NCAA Football Picks and Predictions: Hawaii Warriors at Navy Midshipmen

keenan reynolds-navy-2013Hawaii-Navy
Time: Saturday, Nov 9, 2013 at 3:30 PM ET
Spread: NAV -17

Odds courtesy of Bovada

Hawaii is 0-8 on the season and the team has struggled badly defensively. Things aren’t expected to get any better as it travels to face Navy in a game college football oddsmakers at Bovada favor the Midshipmen by 17 points.

Last week, Hawaii dropped 47-10 to Utah State and the team hasn’t been within a touchdown of an opponent since its 42-37 loss to then-No. 25 Fresno State on Sept 21. The Warriors are unable to generate much offense on the ground, and the resultantly predictable offense generates just 21.9 points per game.

Sean Schroeder has racked up a lot of yards (1,699) but his 56.3 percent completion ratio could stand to be improved upon and he’s thrown nearly as many interceptions (11) as touchdowns (14). Chris Gant and Scott Harding are the two primary receivers and Gant has five TDs on the year.

Navy is 4-4 on the season and nearly knocked off then-No. 25 Notre Dame last week, losing 38-34 on the road. The week prior, the Midshipmen defeated Pitt, and the rush has been the sole unit of attack for this Navy team, which ranks 9th in the nation in rushing yardage per game (294.4).

Keenan Reynolds is the heart and sole of the offense as the leading passer (755 yards) and rusher (599). He’s carried it 169 times on the season, significantly more than featured back Chris Swain (92 attempts). Navy might not be very difficult to predict offensively, but Reynolds’ speed makes him a great dual threat QB and he poses problems for even tough defense, which Hawaii will not be this week.

Hawaii Betting Trends: OVER 5-0 in last 5 following SU loss; OVER 5-0 in last 5 overall; OVER 5-0 in last 5 following SU loss of more than 20 points.

Navy Betting Trends: UNDER 7-0 in last 7 home games; UNDER 10-1 in last 11 vs teams with losing records; UNDER 7-1 in last 8 following SU loss.

Check out our paid pick plans for the remainder of the 2013-14 NCAA football season!

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