NFL Sunday Night Betting Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, November 8, 2015, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Opening Line: Philadelphia -1 1/2 (-111)
Current Line: Philadelphia -3 (-120)
Opening Total: 45 1/2
Current Total: 43 1/2
Opening Money Line: Eagles -145 / Cowboys +125
Current Money Line: Eagles -170 / Cowboys +150

The Eagles are three point favorites at the Cowboys Sunday night.
The Eagles are three point favorites at the Cowboys Sunday night.

The Dallas Cowboys are 2-5 and have lost five straight games. Still, they are only two games behind the 4-4 New York Giants in the NFC East. The Cowboys look for a win as they host the 3-4 Philadelphia Eagles Sunday. The Washington Redskins are also 3-4 this season.

Dallas leads the series 64-49 against Philadelphia. The Cowboys won earlier this season in Philadelphia 20-10. It was the last game the Cowboys won this season.

Philadelphia is coached by Chip Kelly. The Eagles have road losses at the Atlanta Falcons 26-24, Redskins 23-20 and two weeks ago at the Carolina Panthers 27-16, plus a home loss to the Cowboys 20-10. Philadelphia has a road win at the New York Jets 24-17 and at home against the New Orleans Saints 39-17 and Giants 27-7. The Eagles were off last week.

The Eagles were 3 point underdogs against the Panthers and the total was 46. Carolina led 14-6 at halftime, but the Eagles would cut the lead to 21-16 going into the fourth. Carolina kicked two field goals in the fourth to put the game away. The Panthers overcame three turnovers in the win to remain undefeated. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS and the total is 1-6 this season.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys have a home win over the Giants 27-26 and a road win at the Eagles 20-10. Dallas has  home losses to the Atlanta Falcons 39-28 New England Patriots 30-6 and last week against the Seattle Seahawks 13-12, plus road losses at the New Orleans Saints 26-20 in overtime and Giants 27-20.

Dallas was a 4.5 point underdog against Seattle and the total was 41.5. Seattle took a 10-6 lead into halftime. The Cowboys took a 12-10 lead early in the fourth with two field goals. Seattle regained the lead with 1:06 left on a field goal to make it 13-12. Dallas was unable to advance past their own 35 on their last drive as Seattle held on for the win. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS and the total is 3-4 this season.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 23-20 this season. The Eagles average 353 total yards on offense including 239 passing and 114 rushing yards. On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 360 yards per game including 251 passing yards and 110 rushing yards. The Eagles are 33/101 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 39/100. Philadelphia has forced 15 sacks and allowed 13 this season. The Eagles are +4 in turnovers. Philadelphia has 2 special teams/defensive touchdowns and has allowed a defensive touchdown.

Philadelphia quarterback Sam Bradford has completed 62% of his passes for 1,766 yards with 9 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, along with 15 carries for 32 rushing yards.

Running back Ryan Mathews has 56 carries for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 12 catches for 97 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a groin injury. DeMarco Murray has 88 carries for 307 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 23 catches for 132 yards and a touchdown. Murray led the league in rushing last year for Dallas. Darren Sproles has 31 catches for 120 yards and a touchdown, along with 22 catches for 162 yards.

Receiver Jordan Matthews has 39 catches for 398 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Zach Ertz has 24 catches for 270 yards. Riley Cooper has 11 catches for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns. Miles Austin has 11 catches for 185 yards and a touchdown. Josh Huff has 13 catches for 141 yards and a touchdown.  Nelson Agholor is probable with an ankle injury. Five defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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Dallas is being outscored 24-19 this season. The Cowboys are #29 in scoring. Dallas averages 346 total yards per game on offense including 218 passing and 128 rushing. The Cowboys are #6 rushing but #24 in passing.  On defense, the Cowboys are allowing 337 yards per game including 234 passing and 103 rushing yards. Dallas is #13 or better in all three categories.  Dallas is 31/87 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 36/88. Dallas has forced 13 sacks and has allowed 13 this season. The Cowboys are -8 in turnovers. Dallas has a defensive touchdown and has allowed 3 defensive/special teams touchdowns.

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is out indefinitely with a broken collarbone suffered in week two against the Eagles. He could return later this month against the Miami Dolphins. Brandon Weeden started three games but was benched in favor of Matt Cassel . Cassel will continue to start until Romo returns.

Weeden threw for 738 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions plus 30 rushing yards. Cassell has completed 57.7% of his passes for 324 yards with a touchdown and 3 interceptions, plus 5 carries for 47 rushing yards.  Romo threw for 551 yards with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions before the injury, and also rushed for 11 yards.

Running back Darren McFadden has 86 carries for 345 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 20 catches for 161 yards. Joseph Randle has 76 carries for 315 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 10 catches for 86 yards. He was released this week due to some off the field issues.  Lance Dunbar had 67 rushing yards, but did have 21 catches for 215 yards before tearing his ACL. Christine Michael, acquired in a trade from the Seahawks, will get more carries without Randle.

Tight end Jason Witten has 38 catches for 360 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Terrance Williams has 20 catches for 313 yards and 2 touchdowns. Cole Beasley has 22 catches for 214 yards. Brice Butler is probable with a hamstring injury. Receiver Dez Bryant returned last week after suffering a broken foot in week one. He has 7 catches for 60 yards.  Four defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in November, 4-1 on fieldturf,  5-2 against teams with losing records, 6-13 after allowing more than 150 rushing yards, 3-7 against NFC teams and in week nine, and 5-15-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards. Four of the last five games in this series have gone under the total. The road team is 7-1 ATS in this series recently.

Dallas is 6-1 ATS after passing for less than 150 yards, 4-1 against teams with losing records, 5-12 against teams with losing road records, 4-11 in November, 1-4 at home and overall, 1-6 on fieldturf, and 0-5 in week nine. The underdog has covered the last six games in this series. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS against the Eagles recently.

It was thought that the Dallas offense would improve once Cassell took over from Weeden. It hasn’t worked out that way. The defense is playing really well but the Cowboys simply can’t score. The Eagles are banged up on the offensive line and both tackles are making their first NFL start. Dallas should be able to get to Bradford with their pass rush. Still, I jsut can’t pick the Cowboys until Romo returns in a couple of weeks. The Eagles win a close low scoring game.

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