati in the Hall of Fame Game when they host the Oakland Raiders on Thursday.  The Cowboys are solid favorites at -3 at Bookmaker and 5Dimes at the time of publish. They played outstanding defense against the Bengals, who did not score until the final minute of the game.  Meanwhile, the Raiders hope they can begin to turn their fortunes around with a good preseason showing at Dallas.

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Coming off a 2009 season in which the Bills went 6-10 with a -68 point differential,   Vegas has set the 2010 Regular season win total for the Bills at 5.5.  The Bills were 30th in offense and 19th in defense.   Pinnacle has the under at -140 and Bodog has the under at -150 so the early bettors are shorting the Bills hard.   Will the coaching change from Dick Jauron to Chan Gailey breathe new life into the franchise or will the lack of firepower on offense doom them?  The Bookbeater likes the under.

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After a 2009 season in which the Bears went 7-9 with a -48 point differential, the 2010 Regular season win total has been set at 8. It seems like Vegas has set this number properly because they are getting roughly the same amount on both sides. Bodog has the over at -120 while Bookmaker has the under at -120. A bookmaker’s dream because he’ll collect his vig without risk but a tough call for a bettor. The Bookbeater would play the under if he had to but would likely pass.

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Hall of Fame Game Bengals vs Cowboys
Oddsmakers currently have the Bengals as a 3 point favorite
Sunday’s NFL Hall of Fame Game pits the Cincinnati Bengals against the Dallas Cowboys, which would be an outstanding matchup for the regular season and still makes for an intriguing preseason battle.  If this were the regular season, the publicly popular Cowboys would definitely be favored by more than the opener of -1.  Instead, injuries and the fact that Dallas could be resting several key players as well as not caring about games in prior preseasons has seen the Hall of Fame Game NFL odds shift to Bengals -2.5 or -3 with the total set at 32.5. 

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Patriots at the Jets in week 2 will tell us a lot about the AFC East early on
As the NFL season nears and the anticipation grows, I can’t help but look ahead at the schedule a bit to find the games that really get me excited. I obviously won’t bet a game just because the matchup looks good, but I’ll sure look at it more closely if it’s an exciting game to me, or if it’s a game that is likely to draw heavy public action that could skew the NFL odds and give us some value. Here are 10 games in the first two weeks of the season that I have my eye on:

Continue reading “10 Possible Early Betting Opportunities on the 2010-11 NFL Schedule”

We talked about turnover differential in our last article in handicapping season win totals.  The premise is that luck tends to inflate and deflate a teams win over a course of a season.  Normally teams that had positive turnover differential one season tend to not be so lucky the next time around and vice versa.  We are looking to buck that trend again this season.  Once again here is that turnover table from last year.

Continue reading “NFL Betting: Regular Season Win Total Picks”

With teams preparing for mini-camps and training camps, here is a look at the season win totals and some strategy when trying to figure out whether to pick the over or the under.

The Venetian and Lucky’s were the first Vegas sportsbooks to release their totals for each team. Brobury Sports is one of the few online sportsbooks that have season win totals available. Here are the current odds: Continue reading “NFL Betting: Handicapping Season Win Totals”

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