NFL Week Three Betting Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Saturday, September 25, 2016, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: CBS, NFL Sunday Ticket
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Opening Line: Pittsburgh -3 1/2
Current Line: Pittsburgh -4 (-105)
Opening Total: 46 1/2
Current Total: 46 (over -115)
Opening Money Line: Steelers -185 / Eagles +165
Current Money Line: Steelers -200 / Eagles +170

Pittsburgh is favored on the road at Philadelphia.
Pittsburgh is favored on the road at Philadelphia.

The Philadelphia Eagles host the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday in the battle of Pennsylvania. Both teams are 2-0 this season and on top of their respective divisions. These two rivals have been playing since 1933. The Eagles lead the series 47-28-3. The Steelers won the last meeting 16-14 in 2012 in Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is coached by Mike Tomlin. The Steelers beat the Washington Redskins 38-16 on the road in week one and then won at home last week against the Cincinnati Bengals 24-16. The Steelers were 3 point favorites against the Bengals and the total was 48. Pittsburgh is 2-0 ATS and the total is 1-1 this season.

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson in his first season. The Eagles beat the Cleveland Browns 29-10 in week one at home and last Monday beat the Chicago Bears 29-14 on the road. The Eagles are 2-0 ATS and the total is 1-1. Philadelphia was a 3 point underdog at Chicago and the total was 42.5.

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Pittsburgh is outscoring teams 31-16 this season. The Steelers are in the top ten in both categories. Pittsburgh averages 406 yards per game on offense including 270 passing and 136 rushing yards. The Steelers are #7 in both total and rushing offense. Pittsburgh allows 398 total yards per game including 348 passing yards and 51 rushing yards. The Steelers are #2 in rush defense but #31 in pass defense. Pittsburgh is 18/34 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 8/29. The Steelers have forced one sack and allowed two this season. Pittsburgh is +1 in turnovers.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has completed 62.2% of his passes for 559 yards with 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.

Running back DeAngelo Williams has 58 carries for 237 yards and 2 touchdowns and has 10 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown. LeVeon Bell is serving the third game of a four game suspension.

Receiver Antonio Brown has 12 catches for 165 yards and 2 touchdowns. Sammie Coates has 4 catches for 153 yards. Eli Rogers has 7 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Jesse James has 8 catches for 60 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Markus Wheaton is probable with a shoulder injury to make his season debut. Five offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 29-12 this season. The Eagles are #8 in scoring and #2 in points allowed. Philadelphia averages 342 total yards per game including 225 passing and 125 rushing yards. The Eagles allow 286 yards per game on defense including 194 passing and 92 rushing yards. Philadelphia is in the top 10 in all defensive categories. Philadelphia is 12/34 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 6/23. The Eagles have forced four sacks and allowed 4 this season. Philadelphia is +4 in turnovers.

Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has been very impressive for the Eagles so far. He has completed 60.6% of his passes for 468 yards with 3 touchdowns, and has 11 rushing yards.

Running back Ryan Mathews has 31 carries for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus a catch. Darren Sproles and Kenjon Barner will also get some carries.

Receiver Jordan Matthews has 13 catches for 185 yards and a touchdown. Nelson Agholor has 8 catches for 99 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Zach Ertz has 6 catches for 58 yards. Tight end Trey Burton has 5 catches for 49 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a calf injury. Eight defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in September, 3-0-2 overall, 2-0-2 after allowing more than 350 total yards, and in road games, 3-0-1 on grass, 13-4-2 against teams with winning records, 18-6-2 against teams with winning home records, and 10-4 after allowing more than 250 passing yards.

Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS overall, 8-18-1 against teams with winning records, 1-4 in week 3 and after allowing 15 points or less, 1-8-1 against teams with a winning road record, and 0-5 on Sunday after a Monday night game.

It is hard to know what to make of the Eagles as they have looked impressive but against two of the worst teams in the league. Pittsburgh has been impressive as well and I think they put a lot of pressure on the rookie quarterback. I like the Steelers to pull away late in a high scoring game.

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