NFL Monday Night Football Betting Picks: Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Giants
Monday, November 14, 2016, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, New Jersey
Opening Line: New York -3
Current Line: New York pick (-115)
Opening Total: 46
Current Total: 47 1/2 (over -115)
Opening Money Line: Giants -125 / Bengals +105
Current Money Line: Giants -115 / Bengals -105

Eli and the Giants host the Bengals Monday night.
Eli and the Giants host the Bengals Monday night.

The 3-4-1 Cincinnati Bengals travel to the 5-3 New York Giants Monday in a key contest. The Bengals are in third place in the AFC North behind the 5-4 Baltimore Ravens and 4-5 Pittsburgh Steelers. The Giants are in second place in the NFC East behind the 8-1 Dallas Cowboys. Cincinnati leads the series 6-3 against New York. The Bengals won the last meeting 31-13 in Cincinnati in 2012.

Cincinnati is coached by Marvin Lewis. The Bengals have a road win over the New York Jets 23-22, plus home wins over the Miami Dolphins 22-7 and Cleveland Browns 31-17. Cincinnati has a home loss to the Denver Broncos 29-17, plus road losses to the Steelers 24-16, Dallas Cowboys 28-14 and New England Patriots 35-17. Cincinnati tied the Washington Redskins 27-27 two weeks ago in London. The Bengals were -3 against the Redskins and the total was 49. Cincinnati is 3-5 ATS and the total is 5-3 this season.

New York is coached by Ben McAdoo. The Giants have a road win at the Dallas Cowboys 20-19 plus home wins over the New Orleans Saints 16-13, Baltimore Ravens 27-23, and Philadelphia Eagles 28-23 last week, plus a 17-10 win over the Los Angeles Rams in London. The Giants have won three straight games after a three game losing streak.  New York has a home loss to the Washington Redskins 29-27 and road losses at the  Minnesota Vikings 24-10 and Green Bay Packers 23-16. The Giants were three point favorites against the Eagles and the total was 42.5. New York is 4-3-1 ATS and the total is 3-5 this season.

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Cincinnati is being outscored 24-21 this season. The Bengals average 395 yards per game on offense including 275 passing and 120 rushing yards. The Bengals are in the top 10 in all three categories.  On defense, Cincinnati is allowing 379 total yards including 262 passing and 116 rushing yards per game. The Bengals are 42/109 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 42/106. The Bengals have forced 16 sacks and allowed 25 this season. Cincinnati is +2 in turnovers.

Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton has completed 67% of his passes for 2,349 yards with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and has 29 carries for 114 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Running back Jeremy Hill has 104 carries for 515 yards and 5 touchdowns, along with 7 catches for 61 yards. Giovani Bernard has 77 carries for 299 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 31 catches for 277 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver A.J. Green has 59 catches for 896 yards and 3 touchdowns. Brandon LaFell has 28 catches for 378 yards and four touchdowns. Tyler Boyd has 25 catches for 283 yards. C.J. Uzomah has 17 catches for 193 yards. Tight end Tyler Eifert has 10 catches for 111 yards and a touchdown. Nine defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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New York is being outscored 20.5-20.1. The Giants average 340 yards per game on offense including 272 passing and 68 rushing yards. New York is #9 in passing but last in rushing. The Giants allow 371 yards per game on defense including 277 passing and 94 rushing yards. The Giants are #27 against the pass but #8 in rush defense. New York is 37/106 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 58/141. New York has forced 11 sacks and allowed 12 this season. New York is -7 in turnovers but they have scored 2 defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 64.4% of his passes for 2,241 yards with 12 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. His back-up Ryan Nassib is questionable with an elbow injury. If Nassib can’t go look for Josh Johnson to serve as the back-up.

Running back Rashad Jennings has 64 carries for 168 yards and a touchdown, plus 12 catches for 73 yards.  Shane Vereen is out indefinitely with a triceps injury. He has 31 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 catches for 75 yards.  Orleans Darkwa has 30 carries for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 2 catches for 12 yards. Bobby Rainey and Paul Perkins will also get some carries without Vereen.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 44 catches for 676 yards and 5 touchdowns. His silly antics with the kicking net have been an ongoing saga for several games now. Rookie Sterling Shepard has 34 catches for 384 yards and 3 touchdowns. Victor Cruz has 25 catches for 377 yards and a touchdown after missing all of last season with an injury. He is doubtful with an ankle injury. Bobby Rainey has  17 catches for 133 yards. Tight end Will Tye has 22 catches for 182 yards. Tight end Larry Donnell has 15 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown.  Four defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in November, 12-3-2 after allowing more than 250 passing yards, 6-2-1 after gaining more than 350 yards, 9-3 in road games, 5-2-1 after failing to cover, 2-5 overall, 1-3-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards, 1-4 in week 10, 0-5-1 against teams with winning records, and 0-4 after passing for 250 yards or more. The underdog has covered the last four games in this series.

New York is 3-0-1 ATS after rushing for 90 yards or less, overall and after allowing more than 250 passing yards, 5-2-1 after a straight up win, 17-35-3 in November, 1-4 in Monday games, against teams with losing records, and against teams with losing road records, and 2-10 in week 10.

I don’t trust either one of these teams or quarterbacks for that matter. Either is capable of throwing a back-breaking interception at any time. I think the Giants win a close game at home in a high scoring game.

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