SEC Football Week 7 Predictions: LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators

LSU Tigers vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, 10/11/14, 7:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  LSU -1.5
Current Betting Line:  LSU -1
Opening Total:  46.5
Current Total:  46.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The LSU Tigers are 5-4 SU against the Florida Gators under Les Miles
The LSU Tigers are 5-4 SU against the Florida Gators under Les Miles

LSU has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it comes off a 41-7 defeat to the Auburn Tigers as seven-point road underdogs, while going UNDER the betting total of 57.  The Tigers will be playing as an unranked team for the first time since November 2008, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football betting lines, especially since true freshmen have scored 14 of the team’s 27 touchdowns in 2014.  LSU is 2-2 SU and 1-2-1 ATS when the betting line is between +3 and -3 the last two-plus seasons.

The Tigers have put together a 24-1 SU record following a loss under head coach Les Miles, which is important to consider when making your Week 7 college football predictions.  LSU is 26-31-3 SU all-time in this particular series, but it has put together a 5-4 mark during the Miles era.  The team has forced 13 turnovers this season, and ranks fourth in the country in generating 63 points off of those opponent miscues.

Florida returns home after playing a pair of Southeastern Conference road games, including a 10-9 victory over the Tennessee Volunteers as a pick’ em last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for the first time in four contests.  The Gators have won three of their last four meetings with the Tigers at The Swamp.  Offensively, the team is averaging 77.5 plays per game under first-year coordinator Kurt Roper, which is up from its 66.1 figure of a season ago.  Florida is 5-2 SUATS in games with a betting line of +3 to -3 since 2012, with the UNDER going 4-3 in those seven opportunities.

The Gators are one of three schools in the country to rank in the top 10 in total defense each of the last three years—joining the Alabama Crimson Tide and Florida State Seminoles in that illustrious group.  Florida has forced 15 turnovers through its first four games—the highest such total in its first four games since 1996.

Sports bettors will likely back the Gators due to their 6-3 ATS mark as underdogs the last two-plus seasons.

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