Pac-12 Picks ATS: Colorado Buffaloes at No. 2 Oregon Ducks

Marcus Mariota-oregon-2014Colorado-Oregon
Time: Sat, 3:30 PM CST
Time: COL -21.5

Betting Odds c/o Bookmaker

No. 2 Oregon enters this week’s matchup against Colorado with a 9-1 record and a 6-1 mark in Pac-12 play. The Ducks will be 21.5 point favorites over the Buffaloes in college football odds listed on Bovada this week.

Oregon hasn’t lost since Oct. 2, and has gone 3-0 this year against ranked opponents, boding well for its upcoming bid in the NCAA tournament this year. Barring disaster this week or against Oregon State on Nov. 29, Oregon should be able to hold on to a top ranking this year. The Ducks, as usual, are a high scoring bunch. Oregon averages 46 points per game this year, with an attack equally as devastating via both the rush and pass.

In the air, the Ducks get 299.1 yards per game, while obtaining 232.1 via the rush. Ducks QB Marcus Mariota has thrown for 2,780 yards on the season at a 67.1 percent clip, while managing a 10.04 average per reception. He’s thrown just two interceptions all year, while racking up 29 TDs and a 184.6 passer rating.

Six Ducks’ WRs are good for 300 yards or more this season, with Byron Marshall and Devon Allen each about to get to 600 on the season. Three Ducks’ WRs have six TDs on the year, and the team has 31.

In the backfield, Oregon’s Royce Freeman has rushed for 945 yards and 14 TDs this season. Mariota has also rushed for 524 yards this season with eight TDs and a long run of 61 yards. Marshall is both dual threat, and he’s rushed for 307 yards on 39 carries with a TD.

Colorado has yet to win in Pac-12 play, and probably won’t. The Buffaloes are 0-7 against conference opponents and will close the season with No. 17 ranked Utah. Since winning 21-12 over Hawaii on Sept 20, the Buffaloes have not won since. The closest and most heart wrenching was a 40-37 double OT loss to then- No. 25 UCLA on Oct 25.

Sefo Liufau is questionable for this game after suffering a concussion. He’s thrown for 2,842 yards this year at a 65.8 percent completion ratio, while having thrown 26 TDs to 14 INTs. While his passer rating is good, 131.2, his raw QB rating is hurt by his 15 sacks. In the double OT loss to Cal on Sept 27, Liufau threw for 455 yards and seven TDs, his finest game of the season.

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