NFL Sunday Night Football Betting Picks: New York Giants at Denver Broncos

New York Giants at Denver Broncos
Sunday, October 15, 2017, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
Sports Authority Field – Denver, Colorado
Opening Line: Denver -9 1/2
Current Line: Denver -12 1/2
Opening Total: 40 1/2
Current Total: 38
Opening Money Line: Broncos -700 / Giants +500
Current Money Line: Broncos -900 / Giants +600

The Broncos host the Giants Sunday night.

The New York Giants are one of three 0-5 teams in the NFL along with the Cleveland Browns and San Francisco 49ers. Many expected the Browns and 49ers to be among the worst teams in the league, but many considered the Giants to be playoff contenders in the NFC. It doesn’t get any easier for the reeling Giants as they travel to the 3-1 Denver Broncos Sunday night. The Broncos are coming off a bye last week and are in second place in the AFC West behind the 5-0 Kansas City Chiefs. New York is in last place in the NFC East behind the 5-1 Philadelphia Eagles.

The series between the Giants and Broncos is tied 6-6. Denver has won three of the last four meetings against New York, including 41-23 in New Jersey in 2013.

New York is coached by Ben McAdoo and has road losses to the Dallas Cowboys 19-3, Philadelphia Eagles 27-24, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-23, plus home losses to the Detroit Lions 24-10 and Los Angeles Chargers 27-22 last week. A bleak season became even bleaker, as not only did New York lose at home to the 0-4 Chargers, but they suffered serious injuries to four of their top receivers. New York was a three point favorite against Los Angeles and the total was 45.5. The Giants are 2-3 ATS and the total is 3-2 this season.

Denver is coached by Vance Joseph in his first season. The Broncos have home wins over the Los Angeles Chargers 24-21, Dallas Cowboys 42-17 and Oakland Raiders 16-10 two weeks ago, Denver lost at the Buffalo Bills 26-16. Denver was off last week. The Broncos were 3.5 point favorites against the Raiders and the total was 44. Denver is 2-1-1 ATS and the total is 3-1 this season.

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New York is being outscored 24-16. New York is #28 in scoring and #24 in points allowed. The Giants average 326 yards per game on offense including 249 passing and 78 rushing yards. New York is #10 in passing but #30 in rushing. The Giants allow 364 yards per game on defense including 225 passing and 139 rushing yards. The Giants are #26 in total offense and #29 in rush defense. New York is 25/73 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 33/78. New York has forced 8 sacks and allowed 13 this season. New York is -3 in turnovers.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 67.8% of his passes for 1,338 yards with 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He has 4 carries for 21 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a neck injury. Manning has never missed a game in his career. Geno Smith is the back-up.

Running back  Orleans Darkwa has 21 carries for 122 yards and a touchdown, plus 4 catches for 16 yards. He is probable with a calf injury. Wayne Gallman has 22 carries for 99 yards, plus 7 catches for 33 yards and a touchdown. Shane Vereen has 17 carries for 65 yards, plus 19 catches for 134 yards. He is questionable with an ankle injury. Paul Perkins has 32 carries for 61 yards, plus 7 catches for 35 yards. He is out with a rib injury.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 25 catches for 302 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is out for the season after suffering a broken ankle last week.  Sterling Shepard has 22 catches for 263 yards and a touchdown. He is out two to three weeks with an ankle injury. Tight end Evan Engram has 19 catches for 200 yards and a touchdown. Brandon Marshall has 18 catches for 154 yards. He is also out for the season with an ankle injury. Roger Lewis has  8 catches for 102 yards and a touchdown. Receiver and return man Dwayne Harris is also out for the season with a foot injury. Look for Tavarres King and Travis Rudolph to get more catches with all the injuries. Fourteen defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Denver is outscoring teams 25-19 this season. The Broncos are #7 in points allowed. Denver averages 341 yards per game on offense including 198 passing and 143 rushing yards. Denver is #3 in rushing and #13 in total offense. On defense, Denver allows 261 total yards including 210 passing and 51 rushing yards per game. The Broncos lead the league in total and rush defense and are #11 against the pass. Denver is 28/62 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 17/64. The Broncos have forced 10 sacks and allowed 13 this season. Denver is -2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Trevor Siemien has completed 62.7% of his passes for 888 yards with 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, along with 18 carries for 46 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 13 times. Back-up Paxton Lynch is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury, so the Broncos resigned former quarterback Brock Osweiler as the back-up.

Running back C.J. Anderson has 73 carries for 330 yards and a touchdown, plus 10 catches for 67 yards and a touchdown. Jamaal Charles has 33 carries for 175 yards and a touchdown, plus 3 catches for 21 yards. DeVontae Booker will also get some carries.

Receiver DeMaryius Thomas has 18 catches for 247 yards. Emmanuel Sanders has 20 catches for 190 yards and 2 touchdowns. Bennie Fowler III has 10 catches for 119 yards and 2 touchdowns. A.J. Derby has 8 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Virgil Green has 6 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown. Three defensive players are listed on the injury report.

New York is 4-1-1 ATS after failing to cover, 3-1-1 in October, 5-2-1 after a straight up loss, 35-15-1 after rushing for 150 yards or more, 2-9-2 after against teams with winning home records, and 0-4 after allowing more than 250 passing yards.

Denver is 3-0-1 ATS on grass and at home, 4-1 against teams with losing records, 3-1-1 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, and overall, 10-4 in October, 14-6-1 after a bye, 2-7-1 after allowing less than 15 points, 1-4-1 after a win, and 0-4-1 after a cover. The Broncos have covered the last four games against the Giants.

New York showed some signs of an actually running game last week against the Chargers. They had better get a consistent running game because Eli Manning doesn’t have a lot of healthy targets to throw the ball. Denver has the #1 rush defense and I think they stifle the Giants and win going away in a low scoring game.

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