NFL Week 13 Betting Picks: Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars

Seattle Seahawks at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sunday, December 10, 2017, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
EverBank Field – Jacksonville, Florida
Opening Line: Jacksonville -3 1/2
Current Line: Jacksonville -2 1/2
Opening Total: 39 1/2
Current Total: 40 1/2
Opening Money Line: Jaguars -190 / Seahawks +165
Current Money Line: Jaguars -135 / Seahawks +115

The Jaguars host the Seahawks in a battle of playoff contenders. Both teams are 8-4.

When the schedule came out, few if any thought this game between the Seattle Seahawks and Jacksonville Jaguars in mid-December would have playoff implications for both teams. Yet both teams are 8-4 and in prime playoff position in their respective conferences. The Seahawks are a game behind the 9-3 Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West. The Seahawks are also tied with the Carolina Panthers for the two wild card spots. The Jaguars are tied with the Tennessee Titans for first place in the AFC South, but the Titans hold the tie-breaker with a head to head win. The Jaguars are currently the #5 seed in the AFC Playoffs.

Seattle leads the series 5-2 against Jacksonville. The Seahawks hav e won two straight games in the series including 45-17 in Seattle in 2013. Seattle has not played in Jacksonville since 2005 until this game.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have road losses at the Green Bay Packers 17-9 and at the Tennessee Titans 33-27, plus home losses to the Washington Redskins 17-14 and Atlanta Falcons 34-31. Seattle has home wins over the San Francisco 49ers 12-9, Indianapolis Colts 46-18, Houston Texans 41-38 and Philadelphioa Eagles 24-10 last week, plus road wins at the Los Angeles Rams 16-10, New York Giants 24-7, Arizona Cardinals 22-16 and 49ers 24-13. Against Philadelphia, the Seahawks were 3.5 point underdogs and the total was 46.5. Seattle is 5-6-1 ATS and the total is 4-8 this season.

Jacksonville is coached by Doug Marrone, in his first year with the Jaguars. The Jaguars have home losses to the Tennessee Titans 37-16 and Los Angeles Rams 27-17 and road losses to the New York Jets 23-20 in overtime and Arizona Cardinals 27-24. The Jaguars have won five of the last six games. Jacksonville has road wins over the Houston Texans 29-7, Pittsburgh Steelers 30-9, Indianapolis Colts 27-0, and Cleveland Browns 19-7, plus a neutral site win in London over the Baltimore Ravens 44-7. The Jaguars have home wins over the Cincinnati Bengals  23-7, Los Angeles Chargers 20-17 in overtime, and Colts 30-10 last week. Jacksonville was a 10 point favorite against Indianapolis and the total was 41. The Jaguars are 7-5 ATS and the total is 5-7 this season.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 24-19 this season. Seattle is #9 in scoring and #8 in points allowed. The Seahawks average 359 yards per game on offense including 256 passing and 103 rushing yards. Seattle is #10 in total offense and #8 in passing.  On defense, the Seahawks are allowing 321 total yards per game including 223 passing and 98 rushing yards. The Seahawks are #14 or better in all three categories. Seattle is  72/173 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 70/178. Seattle has forced 32 sacks and allowed 28 this season. The Seahawks are +7 in turnovers and has three defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 62.4% of his passes for 3,256 yards with 26 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, plus 71 carries for 432 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has been sacked 28 times. Wilson is having an MVP caliber season. The Seahawks have 30 offensive touchdowns, and Wilson has accounted for 29 of those.

Running back Chris Carson had 49 carries for 208 yards, plus 7 catches for 59 yards and a touchdown. He is out for the season after suffering a broken leg. Eddie Lacy has 69 carries for 179 yards. C.J. Prosise, Thomas Rawls and J.D. McKissic will also get some carries. McKissic has 23 catches for 188 yards and 2 touchdowns. Prosise has 6 catches for 87 yards, but is out with an ankle injury.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 63 catches for 782 yards and 4 touchdowns. Paul Richardson has 37 catches for 595 yards and 5 touchdowns. Tyler Lockett has 35 catches for 425 yards and a touchdown.  Tight end Jimmy Graham has 52 catches for 473 yards and 9 touchdowns. He is probable with an ankle injury. Tight end Luke Wilson has 11 catches for 106 yards and 3 touchdowns. Nick Vannett has 12 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown.  Fourteen defensive players and six offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Jacksonville is outscoring teams 25-15 this season. The Jaguars are #7 in scoring and lead the league in points allowed. Jacksonville averages 356 total yards per game on offense including 206 passing and 149 rushing yards. The Jags are #11 in total offense and lead the league in rushing. On defense, Jacksonville allows 283 total yards including 167 passing yards and 115 rushing yards. The Jaguars lead the league in total and pass defense. Jacksonville is 75/187 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 60/175. Jacksonville has forced 45 sacks and allowed 20 this season. The Jaguars are +12 in turnovers. Jacksonville has scored 6 defensive touchdowns and a special teams touchdown.

Quarterback Blake Bortles has completed 59.8% of his passes for 2,553 yards with 14 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and has rushed for 284 yards on 44 carries with 2 touchdowns. He has been sacked 20 times.

Rookie Running back Leonard Fournette has 207 carries for 822 yards and 7 touchdowns, along with 25 catches for 195 yards and a touchdown.  Chris Ivory has 89 carries for 292 yards and a touchdown, along with 21 catches for 175 yards and a touchdown. T.J. Yeldon has 31 carries for 199 yards and a touchdown, plus 18 catches for 137 yards. Corey Grant has 20 carries for 179 yards and a touchdown, plus 3 catches for 41 yards.

Receiver Marqise Lee has 51 catches for 637 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a knee injury. Allen Hurns has 36 catches for 446 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is out with an ankle injury. Keelan Cole has 22 catches for 322 yards, and a touchdown.  Tight end Marcedes Lewis has 19 catches for 265 yards and 5 touchdowns. Dede Westbrook has 15 catches for 154 yards.   Arrelious Benn,  Allen Robinson and Rashad Greene are all out for the season. Six defensive players and four offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

The favorite and home team are both 4-0 ATS in this series recently. The Seahawks have covered four of the last five against the Jaguars. Four of the last five games have gone over the total.

These are two of the best defensive teams in the league, but both have injuries at key positions. Wilson is playing at an elite level, which is amazing when you consider the Seahawks have no running game besides himself. Jacksonville mainly runs the ball and they do it very well. I like the Jaguars to win a close low scoring game at home.

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