Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Wembley Stadium – Jacksonville, Jaguars
Sunday, October 25, 2015, 9:30 am Eastern, TV: Yahoo! Sports
Opening Line: Buffalo -6
Current Line: Buffalo -4 (-115)
Opening Total: 42 1/2
Current Total: 41
Opening Money Line: Bills -200 / Jaguars +170
Current Money Line: Bills -200 / Jaguars +170
The NFL has had numerous games in London and even a couple that started at 9:30 am Eastern. However, when the Buffalo Bills take on the Jacksonville Jaguars, the game will be streamed live on the internet instead of broadcast on television for the first time in history.
Buffalo is 3-3 and in third place in the AFC East division. Jacksonville is 1-5 and in last place in the AFC South division. The Bills lead the series 7-6 against the Jaguars. The Bills have won two straight games in the series including 27-20 in Jacksonville in 2013 in the last meeting.
Buffalo is coached by Rex Ryan. The Bills have alternated wins and losses so far this season. Buffalo has a home win over the Indianapolis Colts 27-14, plus road wins over the Miami Dolphins 41-14 and Tennessee Titans 14-13. The Bills have home losses to the New England Patriots 40-32, New York Giants 24-10 and last week against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-21.
The Bills were 3 point underdogs to the undefeated Bengals last week and the total was 42.5. The Bengals took a 17-14 lead into halftime. Cincinnati scored 17 straight points in the second half to take control of the game 34-14. The Bills added a touchdown to make it 34-21 but would get no closer. Buffalo is 3-3 ATS and the total is 3-3 this season.
Jacksonville is coached by Gus Bradley. The Jaguars have a 23-20 home win over the Dolphins. Since that week two win, the Jaguars have lost four straight games. Jacksonville has home losses to the Carolina Panthers 20-9 and last week against the Houston Texans 31-20, along with road losses at the Patriots 51-17, Colts 16-13 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-20.
Jacksonville was a 2.5 point favorite against Houston and the total was 43.5. Houston led 10-7 at halftime, but Jacksonville would take a 14-10 lead into the fourth. Houston scored 21 straight points to open the fourth and take a 31-14 lead. Jacksonville added a late cosmetic touchdown to make the final margin eleven points but missed the extra point. The Jaguars had 3 turnovers including a pick six in the fourth quarter. Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS and the total is 4-2 this season.
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Buffalo is outscoring teams 24-23 this season. The Bills are #8 in scoring. Buffalo averages 335 total yards per game on offense including 210 passing and 125 rushing yards. The Bills are #27 in total offense, #28 in passing and #7 in rushing. Buffalo allows 356 yards per game on defense, including 269 passing and 87 rushing yards. The Bills are #4 in rush defense but #23 against the pass. Buffalo is 31/86 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 32/86. Buffalo has forced 16 sacks and allowed 9 this season. The Bills are +3 in turnovers. Buffalo has one defensive touchdown this season.
Quarterback Tyrod Taylor will miss his second straight game with a knee injury. The Bills hope he can return after the bye next week. E.J. Manuel will start again, and Josh Johnson will serve as the back-up. Taylor has completed 70.1% of his passes for 1,097 yards with 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, and also has 31 carries for 187 yards and 2 touchdowns. Manuel has thrown for 263 yards with a touchdown and an interception along with 7 carries for 20 yards and a touchdown.
Running back LeSean McCoy has 60 carries for 236 yards and a touchdown, along with 9 carries for 87 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a hamstring injury. Karlos Williams has 42 carries for 226 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 5 catches and a touchdown. He is out with a concussion. Boobie Dixon and Daniel Herron could get some carries without Williams. Cierre Wood is out for the season with a knee injury.
The Bills are banged up at receiver. Sammy Watkins (ankle), Percy Harvin (hip) and Marquise Goodwin (ribs) are all out Sunday. Marcus Easley is questionable with a shoulder injury. Tight end Charles Clay has 31 catches for 324 yards and 2 touchdowns. Harvin has 19 catches for 218 yards and a touchdown, along with 31 rushing yards. Robert Woods has 17 catches for 211 yards and a touchdown. Chris Hogan has 14 catches for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns. Watkins has 11 catches for 147 yards and two touchdowns. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.
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Jacksonville is being outscored 29-19 this season. The Jaguars are #30 in both categories. Jacksonville averages 351 total yards per game including 258 passing and 93 rushing yards. The Jaguars are #24 in rushing. Jacksonville allows 366 total yards per game on defense, including 265 passing and 102 rushing. The Jaguars are 32/85 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 45/90. Jacksonville has forced 17 sacks and allowed 12 this season. Jacksonville is -6 in turnovers, including three defensive touchdowns allowed.
Quarterback Blake Bortles has completed 57% of his passes for 1,630 yards with 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, along with 18 carries for 149 yards. Chad Henne is the back-up but Borltes has taken every snap this season.
Running back T.J. Yeldon has 81 carries for 291 yards along with 15 catches for 73 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a groin injury. Denard Robinson has 13 carries for 47 yards, along with 5 catches. Toby Gerhart has 14 carries for 36 yards along with 3 catches for 23 yards. Both will get more carries if Yeldon is out. Bernard Pierce is probable with a concussion. Corey Grant is out for the season with a hip injury.
Eight receivers and tight ends are listed on the injury report for the Jaguars. Receiver Allen Robinson has 28 catches for 488 yards and 5 touchdowns. He is probable with a leg injury. Allen Hurns has 29 catches for 460 yards and 4 touchdowns. He is probable with a hip injury. Bryan Walters has 18 catches for 223 yards. Tight end Julius Thomas has 9 catches for 98 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with injured ribs. Tight end Clay Harbor has 7 catches for 74 yards and a touchdown. he is questionable with an ab injury. Marqise Lee, Tony Washington, Rashad Greene and Arrelious Benn are all out. Five defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.
The Bills are 6-0 ATS after a straight up loss, 5-0 after failing to cover, 5-2 in week seven, 7-3 against AFC teams, after gaining and allowing 350 yards, and 1-9 after a double digit home loss. Buffalo has covered four of the last five against Jacksonville.
The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS after failing to cover, and after rushing for 90 yards or less, 5-2 after a straight up loss, against AFC teams, and after gaining 350 total yards or more, 15-34-2 after allowing 350 total yards or more, 3-8 after allowing 250 passing yards or more, 8-22 after passing for more than 250 yards and 1-7 after allowing more than 30 points. The over is 5-2 in this series recently.
Both these teams are banged up at the skill positions. The difference is Buffalo is an average injury riddled team and Jacksonville is a terrible injury riddled team. I like the Bills to win comfortably in a low scoring game.