NFL Monday Night Football Betting Picks: New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Monday, October 19, 2015, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Philadelphia -4 1/2
Current Line: Philadelphia -4
Opening Total: 49
Current Total: 50 1/2
Opening Money Line: Eagles -205 / Giants +175
Current Money Line: Eagles -200 / Giants +170

The Eagles are 4 point favorites against the rival Giants Monday.
The Eagles are 4 point favorites against the rival Giants Monday.

The NFC East is a jumbled mess right now. The New York Giants lead the division with a 3-2 record ahead of the 2-3 Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles. The Washington Redskins are 2-4. The Giants travel to the Eagles Monday night in a battle for first place in the division. The Cowboys are on their bye and the Redskins lost to the New York Jets Sunday.

The Giants and Eagles have been playing since 1933. New York leads the series 84-78-2. The Eagles won both meetings last year 27-0 in Philadelphia and 34-26 in East Rutherford. The teams will close out the regular season in New Jersey.

New York is coached by Tom Coughlin. The Giants opened the season with two straight losses at the Cowboys 27-26 and at home against the Atlanta Falcons 24-20. New York has won 3 straight games. The Giants have road wins at the Redskins 32-21 and last week against the San Francisco 49ers 30-27, along with a road win at the Buffalo Bills 24-10.

New York was a 7.5 point favorite against San Francisco and the total was 43.5. The Giants led 13-6 at halftime. The teams traded touchdowns in the third quarter. San Francisco would take a 27-23 lead with 1:45 left in the fourth. The Giants started the ensuing drive at their own 18. New York drove down to the San Francisco 12 and Eli Manning threw the go ahead touchdown pass to tight end Larry Donnell with 21 seconds left. The Giants held on for the 3 point win. The Giants racked up 520 total yards. Manning threw for 441 yards with 3 touchdowns and an interception. New York is 3-2 ATS and the total is 3-2 this season.

Philadelphia is coached by Chip Kelly. The Eagles have road losses at the Falcons 26-24 and Redskins 23-20, plus a home loss to the Cowboys 20-10. Philadelphia has a road win at the Jets 24-17 and at home last week against the New Orleans Saints 39-17.

The Philadelphia offense finally broke out of their slump and had easily their best game of the season. The Eagles led 10-7 at halftime. After the Saints tied it up early in the third, the Eagles would scored 29 straight points to take command of the game. The Eagles were 6.5 point favorites, and New Orleans scored a touchdown on the last play of the game that sent the game over the 49.5 point total. The two teams combined for 6 turnovers, including 4 by the Saints. The Eagles had 519 total yards. Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS and the total is 1-4 this season.

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New York is outscoring teams 26-22 this season. The Giants are #7 in scoring,  The Giants average 374 yards per game on offense including 282 passing and 91 rushing yards. New York is in the top ten in total and passing offense, but #27 in rushing.  New York is allowing 385 yards per game on defense including 304 passing and 81 rushing yards. The Giants are #27 in total defense, #31 against the pass but #2 in rush defense. New York is 26/65 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 22/61. The Giants have 10 sacks and have allowed 7 this season. New York is +2 in turnovers. The Giants have allowed a special teams touchdown and a defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 66.5% of his passes for 1,417 yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and has 7 carries for 40 yards. Running back Rashad Jennings has 53 carries for 180 yards and a touchdown, along with 11 catches for 112 yards and a touchdown. Andre Williams has 40 carries for 121 yards and a touchdown. Shane Vereen has 25 carries for 101 yards, plus 20 catches for 208 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 31 catches for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns. He will likely be a game time decision with a hamstring injury. Rueben Randle has 19 catches for 217 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is probable with a hamstring injury.  Tight end Larry Donnell has 21 catches for 154 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Victor Cruz is doubtful with a calf injury and has yet to play this season. Tight end Jerome Cunningham is questionable with a knee injury. Tight end Daniel Fells is out indefinitely with a staph infection in his foot. Ten defensive players are listed on the injury report, including stars linebacker Jon Beason (concussion), defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul (fingers) and cornerback Prince Amukamara (pectoral). Beason is questionable but the other two are out indefinitely.

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Philadelphia is outscoring teams 23-21 this season. The Eagles average 339 total yards on offense including 246 passing and 93 rushing yards. On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 376 yards per game including 97 rushing yards. The Eagles are 19/65 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 33/77. Philadelphia has forced 7 sacks and allowed 11 this season. The Eagles are +3 in turnovers. Philadelphia has a special teams touchdown and has allowed a defensive touchdown.

Philadelphia quarterback has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,281 yards with 8 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, along with 7 carries for 24 rushing yards. Running back Ryan Mathews has 41 carries for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 8 catches for 67 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a groin injury. DeMarco Murray has 49 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 18 catches for 113 yards and a touchdown. Darren Sproles has 26 catches for 107 yards and a touchdown, along with 16 catches for 128 yards.

Receiver Jordan Matthews has 30 catches for 325 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Zach Ertz has 15 catches for 164 yards. Riley Cooper, Josh Huff and Nelson Agholor each have 8 catches. Agholor is doubtful with a leg injury. Five defensive players are listed on the injury report.

New York is 4-0 ATS in road games, 5-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards, 4-1 after rushing for less than 90 yards, after passing for more than 250 yards, and against NFC East teams, 5-2 against teams with losing records, 30-14-2 in October, 3-7 after allowing more than 250 passing yards, and 1-4 in Monday games. The road team is 6-2-1 ATS in this series recently. The last 5 games in Philadelphia in this series have gone under the total.

Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in week six, 12-25-1 at home, 2-5 after rushing for more than 150 yards, 6-16-1 against teams with winning records, 2-6 against NFC teams, 4-14-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards, 1-4 against NFC East teams, and after allowing 250 passing yards or more, 1-5 on grass and 1-7-1 against teams with winning road records. The favorite is 4-1-1 in this series recently. The Eagles are 10-3-1 ATS against the Giants recently.

It is hard to know what to make of either of these teams as both have been inconsistent to say the least. I don’t know if last week’s offensive explosion against the Saints was an anomaly or if the Eagles turned the corner in figuring out Kelly’s offense. The Giants are so banged up. I like the Eagles to win a close game at home.

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