NFL Betting Preview Week 16: Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys
Sunday, December 24, 2017, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Opening Line: Dallas -2 1/2 (-120)
Current Line: Dallas -4 1/2
Opening Total: 47
Current Total: 47 1/2
Opening Money Line: Cowboys -225 / Seahawks +185
Current Money Line: Cowboys -220 / Seahawks +180

The Cowboys and Seahawks meet Sunday as both try to stay alive in the playoff race.

Both the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks are 8-6 and a game behind the 9-5 Atlanta Falcons for the last playoff spot in the NFC. The Cowboys host the Seahawks Sunday in what is an elimination game for the loser. Even the winner will need to get some help to make the playoffs. The Detroit Lions are also 8-6. Dallas is in second place in the NFC East but the 12-2 Philadelphia Eagles have already clinched the division. Seattle is still barely alive for the NFC West title but they are two games behind the 10-4 Los Angeles Rams.

The Cowboys slim playoff hopes will get a boost with the return of star running back Ezekiel Elliott from a six game suspension for accusations of domestic violence.

The Cowboys lead the series 10-7 against the Seahawks. Seattle won the last meeting 13-12 in Dallas in 2015.

Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have road losses at the Green Bay Packers 17-9, Tennessee Titans 33-27 and Jacksonville Jaguars 30-24, plus home losses to the Washington Redskins 17-14, Atlanta Falcons 34-31 and Los Angeles Rams 42-7 last week. The Seahawks have lost two straight games. Seattle has home wins over the San Francisco 49ers 12-9, Indianapolis Colts 46-18, Houston Texans 41-38 and Philadelphioa Eagles 24-10, plus road wins at the Rams 16-10, New York Giants 24-7, Arizona Cardinals 22-16 and 49ers 24-13. Against the Rams, the Seahawks were 1 point underdogs and the total was 47.5. Seattle is 5-8-1 ATS and the total is 6-8 this season.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys have  home wins over the New York Giants 19-3, Kansas City Chiefs 28-17 and Washington Redskins 38-14, plus road wins over the Arizona Cardinals 28-17, San Francisco 49ers 40-10, Redskins 33-19, Giants 30-10 and Oakland Raiders 20-17 last week. The Cowboys have won three straight games. Dallas has road losses at the Denver Broncos 42-17 and Atlanta Falcons 27-7, plus home losses to the Los Angeles Rams 35-30, Green Bay Packers 35-31, Philadelphia Eagles 37-9 and Los Angles Chargers 28-6. Dallas was a 3 point favorite against the Raiders  and the total was 46. The Cowboys are 7-6-1 ATS and the total is 6-8 this season.

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Seattle is outscoring teams 23-21 this season. Seattle is #13 in scoring and #13 in points allowed. The Seahawks average 347 yards per game on offense including 243 passing and 104 rushing yards. Seattle is #12 in total offense and #10 in passing.  On defense, the Seahawks are allowing 331 total yards per game including 218 passing and 113 rushing yards.  Seattle is  78/197 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 81/209. Seattle has forced 34 sacks and allowed 37 this season. The Seahawks are +4 in turnovers and has three defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 61% of his passes for 3,669 yards with 30 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, plus 81 carries for 521 yards and 3 touchdowns. He has been sacked 37 times. Wilson is having an MVP caliber season. The Seahawks have 34 offensive touchdowns, and Wilson has accounted for 33 of those.

Running back Chris Carson had 49 carries for 208 yards, plus 7 catches for 59 yards and a touchdown. He is out for the season after suffering a broken leg. Eddie Lacy has 69 carries for 179 yards. C.J. Prosise, Thomas Rawls and J.D. McKissic will also get some carries. McKissic has 31 catches for 246 yards and 2 touchdowns. Prosise has 6 catches for 87 yards, but is out with an ankle injury.

Receiver Doug Baldwin has 67 catches for 866 yards and 5 touchdowns. Paul Richardson has 42 catches for 686 yards and 6 touchdowns. Tyler Lockett has 41 catches for 523 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Tight end Jimmy Graham has 53 catches for 472 yards and 9 touchdowns. He is probable with a knee injury. Tight end Luke Wilson has 13 catches for 144 yards and 4 touchdowns. Nick Vannett has 12 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a shoulder injury. Fifteen defensive players and four offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.

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Dallas is outscoring teams  24-22 this season. Dallas is #10 in scoring.  The Cowboys average 338 yards per game on offense including 201 passing and 137 rushing yards. The Cowboys are #23 in passing  and #3 in rushing offense. On defense, Dallas allows 338 total yards including 230 passing and 108 rushing yards. The Cowboys are  85/192 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are  88/199. Dallas has forced 32 sacks and allowed 27 this season. Dallas is  +1 in turnovers and has allowed four defensive touchdowns.

Quarterback Dak Prescott has completed 63.4% of his passes for 2,964 yards with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He also has 51 carries for 320 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. He has been sacked 27 times.

Running back Ezekiel Elliott has 191 carries for 783 yards and seven touchdowns, plus 19 catches for 210  yards and 2 touchdowns.  Alfred Morris has 113 carries for 546 yards and a touchdown, plus 7 catches. Rod Smith has 53 carries for 222 yards and 4 touchdown, plus 16 catches for 179 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver Dez Bryant has 63 catches for 771 yards and 6 touchdowns. Terrance Williams has 47 catches for 520 yards. Tight end Jason Witten has 56 catches for 504 yards and 5 touchdowns. Cole Beasley has 34 catches for 302 yards and four touchdowns. Brice Butler has 13 catches for 267 yards and 2 touchdowns.  He is questionable with a foot injury. Thirteen defensive players are injured or suspended and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report as well.

The underdog has covered the last four games in this series. The Cowboys are 7-2 ATS against the Seahawks recently. The under is 6-2 in this series including 4-1 in Dallas.

Both of these teams have injuries to key defensive players. Even though the offenses aren’t exactly great, I think this will be a high scoring game. The Cowboys will get a boost from the return of Elliott and I think they win a close game.

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