NFL Week 13 Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Rams
Sunday, December 10, 2017, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum – Los Angeles, California
Opening Line: Los Angeles pick -120
Current Line: Los Angeles pick
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 48
Opening Money Line: Rams -120 / Eagles +100
Current Money Line: Rams -110 / Eagles -110

The Eagles travel to the Rams in a battle of NFC playoff contenders.

The 10-2 Philadelphia Eagles travel to the 9-3 Los Angeles Rams in a battle of NFC division leaders. The Eagles can clinch the NFC East title with a win Sunday or a loss by the Dallas Cowboys at the New York Giants. Philadelphia saw their 9 game winning streak end last week with a 24-10 loss at the Seattle Seahawks. The Eagles are tied with the Minnesota Vikings for the best record in the NFC. The Eagles stayed on the West coast for the week. Los Angeles leads the NFC West by a game over the 8-4 Seahawks. The Rams are currently the #3 seed in the NFC.

Philadelphia leads the series 20-19-1. The Eagles have won four straight games against the Rams, including 34-28 in Philadelphia in 2014 when the Rams were located in St. Louis. This series dates back to 1937. Philadelphia hasn’t played the Rams in Southern California since 1990.

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson. The Eagles have road losses at the Kansas City Chiefs 27-20 and Seattle Seahawks 24-10 last Sunday night. The Eagles have  road wins at the Washington Redskins 30-17, Los Angeles Chargers 26-24, Carolina Panthers 28-23 and Dallas Cowboys 37-9, plus home wins over the New York Giants 27-24, Arizona Cardinals 34-7, Redskins 34-24, San Francisco 49ers 33-10, Denver Broncos 51-23 and Chicago Bears 31-3.  Against the Seahawks, Philadelphia was a  3.5 point favorite and the total was 46.5. Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS and the total is 6-6 this season.

Los Angeles is is led by first year coach Sean McVay. The Rams have home losses to the Washington Redskins 27-20, and Seattle Seahawks 16-10, and a road loss to the Minnesota Vikings 24-7. The Rams have won six of the last seven games including two straight. LA has home wins over the Indianapolis Colts 46-9, Houston Texans 33-7 and New Orleans Saints 26-20, plus road wins over the San Francisco 49ers 41-39, Dallas Cowboys 35-30, Jacksonville Jaguars 27-17, New York Giants 51-17 and Arizona Cardinals 32-16 last week. The Rams also have a neutral site win over the Cardinals 33-0 in London.  The Rams were 7.5 point favorites against the Cardinals and the total was 43. Los Angeles is 8-4 ATS and the total is 7-5 this season.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 30-18 this season. The Eagles are #2 in scoring and #6 in points allowed. Philadelphia averages 385 total yards per game including 242 passing and 143 rushing yards. The Eagles are in the top three in total and rushing offense. The Eagles allow 293 yards per game on defense including 225 passing and 68 rushing yards. Philadelphia is #1 in rush defense, and #3 in total defense. Philadelphia is 92/191 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 50/166. The Eagles have forced 33 sacks and allowed 28 this season. Philadelphia is +7 in turnovers and has scored 4 defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Carson Wentz has completed 60.7% of his passes for 3,005 yards with 29 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and has 283 rushing yards on 61 carries. He has been sacked 27 times. Wentz is a contender for the MVP.

Running back LaGarrette Blount has 145 carries for 684 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus a touchdown catch. Corey Clement has 61 carries for 266 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 7 catches for 88 yards and two touchdowns. The Eagles acquired Jay Ajayi from the Dolphins just before the trade deadline. He has 29 carries for 229 yards and a touchdown. Wendell Smallwood has 43 carries for 168 yards and a touchdown, plus 10 catches for 79 yards.  Darren Sproles has 15 carries for 61 yards, plus 7 catches for 61 yards. He is out for the season with a torn ACL. Donnel Pumphrey is also out for the season with a hamstring injury

Receiver  Alshon Jeffrey has 47 catches for 680 yards and 7 touchdowns. Tight end Zach Ertz has 57 catches for 663 yards and 7 touchdowns. He is questionable with a concussion. Nelson Agholor has 40 catches for 599 yards and 7 touchdowns. Torrey Smith has 27 catches for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns. Mack Hollins has 13 catches for 201 yards and a touchdown. Trey Burton has 15 catches for 153 yards and 2 touchdowns. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report. Kicker Caleb Sturgis is out indefinitely with a quad injury.

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Los Angeles is outscoring teams  30-19 this season. LA is #1 in scoring and #7 in points allowed. The Rams average 373 yards per game on offense including 258 passing and 115 rushing yards per game. LA is #7 or better in total and passing offense. On defense, the Rams allow 333 yards per game including 211 passing and 123 rushing yards. The Rams are #8 in pass defense. LA is 71/168 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 72/181. The Rams have forced 38 sacks and allowed 20 this season. Los Angeles is +6 in turnovers and has scored five defensive/special teams touchdowns.

Quarterback Jared Goff has completed 62.2% of his passes for 3,184 yards with 20 touchdowns and and 6 interceptions, plus he has 23 carries for 55 rushing yards and a touchdown. He has only been sacked twenty times.

Running back Todd Gurley has 223 carries for 939 yards and 8 touchdowns, along with 48 catches for 563 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tavon Austin has 44 carries for 196 yards and a touchdown, plus 10 catches.  Malcolm Brown has 37 carries for 138 yards and a touchdown, plus 5 catches. He is probable with a knee injury. Lance Dunbar will get some carries.

Receiver Robert Woods has 47 catches for 703 yards and 4 touchdowns. He is questionable with a shoulder injury.  Receiver Cooper Kupp has 51 catches for 665 yards and 3 touchdowns. Sammy Watkins has 31 catches for 528 yards and 6 touchdowns.  Tyler Higbee has 22 catches for 268 yards and a touchdown.  Tight end Gerald Everett has 12 catches for 222 yards and 2 touchdowns. Five defensive players are listed on the injury report.

The Eagles have covered the last four games against the Rams. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the series.

Jared Goff and Carson Wentz were the top two picks in the 2016 NFL Draft. Both teams traded up to get their franchise quarterbacks. Both Goff and Wentz struggled at times last year, but have been very impressive this season. Both will likely be without key weapons in Ertz for the Eagles and Woods for the Rams. Both teams have good if not great defenses. Still, I like the Rams to win at home in a close high scoring game.

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