NFL Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers

Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers
Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
Sunday, October 25, 2015, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
Opening Line: Carolina -3 1/2
Current Line: Carolina -3 (+100)
Opening Total: 47
Current Total: 45
Opening Money Line: Panthers -165 / Eagles +145
Current Money Line: Panthers -150 / Eagles +130

The Panthers are 3 point favorites against the Eagles Sunday night in Charlotte.
The Panthers are 3 point favorites against the Eagles Sunday night in Charlotte.

The 5-0 Carolina Panthers are one of five undefeated teams this season as they host the 3-3 Philadelphia Eagles Sunday night. Both teams lead their respective divisions. The Panthers are in first place in the NFC South over the 5-1 Atlanta Falcons. Philadelphia is tied for first with the New York Giants in the NFC East Division.

Philadelphia leads the series 6-3 against Carolina. The Eagles have won four of the last five against the Panthers including 45-21 last year in Philadelphia. One of Carolina’s only wins in the series came in the 2004 NFC Championship game.

Philadelphia is coached by Chip Kelly. The Eagles have road losses at the Falcons 26-24 and Redskins 23-20, plus a home loss to the Cowboys 20-10. Philadelphia has a road win at the Jets 24-17 and at home against the New Orleans Saints 39-17 and 27-7 last Monday against the Giants.

The Eagles were 3.5 point favorites against the Giants and the total was 50.5. The Eagles were down early 7-0, but scored 27 unanswered points. Philadelphia outgained  the Giants 428-247. The teams combined for 7 turnovers. The Eagles are 3-3 ATS and the total is 1-5 this season.

Carolina is coached by Ron Rivera. Carolina has road wins at the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-9, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37-23 and last week at the Seattle Seahawks 27-23. The Panthers also have home wins over the Houston Texans 24-17 and New Orleans Saints 27-22.

Carolina was a 7 point underdog at Seattle and the total was 41. This was the despite Seahawks entering the game with only two wins. The Seahawks led 20-7 in the third and 23-14 in the fourth. However, Carolina would rally with two touchdowns in the last four minutes, including the game winning 26 yard TD pass from Cam Newton to tight end Greg Olsen with 32 seconds left. Carolina won despite having the only two turnovers of the game. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS and the total is 3-1-1 this season.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 24-18 this season. The eagles are in the top ten in both categories. The Eagles average 354 total yards on offense including 250 passing and 104 rushing yards. On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 355 yards per game including 261 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. The Eagles are #9 in rush defense. The Eagles are 25/81 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 37/91. Philadelphia has forced 8 sacks and allowed 14 this season. The Eagles are +2 in turnovers. Philadelphia has a special teams touchdown and has allowed a defensive touchdown.

Philadelphia quarterback Sam Bradford has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,561 yards with 9 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, along with 12 carries for 26 rushing yards. Running back Ryan Mathews has 50 carries for 245 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 9 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a groin injury. DeMarco Murray has 70 catches for 243 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 21 catches for 127 yards and a touchdown. Darren Sproles has 28 catches for 111 yards and a touchdown, along with 17 catches for 131 yards.

Receiver Jordan Matthews has 36 catches for 384 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Zach Ertz has 19 catches for 207 yards. Riley Cooper and Josh Huff each have 8 catches , but both are questionable with knee injuries. Nelson Agholor is out with a leg injury. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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Carolina is outscoring teams 27-19 this season. The Panthers are #6 in scoring and #8 in points allowed. Carolina is averaging 334 total yards per game including 201 passing and 133 rushing. The Panthers are #3 in rushing but #28 or worse in total and passing offense. On defense, Carolina allows 338 total yards including 241 passing and 97 rushing yards. The Panthers are #7 in total defense. Carolina is 26/66 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 33/82. The Panthers have forced 10 sacks and allowed 13 this season. Carolina is +6 in turnovers. The Panthers have 3 defensive touchdowns and have allowed a special teams touchdown.

Quarterback Cam Newton has completed 55.4% of his passes for 1,078 yards with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, along with 50 carries for 245 rushing yards and three touchdowns. Those numbers might not seem that impressive but the Panthers don’t really have a number one receiver after Kelvin Benjamin suffered a torn ACL in the pre-season.

Tight end Greg Olsen has 24 catches for 374 yards with 3 touchdowns. Receiver Ted Ginn, Jr. has 13 catches for 224 yards and 3 touchdowns. Corey Brown, Brenton Bersin,  Jerricho Cotchery and Ed Dickson will also get some catches, but none has more than 8 this season.

Running back Jonathan Stewart has 79 carries for 298 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 6 catches. Mike Tolbert and Cameron Artis-Payne will also get some carries. Eight defensive players are listed on the injury report including Jared Allen and Frank Alexander.

Philadelphia is 7-16-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 2-5 on grass, 1-4 after allowing less than 15 points, 1-6 in week seven, and 0-4 when playing on a Sunday after a Monday night game. The Eagles have covered 4 of the last 5 against the Panthers. The last 4 games have gone over the total in this series.

Carolina is 5-0 ATS after  gaining more than 350 total yards, 8-2 in October, 4-1 after a straight up win, overall and on grass. The favorite has covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series.

Carolina is winning on the strength of their defense and because of Newton. Routs of the mediocre Saints and Giants, have people starting to whisper about the Eagles perhaps being a contender. I don’t know about that. I think the Panthers win a close low scoring game at home.

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