NFL Week Seven Betting Picks: Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants

Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants
Sunday, October 22, 2017, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: CBS, NFL Sunday Ticket
MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, New Jersey
Opening Line: Seattle -8 (-105)
Current Line: Seattle -3 1/2
Opening Total: 39
Current Total: 39 1/2
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -265 / Giants +225
Current Money Line: Seahawks -175 / Giants +155

The Seahawks travel to the Giants Sunday afternoon.

The 3-2 Seattle Seahawks travel to the 1-5 New York Giants Sunday. Seattle is in second place in the NFC West, a half game behind the 4-2 Los Angeles Rams. Seattle is coming off their bye last week. The Giants are in last  place in the NFC East after shocking the Denver Broncos on the road last Sunday night for their first win of the season. New York leads the series 9-8 against Seattle. The Seahawks have won the last three games against the Giants including 38-17 in Seattle in 2014.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have road losses at the Green Bay Packers 17-9 and at the Tennessee Titans 33-27. Seattle has home wins over the San Francisco 49ers 12-9 and over the Indianapolis Colts 46-18, plus a road win at the Los Angeles Rams 16-10 two weeks ago. Against LA, the Seahawks were 2 point underdogs and the total was 47. The Seahawks shut down the Rams high powered offense to pull off the mild upset. Seattle is 2-3 ATS and the total is 3-2 this season.

New York is coached by Ben McAdoo and has road losses to the Dallas Cowboys 19-3, Philadelphia Eagles 27-24, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-23, plus home losses to the Detroit Lions 24-10 and Los Angeles Chargers 27-22. The Giants won at the Denver Broncos 23-10 last week. New York was a 13.5 point underdog against Denver and the total was 37.5. The Giants are 3-3 ATS and the total is 3-3 this season.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 22-17 this season. Seattle is #6 in scoring. The Seahawks average 338 yards per game on offense including 228 passing and 109 rushing yards.  On defense, the Seahawks are allowing 330 total yards per game including 203 passing and 127 rushing yards. Seattle is #9 in pass defense but #27 in rush defense. The Seahawks are 36/81 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 29/72. Seattle has forced 11 sacks and allowed 13 this season. The Seahawks are +4 in turnovers and has two defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 62.4% of his passes for 1,222 yards with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, plus 30 carries for 154 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 13 times.

Running back Chris Carson had 49 carries for 208 yards, plus 7 catches for 59 yards and a touchdown. He is out for the season after suffering a broken leg last week. Eddie Lacy has 25 carries for 74 yards. C.J. Prosise, Thomas Rawls and J.D. McKissic have combined for 22 carries for 103 yards and a touchdown. Prosise has 6 catches for 87 yards, but is probable with an ankle injury.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 23 catches for 247 yards and a touchdown. He missed the last game with a groin injury but isn’t listed on the injury report this week. Paul Richardson has 14 catches for 208 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyler Lockett has 16 catches for 195 yards. Tight end Jimmy Graham has 21 catches for 179 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Luke Wilson has 7 catches for 84 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Thirteen defensive players and two offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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New York is being outscored 22-18. New York is #29 in points allowed. The Giants average 316 yards per game on offense including 227 passing and 90 rushing yards. New York is #23 in total offense and #25 in rushing. The Giants allow 372 yards per game on defense including 248 passing and 124 rushing yards. The Giants are #24 or worse in all three categories. New York is 29/87 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 38/97. New York has forced 12 sacks and allowed 16 this season. New York is even in turnovers.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 67% of his passes for 1,466 yards with 9 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He has 5 carries for 21 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 16 times. Geno Smith is the back-up.

Running back  Orleans Darkwa has 42 carries for 239 yards and a touchdown, plus 5 catches for 29 yards.  Wayne Gallman has 31 carries for 126 yards, plus 9 catches for 38 yards and a touchdown. Shane Vereen has 18 carries for 69 yards, plus 19 catches for 134 yards.  Paul Perkins has 32 carries for 61 yards, plus 7 catches for 35 yards. He is out with a rib injury.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 25 catches for 302 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is out for the season after suffering a broken ankle. Tight end Evan Engram has 24 catches for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns. Sterling Shepard has 22 catches for 263 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with an ankle injury after missing last week. Brandon Marshall has 18 catches for 154 yards. He is also out for the season with an ankle injury. Roger Lewis has  9 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. Receiver and return man Dwayne Harris is also out for the season with a foot injury. Look for Tavarres King and Travis Rudolph to get more catches with all the injuries. Thirteen defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

Seattle is 7-1-1 ATS in week seven, 5-2 in October, 7-3 on fieldturf, 2-5 against NFC teams, 2-6 after a straight up win and after gaining less than 250 yards, 1-5 after a cover, 1-6 in road games, 0-4 against teams with losing records, 0-4 after allowing less than 15 points and against teams with losing home records. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in this series recently. The Seahawks are 3-1-1 ATS on the road against the Giants in the series.

New York is 5-0 ATS against teams with winning road records, 7-3 in week seven, 35-17-3 in October, 2-5 after passing for less than 150 yards, and after allowing less than 15 points,1-4 after a straight up win, after a cover, and after allowing 250 passing yards or more, and 0-5 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards. The over is 5-1 in this series recently.

No one expected the Giants to go into Denver and dominate the Broncos like they did last week. Both of these teams struggle on offense, so this should be a low scoring game. Getting shepard back will help the Giants on offense, but I still like the Seahawks to win on the road.

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