NFL Odds: San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons

Vernon Davis has 194 receiving yards on the year.
Vernon Davis has 194 receiving yards on the year.

49ers-Falcons

Time: 3:05 PM CT

Spread:  ATL -7.5

Total:  44

Betting odds c/o Bovada

The 6-2 Atlanta Falcons will seek to improve to 4-1 on the road as it travels to San Francisco to face the 49ers in a game NFL oddsmakers are listing 7.5 points in favor of Atlanta. The over/under is set at 44 for the game which will air at 3:05 CST on FOX.

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Atlanta began the season 5-0 but has lost two of its past three, falling to the New Orleans Saints 31-21 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23-20.  The win sandwiched in-between was a 10-7 victory over the struggling Tennessee Titans.  Last week against Tampa Bay the game went into OT, but the Falcons blew a 17-point lead to allow the Bucs to take it.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan threw 37 of 45 for 397 yards with two TDs but one costly INT. RB Devonta Freeman rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries but the Falcons had no rushing TDs. 

WR Julio Jones caught 12 passes for 162 yards and a TD and Jacob Tamme had 103 yards on 10 receptions with a TD.  Atlanta had four fumbles and lost three of them, with Ryan, Jones and Mike Person (ankle injury but probable to play) all coughing it up.

Ryan has thrown for 2,399 yards on the year at a 67 percent completion ratio, and he has 11 TDs with seven INTs for a 2.2 INT percentage.  He has been sacked 15 times and has a passer rating of 92.3.  Freeman now has 709 yards on the year and averages 4.7 yards per attempt. 

Only Tevin Coleman has more than 40 attempts after him with a 4.4 yards per carry average and one rushing TD.  Ryan has scrambled for 51 yards on 21 attempts, but he has fumbled twice and once for loss.

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Jones is the star of the Falcons with 70 receptions for 892 yards this season and six receiving TDs.  He has fumbled twice and once for loss, but his usage rate is high enough to excuse it.  Tamme is the No. 2 receiver with 32 catches in 44 targeted passes for 369 yards and a TD on the year.

The 49ers are riding a two game losing streak which was the response after having snapped a four game loss-streak prior to the win against Baltimore.  Colin Kaepernick has struggled, throwing 144 of 243 for 1,1615 yards with five interceptions and 28 sacks.  His passer rating is just 78.8.  He has had some success running the ball with 256 yards on 45 attempts (5.7 yards per carry), but he has been a pick machine and the 49ers are struggling.

He will be benched with some injuries, in this affair in favor of Blaine Gabbert.

RB Carlos Hyde has rushed for 470 yards on 115 attempts with three TDs on the year and just one fumble (recovered).  He is not expected to play due to a foot injury.

WR Anquan Boldin has caught 31 passes in 53 targets for 372 yards and two TDs.  Torrey Smith has caught for 342 yards on 16 catches for a team-high 21.4 yards per catch, with four catches longer than 20-yards (including a 76 yard catch).  Smith and Boldin have combined to reach 30 first downs.  Boldin is unlikely to play due to a hamstring injury, and that is a huge loss for the Niners.

With both Hyde and Boldin on the shelf it might be tough for the Niners to even cover the spread in this one.

Check out our season pick plans to get in on the winnings!

ATS TRENDS

Atlanta
  • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 9.
  • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
  • Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
San Francisco
  • 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • 49ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
  • 49ers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
  • 49ers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 9.
  • 49ers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • 49ers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • 49ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
  • 49ers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • 49ers are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
  • 49ers are 0-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • 49ers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

O/U TRENDS

Atlanta
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Falcons last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in Falcons last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Under is 8-1-1 in Falcons last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Under is 8-1 in Falcons last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Under is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 15-3 in Falcons last 18 games in Week 9.
  • Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games on grass.
  • Under is 15-4 in Falcons last 19 games in November.
  • Under is 7-2-1 in Falcons last 10 road games.
  • Under is 6-2 in Falcons last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
San Francisco
  • Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games in November.
  • Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Under is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in Week 9.
  • Under is 9-2 in 49ers last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 9-2 in 49ers last 11 home games.
  • Under is 11-3 in 49ers last 14 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 14-5 in 49ers last 19 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-4 in 49ers last 15 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 21-8 in 49ers last 29 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 18-7 in 49ers last 25 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
  • Under is 25-10 in 49ers last 35 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 11-5 in 49ers last 16 games on grass.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Underdog is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
  • Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
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