NFL Week Five Betting Picks: Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles

Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, October 7, 2018, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket

Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Opening Line: Philadelphia -3

Current Line: Philadelphia -3 (-125)

Opening Total: 44 1/2

Current Total: 47

Opening Money Line: Eagles -170 / Vikings +150

Current Money Line: Eagles -170 / Vikings +150

The Vikings travel to the Eagles in an NFC Championship game rematch. Both teams have struggled to start the season.

The Philadelphia Eagles and the Minnesota Vikings met in the NFC Championship last year. The Eagles crushed the Vikings 38-7 en route to winning their first Super Bowl title. Overall, Philadelphia leads the series 14-13.

However, neither team has gotten off to a great start as the Eagles host the Vikings Sunday. The Vikings are 1-2-1 and in third place in the NFC North. The Eagles are 2-2 and tied for second place in the NFC East. It is a little early to talk about being desperate for a win, but both teams could certainly use a win. 

Minnesota is coached by Mike Zimmer. The Vikings have a home win over the San Francisco, a 29-29 tie at the Green Bay Packer, a home loss to the Buffalo Bills 27-6 and a road loss to the Los Angeles Rams 38-31 last Thursday. The Vikings were 7.5 point underdogs against the Rams and the total was 48.5. Minnesota is 2-2 ATS and the total is 2-2 this season. 

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson. The Eagles have home wins over the Atlanta Falcons 18-12 and Indianapolis Colts 20-16. Philadelphia has road losses to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27-21 and Tennessee Titans 26-23 in overtime last week. The Eagles were 3 point favorites against the Titans and the total was 41.5. Philadelphia is1-3 ATS and the total is 2-2 this season. 

Minnesota is being outscored 28-23 this season. The Vikings average 390 yards per game including 327 passing yards and 63 rushing yards per game. Minnesota is #5 in passing and last in rushing. On defense, the Vikings allow 382 total yards per game including 277 passing and 104 rushing yards. Minnesota is 29/65 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 15/47. The Vikings have forced 11 sacks and allowed 13 this season. Minnesota is even in turnovers. 

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 69.3% of his passes for 1,387 yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He has been sacked 13 times. Cousins has rushed for 61 yards on 12 carries. 

The running game has been mostly non-existent for the Vikings. Dalvin Cook 36 carries for 98 yards along with 9 catches for 107 yards. He is doubtful with a hamstring injury. Latavius Murray has 19 carries for 64 yards along with 7 catches for 46 yards. Mike Boone will also get some carries. 

Receiver Adam Thielen has 40 catches for 473 yards with 2 touchdowns, Stefon Diggs has 27 catches for 311 yards with 3 touchdowns. Tight end Kyle Rudolph has 18 catches for 188 yards and 2 touchdowns. Laquon Treadwell has 12 catches for 121 yards with a touchdown. Aldrick Robinson has only 3 catches but two of them were for touchdowns. Thirteen defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report. 

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 20.5-20.2 this season. The Eagles are #27 in scoring but #9 in points allowed. Philadelphia averages 364 yards per game including 246 passing and 118 rushing yards. The Eagles allow 335 yards per game including 272 passing and 64 rushing yards per game. Philadelphia is #10 in total offense and leads the league in rush defense. The Eagles are 27/65 on third and fourth down conversions, and opponents are 19/59. Philadelphia has forced 11 sacks and allowed 14. The Eagles are even in turnovers. 

Quarterback Carson Wentz has completed 66.7% of his passes for 603 yards with 3 touchdowns and an interception, along with 5 carries for 18 yards. He has been sacked 9 times. Wentz missed the first two games as he recovered from a torn ACL suffered late last season. Nick Foles started the first two games. He threw for 451 yards with a touchdown and an interception. He was sacked 5 times. 

Running back Jay Ajayi has 37 carries for 155 yards and 3 touchdowns. Wendell Smallwood has 23 carries for 123 yards and a touchdown plus 7 catches for 52 yards. Corey Clement has 27 carries for 112 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 catches for 74 yards. He is questionable with a quad injury. Darren Sproles is out with a hamstring injury. 

Tight end Zach Ertz has 31 catches for 327 yards. Receiver Nelson Agholor has 25 catches for 167 yards and a touchdown. Alshon Jeffery has 8 catches for 105 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a chest injury. Dallas Goedert has 10 catches for 90 yards and a touchdown. Eight defensive players are listed on the injury report. 

Check out our NFL odds page for live updates on every game. 

The underdog is 4-0 ATS in this series recently. The under is 4-1 in this series in Philadelphia. The home team has covered seven of the last ten in this series. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS against the Vikings recently including 5-1 in Philadelphia.

Don’t look for Minnesota to end their running game woes without Cook and against the dominant Philadelphia run defense. Minnesota’s vaunted defense has struggled mainly due to injuries. The Eagles have struggled on offense both with Foles and Wentz. Still, I like the Eagles to win a close game at home. 

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