NFL Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, October 30, 2016, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Opening Line: Dallas -4 1/2
Current Line: Dallas -5 1/2
Opening Total: 43 1/2
Current Total: 44 1/2
Opening Money Line: Cowboys -210 / Eagles +180
Current Money Line: Cowboys -230 / Eagles +190

Dez Bryant returns from injury as the Cowboys host the Eagles on Sunday night.
Dez Bryant returns from injury as the Cowboys host the Eagles on Sunday night.

The Dallas Cowboys are 5-1 and have won five straight games after a season opening loss to the New York Giants. Dallas comes off their bye and host their NFC East rival the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday night. The Eagles are a game behind the Cowboys at 4-2.

Dallas leads the series 64-50 against Philadelphia. The teams split the series last year with each winning on the road. Dallas won 20-10 in Philadelphia and the Eagles returned the favor 33-27 in overtime. The Cowboys will return to Philadelphia in the regular season finale on New Year’s Day.

Philadelphia is coached by Doug Pederson in his first season. The Eagles have home wins over the Cleveland Browns 29-10, Pittsburgh Steelers 34-3, and Minnesota Vikings 21-10 last week, plus a road win at the Chicago Bears 29-14. Philadelphia has road losses at the Detroit Lions 24-23 and Washington Redskins 27-20. The Eagles are 4-2 ATS and the total is 3-3. Philadelphia was a 3 point underdog against previously undefeated Minnesota and the total was 39.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys lost their season opener 20-19 against the New York Giants. The Cowboys have won five straight games since with a road wins at the Washington Redskins 27-23, San Francisco 49ers 24-17 and Green Bay Packers 30-16 two weeks ago plus home wins over the Chicago Bears 31-17 and Cincinnati Bengals 28-14. The Cowboys were 5 point underdogs against the Packers and the total was 47. Dallas is 5-1 ATS and the total is 2-4 this season.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 26-15 this season. The Eagles are #9 in scoring and #3 in points allowed. Philadelphia averages 322 total yards per game including 211 passing and 112 rushing yards. The eagles are #28 in total offense and #29 in passing. The Eagles allow 307 yards per game on defense including 204 passing and 103 rushing yards. Philadelphia is #5 in both total and pass defense. Philadelphia is 30/79 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 32/82. The Eagles have forced 20 sacks and allowed 12 this season. Philadelphia is +6 in turnovers.

Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has been very impressive for the Eagles so far. He has completed 63.8% of his passes for 1,324 yards with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and has 43 rushing yards.

Running back Ryan Mathews has 67 carries for 262 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 7 catches for 63 yards and a touchcown. Darren Sproles has 31 carries for 142 yards, plus 17 catches for 210 yards and a touchdown. Wendell Smallwood has 28 carries for 115 yards and a touchdown. Kenjon Barner has 16 carries for 92 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver Jordan Matthews has 25 catches for 354 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is probable with a knee injury. Nelson Agholor has 18 catches for 191 yards and a touchdown. Dorial Green-Beckham has 13 catches for 139 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Zach Ertz has 11 catches for 131 yards. Tight end Trey Burton has 9 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown. Seven defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Dallas is outscoring teams 27-18 this season. The Cowboys are #7 in scoring and #7 in points allowed. Dallas averages 402 yards per game on offense including 240 passing and 161 rushing yards. The Cowboys are #3  in total offense and lead the league in rushing. On defense, Dallas is allowing 358 total yards including 266 passing and 92 rushing yards. Dallas is 37/76 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 34/76. Dallas has forced 9 sacks and allowed 11 this season. Dallas is +4 in turnovers.

Rookie quarterback Dak Prescott has been impressive in relief of an injured Tony Romo. He has completed 68.7% of his passes for 1,486 yards with 7 touchdowns and in interception. He broke Tom Brady’s record more most passing attempts without an interception to start an NFL career against the Packers. He also has 20 carries for 67 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Romo returned to practice this week after suffering a broken bone in his back in the pre-season.

Rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott has 137 carries for 703 yards and 5 touchdowns, plus 11 catches for 98 yards. He leads the league in rushing. Alfred Morris has 33 carries for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns. Lance Dunbar will also get some carries. He has 5 catches for 56 yards and also has a rushing touchdown. Dunbar is questionable with a knee injury. Darren McFadden is questionable with an elbow injury and has not played yet this season.

Receiver Dez Bryant is probable with a hairline fracture in his knee after missing the last three games. He has 11 catches for 150 yards and a touchdown. Cole Beasley has become Prescott’s favorite target. He has 33 catches for 390 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Jason Witten has 28 catches for 274 yards. He is probable with a chest injury. Terrance Williams has 20 catches for 311 yards and a touchdown. Brice Butler has 9 catches for 97 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ten defensive players are injured or suspended as are three offensive linemen.

Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS after gaining less than 250 total yards, 5-2 overall, 7-3 on fieldturf, 9-4 after passing for less than 150 yards and 2-5 after allowing less than 15 points. The road team has covered the last four games in the series. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the series recently. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in Dallas recently.

Dallas is 5-0 ATS overall, 4-0 after a win, after a cover, and against NFC teams, 3-0-1 after rushing for 150 yards or more, 4-1 after allowing 350 yards or more, 11-5 after a bye week, 4-11-1 at home, 1-3-1 after gaining 350 yards or more, 2-6 after allowing more than 250 passing yards, 4-14-1 on fieldturf, 1-4 against teams with winning road records, and 1-5-1 against teams with winning records.

Philadelphia can’t afford to get into a shootout with Dallas. They want to grind it out. The problem is the new look Cowboys are perfectly comfortable playing that type of game. Both of these teams have forced a lot of turnovers. I think Dallas wins a close game in a low scoring affair.

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