NFL Betting Preview Week Two: Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos

Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos
Sunday, September 17, 2017, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Sports Authority Field – Denver, Colorado
Opening Line: Dallas -1 1/2
Current Line: Dallas -2 1/2
Opening Total: 42 1/2
Current Total: 44
Opening Money Line: Cowboys -130 / Broncos +110
Current Money Line: Cowboys -135 / Broncos +115

The Cowboys and Broncos meet Sunday in Denver.

Both the Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos opened the season with wins over division rivals at home last week in primetime games. The two teams meet in Denver in week two Sunday afternoon. Denver leads the series 7-5 against Dallas. The Broncos have won five straight games against the Cowboys including a wild 51-48 shootout in Dallas in 2013.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys beat the New York Giants 19-3 last Sunday night at home. Dallas was a 6.5 point favorite against New York and the total was 46.5.

Denver is coached by Vance Joseph. He won his debut as the coach with a 24-21 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers late Monday night. The Broncos pushed as a three point favorite against the Chargers and the total was 41.5.

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Last year, the Giants handed the Cowboys two of their three regular season losses by a total of four points. It would be a different story last Sunday as the Giants were without star receiver Odell Beckham, Jr., who was out with an ankle injury. They could do virtually nothing on offense.

Dallas kicked field goals to take a 6-0 lead in the second quarter. The Cowboys made it 13-0 on a 12 yard touchdown pass from Dak Prescott to Jason Witten. Dallas added another field goal just before halftime to lead 16-0. The Giants drove down the field to begin the third quarter but had to settle for a field goal after an almost 10 minute drive. The Cowboys added another fourth quarter field goal to make the final 19-3.

Dallas had 392 total yards including 263 passing yards and 129 rushing yards. New York had 233 total yards including 198 passing yards and 35 rushing yards. The Cowboys had 22 first downs to 13 for the Giants. Dallas was 8/15 on third down conversions, while New York was 4/12 on third downs and 1/1 on fourth downs. The Giants had 6 penalties for 55 yards and the Cowboys had 5 for 50 yards. The Giants had the only turnover of the game. Dallas held possession for 34:14.

Prescott completed 24/39 passes for 268 yards with a touchdown, plus 3 carries for 24 yards.

Running back Ezekiel Elliott had 24 carries for 104 yards, plus 5 catches for 36 yards. He faces a six game suspension from the league but is allowed to play right now because a judge granted him a temporary injunction. The NFL is trying to appeal the injunction, but Elliott will play on week two.

Receiver Terrance Williams had 6 catches for 68 yards. He is questionable with a knee injury, but did practice on Friday. Tight end Witten had 7 catches for 59 yards and a touchd0wn. Dez Bryant had 2 catches for 43 yards. Cole Beasley had 3 catches for 32 yards. Eight defensive players are on the injury report for the Cowboys.

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Denver scored first against the now Los Angles Chargers late in the first quarter on a 5 yard touchdown pass from Trevor Siemian to Bennie Fowler. LA tied it up on the first play of the second quarter. Denver would take a 14-7 lead into halftime, on a one yard touchdown run from Siemian with just over five minutes left in the quarter. Denver added 10 points in the third including another six yard touchdown pass to Fowler from Siemian. The Chargers scored two touchdowns within a minute midway through the fourth to pull within 24-21. LA took over at their own 38 yard line, and drove to the Denver 26 with five seconds left. Rookie kicker Younghoe Koo nailed a 43 yard field goal for the tie, but the Broncos had called a timeout before the kick. They blocked the next attempt to hold on for the betting push.

Denver had 321 total yards including 181 passing and 140 rushing yards. Los Angeles had 249 total yards including 185 passing and 64 rushing yards. The Broncos had 22 first downs to 17 for the Chargers. Denver was 8/15 on third downs and LA was 3/12 on third downs and 1/2 on fourth downs. The Chargers had 4 penalties for 40 yards and the Broncos had 3 for 62 yards. Denver had two turnovers to one for Los Angeles. Denver held possession for 34:13.

Siemian completed 17/28 passes for 219 yards with 2 touchdowns and an interception, and he had 6 carries for 19 yards and a touchdown.

Running back C.J. Anderson had 20 carries for 81 yards, plus a catch for 7 yards. Jamaal Charles had 10 carries for 40 yards.

Receiver Demaryius Thomas had 5 catches for for 67 yards. Tight end Virgil Green had a catch for 44 yards. A.J. Derby had 3 catches for 34 yards. Emmanuel Sanders had 3 catches for 26 yards. Fowler had 3 catches for 21 yards with 2 touchdowns. Six defensive players and two offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

Dallas is 4-0 ATS in week two, 6-1 after passing for more than 250 yards, 9-2 after a cover, 7-2 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, 19-7 on grass, 10-4 after a straight up win, 7-3 in September, 2-6 overall, 1-5 against teams with winning records, and 1-6-1 after gaining 350 yards or more. The over is 5-1 in this series recently.

Denver is 6-0-1 ATS in September, 7-3-2 at home, 7-3-1 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, 13-6-1 after failing to cover, 2-8-1 after allowing less than 250 total yards, 3-8-1 on Sunday after a Monday night game, 1-3-1 overall and on grass, 1-4 against teams with winning records, and 0-3-1 after a straight up win. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the series recently.

Both teams prefer to run the ball on offense, although both have weapons at receiver and tight end. Denver needs to stop the run, and as dangerous as it sounds let Prescott beat you with his arm. Dallas was dominant on defense last week, but a large part of that was the Giants being inept on offense without Beckham, Jr. I like the Cowboys to win a close low scoring game on the road.

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